Staff Predictions: Purdue Pete's Gonna Getcha
Be afraid, little guy. Very afraid.
photo via www.bigtennetwork.com
BSD Mike: Last week the pundits said Penn State would face their first real test in Illinois. It would seem that we passed, but now those same pundits are saying, "Yeah, but they haven't been tested on the road." Fine. Tomorrow we'll play Purdue. But come Monday I think they'll still be saying we haven't been tested because I don't see this as being much of a game.
Everyone is hoping Joe opens up the playbook on the road this weekend and avoids the conservative play calling that has dogged this team in the past. But honestly, why? Notre Dame rolled up 201 yards rushing, 476 yards of total offense, and 38 points against the Boilermakers. This is a Notre Dame team that ranks 105th in the nation in rushing yards per game. If you extrapolate those numbers Penn State should get about 3000 yards rushing in this game.
I look for Evan Royster to have his best day in a Nittany Lion uniform. I'm talking 200-plus yards with three or four touchdowns. I fully expect Curtis Painter to have 50 passing attempts and 350 yards passing, but he'll also throw at least two interceptions. The first half will feature some back and forth like last week, but Penn State will wear them down and pull away in the second half.
Prediction: Penn State 40, Purdue 24
Kevin HD: Ah, the dreaded noon road game. When the all-white uniforms take the field I can't help but feel like the team, the last couple of years anyway, is walking on glass. I have hope, however. For those of you who weren't able to catch this week's Penn State Football Story, or read yesterday's quote, there's a new swagger in town and it's spelled C. L. A. R. K. This, to me, is a big moment. The pundits have been calling it a 'test', but I don't think that's the right word. On paper, tomorrow should be a rather lopsided game. What I'm going to remember about Week 6 is not the score, but rather the confidence the team displays in their first true road game. Unfortunately for this very talented team, the Big Ten schedule sucks. And ESPN didn't help by making the two toughest games, which were already on the road, 8pm kick-offs. If Clark & Co. can go out there, start strong, and play their game, it will speak volumes about our chances in Madison and Columbus.
There are a couple of other practical things to look at, however. It's still a challenging game, on the road, against a team that is capable of taking advantage of our weaknesses. The secondary will get it's first true test and the offense...well, the offense is probably going to gain a lot of yards tomorrow. There is hesitation to do what JoePa always does on the road: run four different plays over and over again and grind out a win. To me, it's important that we don't do this. I know it's tempting, but the play callers need to be able to use the full playbook and the players need to be comfortable taking chances in a foreign enviornment. Regardless of strategy, I think this one turns out alright.
Penn State 45, Purdue 24
RUTS:
For whatever reason, Tom Bradley always seems to have a pretty good plan to slow down Purdue's pass-happy offense, even when you look back to the Drew Brees years. The following statement will sound unbelievably obvious and stupid, but here it goes: Penn State needs to score touchdowns. Don't fall into the situation that Wisconsin stumbled into at Michigan last week. The Lions are going to move the ball, practically at will. Turn those drives into touchdowns, and life will get very, very easy in the second half. Let the home team hang around, and there's a potential problem in West Lafayette. I have to disagree with Kevin's plea to open up the playbook. Go with what works, get in the end zone a few times, and allow the defense to maul Painter in the second half. Make it look like the fourth quarter against Tennessee two years ago. There's absolutely no reason to get fancy in this game -- not with Purdue's abysmal rushing defense. Run the ball, kill the clock, and get the hell out of there with a win.
Penn State 35, Purdue 20
Your predictions and random open thread hilarity are welcome in the comments.
Read Related
Comments
How 'bout those Phillies?
Brett Myers — Great hitting pitcher, or the greatest hitting pitcher?
by Run Up The Score on Oct 3, 2008 10:28 AM EDT 0 recs
Whatever happend to...
Micah Owings.
I saw him at PNC two years ago, and the best performance by a major league player got wrecked by a rain delay.
After 6 inning he was throwing a one hit shutout and was three for three with two doubles, a tripple and like three RBI.
"I honestly think the "Spread HD" is going to work pretty well, and we’ll be just fine this year". - 8-27-2008
by jesse. on
Oct 3, 2008 10:45 AM EDT
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Reds?
