Line for the Michigan Game

by ckmneon on Sep 17, 2007 3:11 PM EDT

As of right now, according to this website:

http://www.collegefootballlocks.com/college_football_point_spreads.shtml

the Nittany Lions are 3 point favorites at Michigan.

On one hand, I think that's a bit low. Michigan's defense sucks big time, and PSU is averaging over 40 points per game. Even the shutout of Notre Dame was FAR more ND offensive ineptitude than Michigan defensive expertise. Michigan's offense consists of Michael Hart and....that's it. PSU is only giving up around 18 yards per game on the ground. It's easy to say, "I see neither how Michigan will score on PSU or how Michigan will stop Penn State."

On the other hand, the PSU offense is very different than those that dominated the Wolverines: PSU does not run anything close to a spread option attack. PSU hasn't won at Michigan Stadium since 1996 (though one could easily argue that PSU was robbed in 2002 and 2005). Michigan is PSU's first road game and easily the best team PSU has played so far. 3 points seems entirely reasonable from that perspective.

So, basically, what does everyone think about the point spread for the Michigan game? (Hey, at least we're not underdogs like we were in '05)

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Comments

I'm Not Concerned

The Line means nothing to me. All that matters is what happenes Sat. Night.

God Created the World Out Of Nothing, Paterno Built A National Superpower On Cow Fields...Put 2 and 2 Together!!!

by Adam Bittner on Sep 17, 2007 3:14 PM EDT reply actions

We've

waited all these years to break the streak. This has got to be the year we finally do it. Call me crazy but I feel different about this year. I might come to regret writing this but I don't care. This the year we break the streak. This is the year we finally tear the monkey off our backs. I hope everyone enjoys Saturday night. It's going to be a night to remember.

by MarkoMancuso on Sep 17, 2007 3:24 PM EDT reply actions

As a Pirate fan

I know my way around losing streaks. I'll believe it when I see it.

God Created the World Out Of Nothing, Paterno Built A National Superpower On Cow Fields...Put 2 and 2 Together!!!

by Adam Bittner on Sep 17, 2007 8:17 PM EDT reply actions

3 points...

I think 3 points is about right. That means it would be about 8 or 9 in Happy Valley, which is about right. Michigan's season is on the line, if they lose, they have nothing to play for the rest of the year. They will be ready. Michigan can salvage their season by running the table in the Big Ten. CKMNEON is right in saying that PSU does not run the type of offense that Michigan struggles with, however, I think Michigan struggles with any offense that has a pulse. I look for D-Will to revenge his broken arm in the Big House. However, the man that really needs to step up is Morelli. This is why he came to PSU and this is how legends are made. Be the man that beats Michigan in Ann Arbor and you instantly become a legend. Throw the records out the window for this one, any victory is huge for the Lions. In the end, I see PSU covering and Dan Connor and company shutting down Mike Hart. Final Score: PSU 24, Michigan 10.

by Nick7 on Sep 18, 2007 8:32 AM EDT reply actions