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One Step Forward. Two Steps Back


Final - 12.6.2008 12Total
Temple Owls 28 37 65
Penn St. Nittany Lions 24 35 59

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It figures that Penn State would follow up their greatest road win since 2005 by laying an egg against Temple at home. The Nittany Lions came out flat and never got it going. Though Penn State managed to close to finish within six points, it wasn't really that close. Penn State jumped out to a 10-4 lead, but then Temple went on a run to take a 15-14 lead halfway through the first half and they never looked back from there. They led by 6-10 points through much of the second half.

This team is just not good enough to the point they can just show up and win. They have to play hard every night, and on Sunday they didn't do that. They didn't play defense and they didn't play sharp on offense. The key part of the offense, the transition game, never got started.

The big blow was Stanley Pringle spraining his ankle in the first half. He didn't return, and the offense suffered for it. Hopefully they can squeak by these last four non-conference games without him, but the bench is pretty thin as Happy Hour Valley points out.

There’s barely a semblance of an inside game, particularly on the defensive end, and the backcourt becomes a hell of a lot weaker without Stanley Pringle in there.  Danny Morrissey is a streaky shooter whose performance depends on how many wide open looks he get, and tonight he got zero because Temple’s strategy involved locking down on him and rendering him useless.

This brings me to my next question, why is ED so reluctant to go to his bench when the situation is dire?  Could Woodyard and Babb done any worse out there?  If he’s actually relying on a 7-man rotation to carry him through the season then we’re in deeper (BSD - bleep) than initially thought.

I have to agree that Danny Morrissey is more liability than benefit. He's good at getting open when Penn State is in transition. But in the half court offense he's too slow to get open off the screens. And his defense is terrible. So terrible that Penn State is forced to play zone when he's on the court. It would seem that he's all we got, but I have to agree with HHV. Could Woodyard and Babb be that much worse? I hope these kids see a lot of playing time over the next four games in case Pringle is slow to come back. And if Battle has to keep playing all 40 minutes he'll be dead by the end of the year.

So we ended our toughest stretch of the non-conference schedule 3-2. We gave up one we could have won, and we blew our chance to get the valuable RPI boost of playing Villanova. We should enter the Big Ten schedule with a 12-2 record barring a monumental collapse somewhere. That would mean we would probably need ten conference wins to make the NCAA tournament. I think that goal is on life support at this point. However, if we can pull off seven or eight wins I think we can still make the NIT. There's a lot of work to do yet, but first they have to focus on beating Army tonight.

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8 Conf Wins Would Guarantee NIT

If they finish the non-con slate 12-2, i would find it extremely hard to believe a 20-10 team from a BCS conference would get left out of the NIT.

19-11, with a 7-9 conference record is more dicey, but still probably a 75% chance, no?

by Kunk on Dec 10, 2008 9:35 AM EST reply actions  

yep

This team has gotten in with records around 16-15 within the past few years. Anything over a winning record gets them in I think. Although not a basketball school, Penn State is still a name brand, which really helps.

by STU Boy on Dec 10, 2008 9:54 AM EST up reply actions  

Whoops

I guess there are 18 conference games, so 8-10 in conference would be 20-12.

Still, I think my argument holds (even for 19-13, 7-11 conf), especially if the rest of the Big 10 continues to play well

by Kunk on Dec 10, 2008 11:24 AM EST up reply actions  

Also

Michigan and Ohio State appear to be better than most thought. Small sample size, I know, but both have had impressive non-con wins. Add in Purude, Wisky, and Michigan State, and the Big 10 may qualify some extra teams for the Big Dance.

I guess my point is the Big 10 schedule looks to be tougher than originally advertised.

by Kunk on Dec 10, 2008 11:20 AM EST reply actions  

I would be ecstatic to be able to watch us play in the NIT.

It beats no post season and we would be more likely to advance.

We just needed a couple players, a couple people to buy in to the fact and we were able to do it. --A.Q. Shipley

by psu on Dec 10, 2008 12:30 PM EST reply actions  

I wouldn't say the big dance is on "life support"

What became evident in the Temple game was that this team has no bench and is not very good if we’re without Pringle (or Battle). But Pringle should return sooner rather than later, and I think we have the talent to be pretty good.

It’s a matter of keeping everyone healthy (which you could call luck), and hoping we get hot at the right time, have a couple of marquee wins and make some noise in the big ten tournament. Probably not likely, but not too far out of reach either, I don’t think.

I wouldn't trust old rooster me neither.

by spakajewia on Dec 10, 2008 1:14 PM EST reply actions  

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