Wasn’t he thrown in for the Adam Dunn deal? As much of a hitter as he is, he’s a so-so pitcher. When he was in college, Tulane had two guys just like Owings. The other was Brian Bogasevich (sp?), who was twice as good.
by The Mess on
Oct 3, 2008 11:12 AM EDT
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I wonder if Owings can play 3rd base
As a pitcher, his pitching is his only weakness
by blogue20 on
Oct 3, 2008 11:47 AM EDT
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That at-bat might have been the play of the entire series. I am dead serious on this matter.
by Tailgate Shogun on
Oct 3, 2008 4:59 PM EDT
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41-17 Penn State
but really looking forward to the trip to Wisconsin.
by NJ lion on Oct 3, 2008 11:00 AM EDT 0 recs
48-24 Penn State
I hate the all white look…
Success without honor is like an unseasoned dish, it will fill you up but it won't taste good. - Joe V. Paterno
by carolinaeasy on Oct 3, 2008 11:04 AM EDT 0 recs
Heresy
"I honestly think the "Spread HD" is going to work pretty well, and we’ll be just fine this year". - 8-27-2008
by jesse. on
Oct 3, 2008 11:11 AM EDT
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All white..
look bad on astroturf (Syracuse, Wisconsin, etc), but look great on grass.
by Spats on
Oct 3, 2008 12:53 PM EDT
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And NOTHING looks good
on that retarded blue field Boise State plays on. Hell, you can hardly even see the players because they blend right in with the field.
I bleed Blue and White.
by Horse N Buggy on
Oct 3, 2008 2:18 PM EDT
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My favorite color is blue (navy, of course)
and I would hate to see the turf on our beloved Beaver Stadium field blue.
by Ab4PSU on
Oct 3, 2008 3:19 PM EDT
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Boooo!!!
I love the road vanillas
Mike
Black Shoe Diaries
by BSD on
Oct 3, 2008 11:28 AM EDT
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I don't want it changed
I want PSU to NEVER change the unis….but I also hate the all white look…may it be tied to poor showings on the road in them? I dunno but I certainly do not want a new uni look…I guess I have a love/hate relationship with the road uni…
Success without honor is like an unseasoned dish, it will fill you up but it won't taste good. - Joe V. Paterno
by carolinaeasy on
Oct 3, 2008 11:35 AM EDT
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I'm with you
I like the “look”, I just hate the feeling I get in my stomach when I see them. Maybe this team can change that.
Kevin @ Black Shoe Diaries
by Kevin HD on
Oct 3, 2008 11:38 AM EDT
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Speaking of looks...
my wife is due in three weeks, and I have some great PSU stuff for the Little Easy but does anyone know where I can get some cool outfits online? I know this may be off topic…but that kid in the purdue pic got me thinking…
Success without honor is like an unseasoned dish, it will fill you up but it won't taste good. - Joe V. Paterno
by carolinaeasy on
Oct 3, 2008 11:42 AM EDT
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I got my one year old son
A bunch of stuff from the family clothesline. I feel proud everytime he’s walking around with the Penn State bink in his mouth and wearing the “I watch Penn State football with my Daddy” tshirt. I was going to get my wife the same tshirt but she thought that would be cheesy.
by blogue20 on
Oct 3, 2008 11:49 AM EDT
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C'mon
Say it with Authority!
Dudes – your wives sound HOT !!
/ fixed
'People are about as happy as they decide they want to be'
by Pete the Streak on
Oct 3, 2008 2:12 PM EDT
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Well said, sir!
Yeah, and especially with that ‘I watch Penn State football with my Daddy’ shirt on! Can you draw a little arrow onto it, too? That points at Blogue?
Convivite Nudem!
by jtothep on
Oct 3, 2008 2:20 PM EDT
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Not to mention
The first thing I ever bought him (pre-birth) was a tiny #2 jersey
by blogue20 on
Oct 3, 2008 11:50 AM EDT
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I got a bunch of cool stuff from there...
I will have to look for that shirt you mentioned it sounds really cool…I really want to find a stuffed lion for him!
