Luck be a Lady Lion
I've had this idea for a while now, and I'm finally going to do it. Each week (assuming anyone cares) I'll post the lines for every game involving a Big Ten team and pick a winner against the spread. At my discretion, I also may throw a couple of other games into the mix that I think are intriguing.
I've always been much better at gambling on the NFL than on college, mostly because the college games are so diverse. I always tell myself that if I just focus on the Big Ten, I should be ahead of the curve, but it still hasn't happened. Maybe this year.
I'm using Danny Sheridan's line from the Friday USA Today; if for whatever reason the paper doesn't have the line for a big ten game, I'll grab it from sundaystrategy.com (because I don't want to check my online gambling account at work.)
Michigan +3.5 at MSU
This line seems crazy to me, even though I do think Sparty's going to show up this week and look a hell of a lot more like the team that should have beat ND than the team that lost to Wiscy and directional Michigan. Still, you can't define it, but Tate Forcier has IT. I'll probably not even bother with the points and just take the Whore +145 on the moneyline. But for the purposes of this exercise, give me the Wolverines +3.5.
Arkansas State +21.5 at Iowa.
Iowa's good, but I don't have a clue about Arkansas State. The Hawkeyes host Michigan next week in what's shaping up to be a pretty major game in the early big ten season. They sleepwalk through this one. I'm taking the Red Wolves and the points. Arkansas St. +21.5
Wisconsin +2.5 at Minnesota
My sense of these teams so far is that Wiscy's about as bas as expected and Minnesota's better than expected. The Gophers hand the Badgers their first lost and win by a field goal in that beautiful new stadium. MIN -2.5.
Penn State -7 at Illinois
An interesting game this week. I think we find out a lot more about this team after this weekend. If we put up a strong effort, maybe we've got a top 15 team after all. If we don't, well....well, let's worry about that when we get there. I predicted a push earlier, but I think this is the game where the Nits finally get off the donut in their ATS record and we take down the injuns from Champaign. Penn State -7
Ohio State -17.5 at Indiana
What if we get the Ohio State team that shellacked Illinois last week and the Indiana that was one bad call away from having a legit chance to win in Ann Arbor? Indiana covers. Well, I don't know about the #uckeyes, but I think the Hoosiers are for real, whatever that means for them. It might not be as close as last week against Michigan, but Indiana's going to hold their own in Bloomington. This is the last week you'll be able to get easy odds on the Hoosiers; don't say I didn't warn you. IND +17.5
Northwestern +7.5 at Purdue (from Sunday Strategy)
Purdue's a good football team. They're the classic big ten team that's gonna end up .500 but could have won any game they played. I don't know jack about the Wildcats, but my wife's fascination with Wilbon's sartorial choices makes it easy to bet against them. PURDUE -7.5
Other games of interest
Washington +13 at Notre Dame
Vegas continues to disrespect the Huskies. Charlie Weis loves snatching defeat from the jaws of victory like he loves all you can eat buffets. Even if the Irish dominate this game, Washington will get a late score for the cover. I think I'll end up taking the spakajewia special (parlaying penn state with whatever team's playing against Notre Dame; not always a wise bet, but always great fun). Washington +13
Oklahoma State +7.5 at Miami
The U is for real, even though they looked awful in that first half monsoon last week in Blacksburg. This game features two teams I wish were on Penn State's out of conference schedule. (Seriously, wouldn't college football thank us for signing a four year deal with Miami?) Miami could very well win this one straight up, but I'll take the touchdown and the hook. Miami +7.5
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12 comments
Comments
It's actually
Oklahoma vs. Da U….
i’m taking the Sooners -7.5
"I'm not affraid to compete"
~Robert Bolden
by QBsneak12 on Oct 2, 2009 3:54 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I will define
Still, you can’t define it, but Tate Forcier has IT.
IT – tWWLs great hope the Michigan quickly returns to being a relevant program so they can call the Michigan / OSU matchup the Big Ten Conference Championship.
Or.
IT – The son Tebow.
"Wherever you go, Penn State will go with you. You are now a part of her. Her image will be cast in your image. Your reputation will become her reputation."
by noodlebucket on Oct 2, 2009 5:38 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
does that make tater force an immaculate conception?
We decide when you hear the snap count...
by thedrizzle on Oct 2, 2009 8:33 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
watch him play
he’s not a great quarterback, but he makes great plays from the quarterback position at key moments.
Believe me, I’d love it if Michigan was awful again this year, but they ain’t.
I wouldn't trust old rooster me neither.
by spakajewia on Oct 2, 2009 9:34 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
He's a freshman, they haven't played a solid defense yet
DO YOU HAVE PRIDE, DANNY?
by ReadingRambler on Oct 2, 2009 10:08 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
If they beat Iowa
then we can talk. Other wise they are an improved team playing against a weak big 10.
It's been a long, a long time coming
But I know a change gonna come, oh yes it will-Sam Cooke
by OMEGAMAN on Oct 3, 2009 9:06 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
So far I've said
Tate Forcier has it, by which I clarified that he has an ability to make great plays. But I said that he isn’t a great quarterback.
I also said Michigan isn’t awful.
I’m not sure what you’re disagreeing with. You think Michigan is still awful? Well, I guess we’ll see; but they’ve already won more games than they did last year.
You think Tate Forcier has not made great plays at key moments? Check the game tapes.
I hate everything about Michigan, their snotty fans, their insistence on calling the color yellow “maize,” that obnoxious fight song, the whole deal. I don’t let that color my opinion of them as a football squad, particularly when I’m considering placing a bet.
I wouldn't trust old rooster me neither.
by spakajewia on Oct 3, 2009 10:24 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
IT = INT
In the endzone, in overtime.
I don’t know what IT is, but if that’s IT, than I don’t want IT.
Classic Michigan State attempt to give the game away, and great to see that the new Michigan values the football about as much as a June Jones led Run ’n Gun offfense.
Nice picks so far Brandon Lange
by NittanyBadger on Oct 3, 2009 3:21 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
You're a nice guy
DO YOU HAVE PRIDE, DANNY?
by ReadingRambler on Oct 3, 2009 7:19 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
definitions
we’ll it turns out, that IT may be two differently things…
IT, as in “full of it,” like, this fanpost was full of it.
or
IT-the next coming of Chad Henne
I wouldn't trust old rooster me neither.
by spakajewia on Oct 4, 2009 12:45 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Well, Henne was 4-0 against Sparty, so that's hopefully already down the drain
DO YOU HAVE PRIDE, DANNY?
by ReadingRambler on Oct 4, 2009 1:17 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

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