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Grading The Big Ten Coaches

Because there is still a month to go until the Rose Bowl and we have nothing better to do. This will be an eleven part series with a post dedicated to each coach in the Big Ten. We grade on a classic bell curve here so we'll hand out two A's, two B's, three C's, two D's, and two F's. Coaches will be graded based on two criteria. The first part will deal with how much improvement they showed from last year to this year. The second part will grade them against the expectations of their teams as determined by the highly scientific method of what I expected out of them this year. I think I was pretty in tune with what the media was saying before the season so I think I have a pretty good grasp on what the national perception of each program was before the season started.

We'll start at the top of the class with the best coaches and work our way down the ranks to the coaches who utterly failed. So without further delay, let's begin with...

Star-divide

Pat Fitzgerald

Pat_fitzgerald_medium
Top o' the arbitrary blog rankings, ma!

2007 Record: 6-6 (3-5) - No Bowl Appearance

BSD's 2008 Expectations - 7-5 (3-5) - Motor City Bowl

2008 Record 9-3 (5-3) - Alamo Bowl (Projected)


 

Wildcats Football Schedule

Syracuse Sat 08/30 W 30 - 10
@ Duke Sat 09/06 W 24 - 20
Southern Illinois Sat 09/13 W 33 - 7
Ohio Sat 09/20 W 16 - 8
@ Iowa Sat 09/27 W 22 - 17
Michigan St. Sat 10/11 L 20 - 37
Purdue Sat 10/18 W 48 - 26
@ Indiana Sat 10/25 L 19 - 21
@ Minnesota Sat 11/01 W 24 - 17
Ohio St. Sat 11/08 L 10 - 45
@ Michigan Sat 11/15 W 21 - 14
Illinois Sat 11/22 W 27 - 10

No coach in the Big Ten did more with less than Pat Fitzgerald. Everyone expected a slight improvement, but nobody outside of Evanston expected nine wins. And if not for one flat game against Indiana it could have easily been ten.

Northwestern's most drastic improvement came on defense where they went from giving up 31 points per game a year ago to just under 20 points per game in 2008. They also gave up forty yards less on the ground and thirty yards less through the air to improve their total defense ranking from #77 to #53 in the nation. Their most dramatic improvement came in the pass rush where the Wildcats went from being ranked #96 to #12 in the nation and leading the Big Ten in sacks.

On offense Fitzgerald abandoned the pass happy attack of 2007 and focused on creating more balance in the play calling. Their overall production dropped by 70 yards per game, but they gained an additional 28 yards on the ground and did not drop off much in their scoring. But what's most impressive is how Fitzgerald was able to overcome injuries on offense. Starting quarterback C.J. Bacher missed two games against Minnesota and Ohio State, and Tyrell Sutton missed the last four games of the year from Minnesota on. Yet the Wildcats were able to go 3-1 over their last four games with wins over upstart Minnesota, Michigan, and Illinois.

The schedule was pretty favorable as they missed out on playing Penn State and Wisconsin and the out of conference schedule was pretty weak. But they turned around the loss to Duke from a year ago and managed some impressive wins over Iowa, Purdue, Minnesota, and Illinois. Considering the expectations and results and everything they had to overcome, it's hard to argue against Pat Fitzgerald for Big Ten Coach of the Year.

Final Grade: A


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I hate to pick nits...

Oh, who am I kidding… I live to pick nits.

Shouldn’t a bell curve be one A & F, two Bs and Ds, and five Cs?

Just sayin’.

There is a tractor in the parking lot, West Virginia license EIEIO. Your lights are on.

by leeharvey418 on Dec 5, 2008 8:09 AM EST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Maybe it's the classic

we wanna give Joe an “A” but we really think that Fitz did a better job curve

by PSUgirl on Dec 5, 2008 8:52 AM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Yeah ok

We’re using the BSD bell curve. If half the conference got C’s it wouldn’t be very interesting.

by BSD on Dec 5, 2008 9:04 AM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I know

I wish I could have found a copy of it slightly bigger.

by BSD on Dec 5, 2008 9:13 AM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

One of those "begging for a photoshop" shots

John Madden told me 90% of the game was half-mental...

by TheK-GunNeedsReloaded on Dec 5, 2008 9:32 AM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

He is

kind of hot in a clean cut, boy next door kind of way.

by letsgopsu on Dec 5, 2008 3:07 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

lol

‘boy next door kind of way?’ What kind of way is that? I just can’t buy a comparison to ‘girl next door’…

pax et amor

by jtothep on Dec 5, 2008 3:24 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Remind me again...