Success without honor is like an unseasoned dish, it will fill you up but it won't taste good. - Joe V. Paterno
by carolinaeasy on
Oct 3, 2008 12:09 PM EDT
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If this isn't right, let me know, and I'll try again, but the website for the
family clothesline is:
pennstateclothes.com
by Ab4PSU on
Oct 3, 2008 12:27 PM EDT
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24/7, get the gear...
I actually know what you guys are talking about, since I work there. A lot better than my last job. Honestly the best selection of stuff in town, with the Lion’s Pride a far second. I don’t know what the infant selection is like online but it should be the same as what we have in the store.
I was out in the trenches, which enables me to paint such a powerful picture, like Apocalypse Now.-Cormega
by OMEGAMAN on
Oct 3, 2008 12:46 PM EDT
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Love for 1 Reason
Orange Bowl ’05. When I see those road unis now I see MRob standing on that podium with an orange in his hand and grass stains all over him telling the world to get off Joe once and for all.
by The IC Lion on
Oct 3, 2008 11:48 AM EDT
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it gives me chills
thinking about standing there in the thick Miami air, throat shredded, still piss-drunk, watching Joe hoist the trophy.
“it wasn’t pretty but I’ll take it!”
"It was an attrition football game and you know we like that."
by showtime on
Oct 3, 2008 6:27 PM EDT
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Word. There's nothing wrong with the road vanillas.
I think they’re beautiful in a simple way. The problem ain’t the uniform; it’s been the team, the player’s confidence, and the coache’s game plans that have led to our road woes. White uniform, blue numbers (no names), and black sneakers say it all. Nothing like wearing a plain uniform and whipping somebody’s ass. It’s about the game, not the show (sorry Guido).
by Ab4PSU on
Oct 3, 2008 12:30 PM EDT
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What really makes the white uniforms fashionable
is when you add the grass stains. oh yeah, and mud. mud looks good on those uniforms too.
"the secret to loving your job is having a hobby that you really despise"
by nitwit86 on
Oct 3, 2008 2:43 PM EDT
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They are so...
Arrogant? Is that the right word?
Purdue with their black out and the fancy uniforms they change every two years, they’ll be all fired up, and we show up, in all white uniforms.
There is no effort to impress the home team with those uniforms, we don’t need to impress you. We’re Penn State. I love it.
"I honestly think the "Spread HD" is going to work pretty well, and we’ll be just fine this year". - 8-27-2008
by jesse. on
Oct 3, 2008 11:55 AM EDT
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Change the unis?
What am I hearing? Next thing you know people will want ‘pride’ stickers (golly I miss high school!) and names on their backs. We are defi-nittany one of the most recognizable programs in college football beacuse of them. The day I see a change in that is the day JoePa is sporting Oakleys, a clipboard, a visor, and a Fulmer style headset
by TheMightyErik on
Oct 3, 2008 12:22 PM EDT
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That was originally a typo
And then when I looked at it again I thought ‘hey, cool!’ and fixed it like that. I will be using that until my family begs me to move on to something else :D
by TheMightyErik on
Oct 4, 2008 2:55 AM EDT
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Pride stickers
Ones that look like marijuana look really cool
Keep it in perspective
by JuniataMan on
Oct 3, 2008 10:19 PM EDT
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Sacreligious heretical blasphemous lunacy
Arrogant works. So does Superior. Earlier this month, I finished Julia Child’s book My Life in France (good reading for an eating/drinking trip to Burgundy), and she was describing her first visit to Gay Pa ree in 1948 and wrote how the Parisians at first ‘looked down their long Gallic noses.’ That’s us! When we rock up in your house, we look down our crisp clean, all-white unis at you and all your unsuccessful attempts to rile us. Now, if we can only get the onfield performances to match that superiority!
