LSU Preview By The Numbers


Penn State

Value (Nat'l Rank)

Value (Nat'l Rank)

LSU Tigers

Advantage

Rushing Offense (ypg) 173.6 (38) 134.2 (44) Rushing Defense (ypg) Push
Passing Offense (ypg) 238.9 (40) 192.4 (29) Passing Defense (ypg) Push
Pass Efficiency 144.5 (21) 108.0 (18) Pass Efficiency Defense Push
Total Offense (ypg) 412.5 (36) 326.6 (28) Total Defense (ypg) Push
Scoring Offense (ppg) 29.7 (41) 16.0 (12) Scoring Defense (ppg) Lsu_logo_medium 
Rushing Defense (ypg) 93.9 (10) 129.6 (85) Rushing Offense (ypg) Psulogo_mediumPsulogo_mediumPsulogo_medium
Passing Defense (ypg) 183.2 (19) 180.1 (99) Passing Offense (ypg) Psulogo_mediumPsulogo_medium
Pass Efficiency Defense 104.1 (14) 132.0 (48) Pass Efficiency Psulogo_medium
Total Defense (ypg) 277.1 (8) 309.7 (108) Total Offense (ypg) Psulogo_mediumPsulogo_mediumPsulogo_mediumPsulogo_medium
Scoring Defense (ppg) 11.8 (4) 25.5 (74) Scoring Offense (ppg) Psulogo_mediumPsulogo_medium
Net Punting Yds 32.9 (106) 18.8 (1) Punt Return Yds Lsu_logo_mediumLsu_logo_mediumLsu_logo_mediumLsu_logo_medium
Punt Return Yds 4.9 (107) 38.2 (13) Net Punting Yds Lsu_logo_mediumLsu_logo_mediumLsu_logo_medium
Kickoff Return Yds 19.2 (108) 17.4 (3) Kickoff Return Defense Lsu_logo_mediumLsu_logo_mediumLsu_logo_mediumLsu_logo_medium
Kickoff Return Defense 21.7 (62) 18.7 (111) Kickoff Return Yds Psulogo_medium
Turnover Margin 0.25 (46) 0.58 (21) Turnover Margin Lsu_logo_medium
Penalty Yds/Game 33.0 (7) 47.4 (69) Penalty Yds/Game Psulogo_mediumPsulogo_medium
Sacks 2.92 (8) 2.92 (108) Sacks Allowed Psulogo_mediumPsulogo_mediumPsulogo_mediumPsulogo_medium
Sacks Allowed 1.33 (27) 1.69 (79) Sacks Psulogo_mediumPsulogo_medium
Redzone Offense (%) 0.87 (25) 0.78 (28) Redzone Defense (%) Push
Redzone Defense (%) 0.65 (1) 0.90 (19) Redzone Offense (%) Push
Redzone TD % 0.64 0.36 Redzone TD % Defense Push
Redzone TD % Defense 0.38 0.61 Redzone TD % Push
3rd Down Conv. % 49.7 (7) 36.8 (44) 3rd Down Defense % Psulogo_medium
3rd Down Defense % 32.2 (14) 39.2 (61) 3rd Down Conv. % Psulogo_medium

Legend

Difference <25 in National Rank = Push

Difference >25 in National Rank = Psulogo_medium

Difference >50 in National Rank = Psulogo_mediumPsulogo_medium

Difference >75 in National Rank = Psulogo_mediumPsulogo_mediumPsulogo_medium

Differences >100 in National Rank = Psulogo_mediumPsulogo_mediumPsulogo_mediumPsulogo_medium

Note: The Redzone TD% and Redzone TD% Defense are calculated by me and not ranked by the NCAA. Determining who has the advantage in these categories is strictly my arbitrary judgement.

More analysis after the jump.

Best Matchup

The LSU defense and the Penn State offense should be pretty well matched up with each other. We know the Penn State offense struggles when the defensive line can get pressure on Daryll Clark. Fortunately, LSU does not blow you away in their sack totals.

Worst Matchup

There's nothing that really jumps out at you where both teams suck. LSU isn't great at returning kicks which is kind of surprising considering their punt return numbers. LSU fans suggest opposing teams won't kick to Trindon Holiday, the reigning NCAA 100 meter dash champion, and instead to squib kick to a fullback or tight end. This makes a lot of sense to me, and I hope Penn State follows suit considering our inability to cover kicks this year.

Advantages for LSU

Special teams, obviously. The Tigers are ranked No. 1 in the nation in punt returns...which scares me to death. But as long as the PSU offense can move the chains and keep the ball off of Jeremy Boone's foot, this will not come into play. Penn State has to just catch the ball on kickoff and punt returns, and avoid punts where blocks and big returns can come into play and special teams should not be a factor in this game.

Advantages for Penn State

The statistical advantage of the Penn State defense over the LSU offense jumps off the page. LSU doesn't do anything particularly well on offense. They have the play makers, but they tend to shoot themselves in the foot alot. Penn State will have to shut them down defensively, and hope LSU can't exploit their advantages in special teams if they hope to win.

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