Doesn’t NW have pretty tough entrance requirements and hold students to a high level of academic excellence? Don’t they play their home games in the cold northern mid-west?
They somehow managed to go 9-3 WITHOUT a top 5 recruiting class?

There’s some other school I’m thinking of, can’t remember who right now, that says these are reasons they aren’t as competetive anymore, the reasons why they’re .500.

Congrats Fitz. Maybe he’s a guy we’d like to see at Pen State one day.

by NJ lion on Dec 5, 2008 9:08 AM EST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I know you're talking about the Irish

but love how it could apply to the Wolverines as well (except they can’t even claim a .500 season)

by The JuggerNitt on Dec 5, 2008 9:22 AM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Best Part about Fitz

He loved ND growing up, but they never offered him a scholarsip so he went to NW. In their magical ’95 season, they opened the seaosn by upsetting the favored Irish, on their way to a Rose Bowl.

Now to make matters worse, NW hired him as coach and he is proving to be better than the guy the Irish picked. Fitz just keeps sticking to Notre Dame, I love it. And good for him.

by STU Boy on Dec 5, 2008 10:30 AM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Vanderbilt...

…cries about this all the time in the SEC and they play in much better weather! They are going to a bowl for the first time since 1982. Funny how Northwestern has had some pretty decent success over the last 20 something years but Vandy hasn’t. And Vandy plays in the (insert sarcasm) “premier college football league.”

"Red, it took me sixteen years to get here. You play me, and I'll give ya the best I got."

by Touchdown on Dec 5, 2008 10:21 AM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

well that could actually be an argument in favor of the SEC

that all the other teams are so strong that success like NW has had isn’t as probable.

Not saying that’s true, but that is one way of interpreting it.

by The JuggerNitt on Dec 5, 2008 10:59 AM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

But

should i say it…

smartasses can be hot

Ben and Alex... first commits for 2024

by 3Yardout on Dec 5, 2008 11:35 AM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

yea i'm a guy

my fiance played softball at PSU…hense the support…

PSU Softball

by QBsneak12 on Dec 5, 2008 11:56 AM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

well then

your fiance sounds hot

Ben and Alex... first commits for 2024

by 3Yardout on Dec 5, 2008 12:10 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

A softballer.........

Mmmmmmmmmm………………

'People are about as happy as they decide they want to be'

by Pete the Streak on Dec 6, 2008 3:04 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

lol @ that plot

(and I hope you didn’t make it) but…

  • apparently they liked +2 SD so much that they put it on both sides of the curve ;-)
  • also (and I suppose it depends on what we’re analyzing) but I would probably switch the “more” side with the “less” side, but that’s just my way of thinking (positive = more)
  • and finally, there’s no “definitely”, just “much more probable”

/rant off

by The JuggerNitt on Dec 5, 2008 11:03 AM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I can see it now

Bleedblueandwhite is already putting together one of this six page comments on probabilities and statistics.

by BSD on Dec 5, 2008 11:46 AM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

luckily

i stole that off google….for a better example we shall use this…

Replaces Craigslist Stalkerpaths with Ohio State Students and Faculty

PSU Softball

by QBsneak12 on Dec 5, 2008 11:59 AM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

and replace Dazzling, Original Lunatics

with BSDers? or is it already obvious enough with that title?

by The JuggerNitt on Dec 5, 2008 12:20 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

It went without saying

Until…ya know……you said.

It’s cool, though. We BSD’ers do, of course, rock.