Oh, and as for Joe pulling an 07 Michigan granola bar bind up, I don’t think it’ll happen. He understands (and trusts) the character of this team more. (An aside, I guarantee you that loss to OSU in our house last year taught him more about coaching than he learned in the ten years previous to that, combined. We all know he’s not a radical and just doesn’t implement change at high speed. But he’s learned he needs to do some things differently to run that damn table one last time). And he showed some of this in the Dome a few weeks ago. Up 35-6 at halftime, clock winding down. He’s calling timeout and running a 2minute offense to try to get another field goal in. All in the name of getting his lads some much-needed experience, OVER the traditionaly JoePa concern of respecting the opponent/not running up the score. (Btw, this was the only time my Cuse buddy showed any emotion other than pure sadness, and actually busted out a ‘Joe needs to take off the diaper’ remark).
Convivite Nudem!
by jtothep on
Oct 3, 2008 1:57 PM EDT
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NCAA Football 2009 Sez...
36 – 14 Penn State. But I was playing against my 6 year old son…
by dontcallmescooter on Oct 3, 2008 11:19 AM EDT 0 recs
Dude, your six year old son scored 14 on you?
SHUT HIM DOWN!
by Tailgate Shogun on
Oct 3, 2008 5:02 PM EDT
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Iowa Hawkeye
I have always thought that out of all the big 10 mascots, the Iowa Hawkeye would make the best character in a horror movie. However, given that picture above, I’m not so sure anymore.
by cpm126 on Oct 3, 2008 11:29 AM EDT 0 recs
Yep. Definitely a sexual predator. I wouldn’t let kids take picture with that perv.
by Tailgate Shogun on
Oct 3, 2008 5:03 PM EDT
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Reminds me
of the great line in that E-Trade commercial where the toddler with the grown up voice sits in his heightchair, while Bobo (the clown he bought with his earnings) ties ballon animals in the background.
Kid’s last utterance: “I underestimated his creepiness”.
Beautiful.
'People are about as happy as they decide they want to be'
by Pete the Streak on
Oct 3, 2008 5:50 PM EDT
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Wait a sec
That dork’s name is Pudue PETE?
Dammit!
'People are about as happy as they decide they want to be'
by Pete the Streak on
Oct 3, 2008 7:39 PM EDT
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Herky
The Iowa mascot made an appearance at my cousin’s wedding over the summer (she’s an Iowa alumn). From the reaction of the people there, you’d think Jesus was reborn and partying in Cedar Rapids.
by The Mess on
Oct 3, 2008 12:36 PM EDT
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Alot of writers
are saying it should stay close for a little while, and that Painter will have a big day…I don’t see Purdue winning unless PSU helps them out to the tune of three turnovers or more….
Success without honor is like an unseasoned dish, it will fill you up but it won't taste good. - Joe V. Paterno
by carolinaeasy on Oct 3, 2008 11:36 AM EDT 0 recs
Like D-Will last week......
Mo is going to have a break-out game and absolutely dog Painter all day. I look for Maybin an Gaines to get in on the action too. I think Devlin and the second team will get a lot of reps in this game. Remember the defense didn’t pressure Juice alot last week to avoid him running on us like he did in 07! It will be open season on Painter and I look for 2-3 pics from our secondary. My prediction is 53-17! Go Lions!
I thought only safeties played 15 yards off the ball?
by pic15 on
Oct 3, 2008 11:47 AM EDT
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Opening up the playbook
I guess it depends on what you mean by that. If you mean show more than what we have so far, then I disagree. I think we can easily move the ball doing what we’ve been doing on offense. But if you mean don’t pull what we did at Michigan last year and run up the middle, up the middle, up the middle, then yeah. But I don’t think that will happen.
Agree with Mike on this one. Royster goes nuts. 38-14 PSU.
by speedomike on Oct 3, 2008 11:39 AM EDT 0 recs
I think you are right
don’t show ANYTHING NEW unless you have to do so. Otherwise use what is in already and spread it out and don’t get conservative. I also think that Joe knows he messed up at Michigan last year and is going to try and avoid that mistake again.
Success without honor is like an unseasoned dish, it will fill you up but it won't taste good. - Joe V. Paterno
by carolinaeasy on
Oct 3, 2008 11:44 AM EDT
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And to be fair....
That may not have been the wrong approach. If Morelli and Scott don’t fumble, and Morelli (hmmm…seems to be a them here) hits Butler on that slant we win. I’m not sure Morelli had what it took to do what Armanti Edwards and Dennis Dixon did to Michigan. Whatever, moving on.
by speedomike on
Oct 3, 2008 11:48 AM EDT
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Moving on, indeed.
For the record, I don’t mean show new material…I just don’t want to use the 2007 Michigan game plan even though I think it would probably work. This, to me, should be a trial run for Wiscy. Maybe that’s being too confident, but honestly if we win with comfort tomorrow then nothing else really matters anyway.
Kevin @ Black Shoe Diaries
by Kevin HD on
Oct 3, 2008 11:59 AM EDT
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45-21
Royster runs for 210 and 3 tds
Devlin sees some p/t after the first td drive of the 3rd quarter
28-7 at halftime
by blogue20 on Oct 3, 2008 11:57 AM EDT 0 recs
I used to think like you seem to, Kevin, that
“Ugh. We have to play on the road at Madison, and Columbus, at night, no less.” But I got to thinking, so the fuck what?!? If we are good, like 70’s -90’s good, then going on the road means nothing. If we’re really good enough, we’ll beat the Badgers and the Fuckeyes in their house. Maybe the players read some of this, and maybe they start to feel a little of that fear. No good. They need the confidence that WE ARE PENN STATE and that the other teams bows to our will, regardless of venue. Our truly great teams won ANYWHERE! I think this team has what it takes. I love Clark’s attitude. I really think these guys mean business.
The only thing that concerns me is does JoePa do a Michigan ’07 and clam up an hour before kickoff and decide to play not to lose rather than play to win? God willing, if no major injuries occur, we should be able to hammer them. Blow them out early, continue to give Devlin some reps, and keep everybody fresh for the next road game.
One final thought: Does anybody else out there share my thoughts that you’re maybe afraid to admit that we could be a really, really good team (potentially great), but you’re afriad to really let go and fall in love with this team and this season because you’ve been scarred by the losing (‘00-’01, ‘03-’04) and underperforming teams (2007) and afraid of having you’re heart broken? (If you’re a player reading this, it’s not you, it’s me).
by Ab4PSU on Oct 3, 2008 12:39 PM EDT 0 recs
I can say that I am...
I have been down this road before (99). I really want to see them win, but it is kinda like I don’t want to expect to much and be let down…It is hard to describe but I can tell you this I am taking it a game at a time and enjoying the ride.
Success without honor is like an unseasoned dish, it will fill you up but it won't taste good. - Joe V. Paterno
by carolinaeasy on
Oct 3, 2008 1:44 PM EDT
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PSU 38 - PURDUE 9
Painter hasn’t put a TD up yet on our lions and he won’t start now. He gets them close four times but they settle for 3 of 4 FG’s. The blocked FG comes early in the 2nd Qtr as they try and go up 9 – 7 but fail. The momentum un-evens here and we begin to score at will! We Are!
by MSippiNit on Oct 3, 2008 12:45 PM EDT 0 recs
42-28 PSU
I can see 4 touchdowns against our secondary. Fingers are crossed that Scirotto is healthy!
by chakey on Oct 3, 2008 12:53 PM EDT 0 recs
All-whites....
I am still waiting for them to come out at home in a Whitehouse in the All-Whites….the Beav would be rocking.
I love the all-whites…i think they are the best unis in the world.
Pat Devlin in '08, er, '09
by Nick7 on Oct 3, 2008 1:06 PM EDT 0 recs
the problem with that is...
it wouldn’t be a suprise…the road team would have to be notified in advance
Success without honor is like an unseasoned dish, it will fill you up but it won't taste good. - Joe V. Paterno
by carolinaeasy on
Oct 3, 2008 1:46 PM EDT
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I think the best thing about our white-outs is
even the visiting team wears white for it!
I bleed Blue and White.
by Horse N Buggy on
Oct 3, 2008 2:32 PM EDT
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That's a really, really interesting idea.
Maybe next year’s White House?