'People are about as happy as they decide they want to be'

by Pete the Streak on Dec 6, 2008 3:31 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

True

but that is why we all love him too

Ben and Alex... first commits for 2024

by 3Yardout on Dec 5, 2008 11:55 AM EST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I'm going to speculate about the low end

I gotta go with Bielema and Tiller for Fs. Was going to put Rodriguez there, but he inherited some big holes, so he’s probably a D.

by PSU Mudder on Dec 5, 2008 12:12 PM EST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

How do you not assume Zook

gets a D or F. Spectacular implosion there.

by chitownhawkeye on Dec 5, 2008 1:37 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Does DickRod

get an F or an N/A?

PSU Softball

by QBsneak12 on Dec 5, 2008 12:20 PM EST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

DickRod

I think he’ll swoop in at the last minute and steal Joe Tiller’s D or Zook’s C

PSU Softball

by QBsneak12 on Dec 5, 2008 12:21 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

nahh an F

“bad attitude”

Ben and Alex... first commits for 2024

by 3Yardout on Dec 5, 2008 12:25 PM EST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

On second thought

We’re not going to start at the top and work down. That’ll take the suspense out of it by the end. So I’m using my blogger right to change my mind.

by BSD on Dec 5, 2008 12:28 PM EST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

well

it will lose suspense by the end anyway, now that we know the distribution of grades :-p

if it comes down to one A and one F left at the end, and only JoePa and DickRod haven’t been listed, I think we’ll figure it out pretty easy. You basically need to have extreme grades of amibiguous coaches at the end to keep any pretense of suspence going.

by The JuggerNitt on Dec 5, 2008 1:19 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

My grades

Personally, I wouldn’t go on a curve (if everyone does a good job then everyone deserves a higher grade), but given the distribution you’ve stated, here would be my picks:

A: JoePa (reasons should be obvious) and Fitz (anyone who can win nine games at Northwestern is doing something right)
B: Dantonio (gotten rid of the late-game choke mentality; now if he can just get rid of the early-game “fold against great teams” mentality … ) and Ferentz (solid season, always competitive in the losses, probably going to a New Year’s game … not bad for an Iowa team with Shonn Greene as their only real weapon on offense)
C: Tressel (same old OSU – great in conference, blown out by a great team out of conference), Brewster (vast improvement, though it was kind of hard not to improve – but the total collapse down the stretch hurts), and Lynch (it’s Indiana, of course they’re going to suck, that’s not his fault)
D: Tiller (not a great way to go out) and Rodriguez (doesn’t have the guys to run his system yet, or really any system for that matter)
F: Zook (major regression on offense and defense) and Bielema (late-game chokes, escaping Cal Poly only due to a horrible kicker, and all this with a preseason top-10 ranking)

by SpartanDan on Dec 5, 2008 3:13 PM EST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I agree for the most part

but would switch Zook and DickRod.

DickRod may not have the guys to run his system yet, but if he were a good coach he would implement a system that complements his players, and not try to force the square peg into the round hole. Granted it does give the players more experience in this system looking forward to next year and the year after, but he probably should have been a bit more gradual with the change. From the Michigan football I watched, they looked most successful when playing “old school Michigan ball” than when they were trying to do the new stuff. It can also be argued that Michigan did less with more (or at least even…yes Zook has had some good recruiting classes, but I wouldn’t say that they surpassed Michigan, even with the graduations and transfers)

by The JuggerNitt on Dec 5, 2008 3:32 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I agree re: DickRod

He had Mallet there, who did a great job filling in for Henne last year. Why force your system in and a good QB out when all you have to do is adjust the game plan to fit the team you have today? I don’t get it, but I sure loved watching scUM suck.

by PSU Jen on Dec 5, 2008 10:36 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

What I’ve picked up from Michigan fans is that Mallett was probably on the way out anyway. And I think you’re better off getting a jump start on the new system at the expense of one awful year in transition than you are implementing it halfway and taking a couple years to get things running. But I can see the case for switching them – that was really the only tough call of the bunch (although Ferentz/Tressel was fairly close).

by SpartanDan on Dec 6, 2008 4:13 PM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Ferentz/Tressel

That is a close one, since Tressel only lost to the 2 teams he should have, while having no signature wins, while Ferentz didn’t really have any bad losses (though they were frustratingly close and probably should have beaten Pitt and Illinois) but had the win over PSU, so that’s why I’d probably give Ferentz the nod.

by The JuggerNitt on Dec 8, 2008 8:13 AM EST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

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