Doesn’t LSU wear white at home quite a bit?
by Run Up The Score on
Oct 3, 2008 4:40 PM EDT
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LSU wears white at home always as far as I know
I dont know. . . sounds like one cheesy step too many for me. Part of the PSU tradition is home blues in Beaver Stadium in my opinion. Maybe it’s because I don’t particularly like other teams that buck uniform standards (i.e. Dallas Cowboys also wear home whites).
by The IC Lion on
Oct 3, 2008 4:44 PM EDT
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Let me call
my LSU connection about that
'People are about as happy as they decide they want to be'
by Pete the Streak on
Oct 3, 2008 6:16 PM EDT
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Yup
RUTS and ICL are correct. They started wearing home whites in the late 70’s, went to colors sometime in the early 90’s, but switched back after a year or two.
The visiting team has to agree to this each game, and my LSU guy is amazed no one has tried to play psyche games as of yet, and refused to cooperate.
'People are about as happy as they decide they want to be'
by Pete the Streak on
Oct 3, 2008 6:21 PM EDT
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He's divorced
but yes – his girlfriend is hot.
Just being proactive here.
'People are about as happy as they decide they want to be'
by Pete the Streak on
Oct 3, 2008 6:23 PM EDT
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No. No. No.
The all-stadium white out is an excellent idea. It’s breathtaking under the lights. But the team MUST wear home blue.
by Ab4PSU on
Oct 3, 2008 4:49 PM EDT
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Purdue O-line?
Any talk about them? Purdue isn’t great offensively, 89th in rushing yardage, but 16th in passing yardage. They’re 50th in the country in sacks allowed. Could we get into another shootout here??? We didn’t get consistent pressure against Juice, and if we don’t get to Painter early and often I’m afraid this could be closer than I want it to be. Anyone else’s thoughts?
by jimbo2psu on Oct 3, 2008 1:22 PM EDT 0 recs
Different offenses
It’s going to be a big difference in style of offense/QB that the d-line is going against. Not sure how much was put into practice, but there was definitely talk that the d-line couldn’t just pin their ears back and go after Juice due to his scrambling ability and the option nature. That, along with the no-huddle offense, probably helped in keeping the pressure on Juice down (won’t blame all of it on "scheme").
With Painter, there is no real scrambling threat. (Of course I say that, and now he’ll go all “Steven Threet vs. Wiscy” on us.) Add to that an extra week of practice/play for Evans and Koroma and there’s likely to be an improvement in their play. Undoubtedly I agree that pressure will be key – just think you’ll see more of a sustained rush this week compared to last.
I’m also expecting a strong, if silent, game from Tony Davis. I’m taking State, 44-20.
by IcersGuy on
Oct 3, 2008 1:42 PM EDT
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Google News found this post
This blackshoediaries post was linked on the default Google News page.
Way to go BSD!
I, too, love the whites.
I think it goes way back to the old days when TV coverage was rare: if I saw the team in white uniforms, chances were that it was a bowl game.
by confirmy on Oct 3, 2008 1:23 PM EDT 0 recs
45-16
Painter will be able to drive them down the field but the D won’t break. Our offense will look impressive once the 1st qtr ends, you know these away noon games usually means the team is a little fuzzy for a while
"For every moment of triumph, for every instance of beauty, many souls must be trampled"- Hunter S. Thompson
by phishead_psu on Oct 3, 2008 1:23 PM EDT 0 recs
PSU 63-21
ehh… all your predictions seemed about the same so im throwing this out there
by PSUgavemeAnAlcoholproblem on Oct 3, 2008 2:41 PM EDT 0 recs
DEFENSIVE FEAST
Penn State’s defensive front will absolutely feast on Painter. Painter is a passer only, He will not be able to avoid being sacked at least 8-10 times and hurried countless others. CLARK is exactly the guy we have been waiting for to lead an already experienced offense. I may not sleep tonight waiting for the statement PSU will may on the road tomorrow!!! Let’s Go State!!!!!
by pslion on Oct 3, 2008 4:31 PM EDT 0 recs
Game
This game scares me. Penn State hasn’t been a great road team the last decade and if they start slow, it’s going to be hard for them to get back in the game, with how Purdue can put up points. If this team is truly for real, they will come out and dismantle Purdue right away, any struggles, and this team really hasn’t changed.
by PSU4ever31 on Oct 3, 2008 4:35 PM EDT 0 recs



