Nitt Picks Has No Comeback
The facts are mounting.
SOS FAIL. Congratulations to Mike Hlas for being the first of literally thousands of beat writers who will eventually rank the 2009 Big Ten out of conference schedules (and yes, you know where this is going):
Playing two Mid-American Conference teams, an FCS squad and Syracuse, the Least of the Big East, is great for wins. It won’t work too well in those BCS computers, though.
Ranking the non-league schedules by toughness is difficult, because most are lousy. But here goes:
[...]
11. Penn State: Akron, Syracuse, Temple, Eastern Illinois. (What, Slippery Rock, Swarthmore, Susquehanna, and Scranton/Dundler-Miffin weren’t available?)
Now it would be easy here to pick apart his very brief comments but seeing as, twice, he uses "Syracuse on the road" as some type of positive indication of toughness, I'll save us both the trouble and just give a short list rules I wish were in place governing these off the cuff rankings of schedules:
- No using team names as punchlines. There are simply too many backwater sounding colleges in D1aa to allow for that kind of thing. Just because South East Missouri State sounds like a worse football team than Arkansas Pine Bluff doesn't make is so; if you care Sagarin says they aren't.
- No saying "they play X number of bowl teams" or "at least they're a bowl team" and please no use of the term "bowl eligible" without at least five metric tons on context. You can still suck and get six wins; ask anyone who watched the 2007 Pitt team.
- There are really only two types of teams: ones that can beat you and ones that can't. If your team's OOC includes four schools projected to land outside of Sagarin's top 100 and your friend's team has four schools ranked outs Sagarin's top 200, no talking garbage. They are the same schedule.
Now that we got that out of the way, let's bring this back home: Penn State's 2009 out of conference schedule is completely, utterly and hopelessly indefensible.
The games add no value other than getting our third string cornerbacks playing time and will be a constant liability in the computers and via WWL talking heads.
We are just going to have to take our lumps on this one and hope the backlash is enough to encourage the AD to at least attempt to put together a worthwhile pre-season schedule in the future.
But Don't Hold Your Breath. Just when you thought things might get better, they've gone and made it worse (H/T Rittenberg):
The Big Ten Conference is tweaking the tiebreaking procedure in football for determining the league's automatic representative to the Bowl Championship Series, Wisconsin Badgers athletic director Barry Alvarez told the Athletic Board on Friday.
The first tie-breaker has not changed and will remain head-to-head. But the conference has eliminated the next tie-breaker, that the team that played more games against Football Championship Subdivision teams (formerly Division I-AA) is eliminated.
[...]
Finally, the conference added a final tiebreaker that the highest-ranked team in the BCS standings will get the automatic berth, which is what the Big 12 used to break its three-team tie last fall -- much to the chagrin of Texas fans.
So to summarize, the tiebreakers will now go:
- Big Ten record
- Head-To-Head
- Overall Record
- BCS Standings
Great. So now there are even more reasons to schedule total punching bags in non-conference play. The penalty for playing a D1-aa school, one that could have come back to bite Penn State and Ohio State had MSU won the season finale, is no longer a deterrent against poor schedules.
In fact, they are actually encouraging it by jumping straight to overall record; a move that now rewards the team with the easiest schedule. Why play USC or Alabama when it could cost you a Rose Bowl birth? Plus think of all the extra ticket revenue from that home game!
I'm not going to even get into the use of the BCS standings as a tiebreaker because my head might explode. Let's just hope it never comes to that.
How To Deal. This is going to be misleading, teams lose players and the ones they keep often get better, but for discussions sake: Akron, Syracuse, Temple, Eastern Illinois finished 108, 104, 98, 200, respectively in Sagarin's database. It might be worth pointing out that Coastal Carolina finished 177 last year.
And there is this from EIU:
The Oct. 10 game at Penn State will match two of the longest tenured Division I head coaches against each other. Joe Paterno is the leader on that list serving at Penn State since 1966. Spoo has been on the EIU sidelines as the head man since 1987. The two are separated by Bob Ford (at Albany since 1973), Bobby Bowden (at Florida State since 1976), Andy Talley (at Villanova since 1985) and Frank Beamer (at Virginia Tech since 1987). This also marks the second straight season that EIU has faced the Big Ten’s representative from the Rose Bowl.
So at least we have storyline.
In scores of other games...check out Penn State's replica selection committee sheet...and B101 puts us back in the 'last four in'.
0 recs |
73 comments
|
Comments
but...but...but....
we play syracuse, and they beat notre dame last year……
i got nothing. i’m with the nittanyline on this one….refuse to go to the OOC games.
World F#$king Champions
by psudrozz on Feb 24, 2009 9:45 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
The Tie Breakers
I was really disappointed when I read about the provision for FBS teams played being taken out. This is strickly a move to protect the big boys in the conference. It’s getting more and more expensive for the Penn States, Ohio States, and Michigans to fill out their schedule. They have to start turning to these Div. IAA teams, but oh my God Michigan State was just one or two games from going to the Rose Bowl? We have to fix that. Even though Michigan State had the balls to go put Cal and Notre Dame on their schedule.
And I guess they weren’t paying attention to the cluster you-know-what in the Big XII south this year when they decided to let BCS standings decide the tie breaker. I can see it now. A team like Northwestern or Minnesota is going to get away with not playing Ohio State and Penn State. They’ll end up being tied for the league lead with a loss or two and go to the Rose Bowl where USC will destroy them 105-3.
Mike
Black Shoe Diaries
by BSD on Feb 24, 2009 9:48 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
I hate it too
and the more I think about the BCS thing the more likely it seems to me that it will be needed. With two misses a year and all these cupcake wins everyone is scheduling, there probably aren’t going to be a lot of situations where teams have the same BT record but a different one overall.
BSD
by Kevin HD on Feb 24, 2009 9:55 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Ok, but
Say Minny does go to the Rose Bowl in that scenario, but us and Ohio State are like 11-1 teams. We’ll I’d almost declare that a good thing, b/c who-ever wins the head-to-head will get a sweet BCS bid. Hell both teams might get a bid in that case.
I’ll just say it: I hate the Rose Bowl. I think having a conference tie-in to a BCS game is the stupidest thing ever. I would much rather have played Alabama or Texas or even Utah then any PAC-10 team. In my mind Ohio State lost at home to us, but still claimed the B10 title, and got a better BCS game.
PSU used to be an independent team, a team that didn’t have affiliations and so we built really cool rivalries all over the country. Alabama, WVU, Miami, FSU, ND… but now we’re in the stupid B10. So we give up all those traditional matchups for these teams I could care less about, our damn AD won’t schedule any of them OOC, and to top it off we have 0 chance of playing any of them in a BCS bowl game b/c unless it’s the NC game we HAVE to play a PAC-10 team (oh, unless we don’t actually win the conference but are good enough to get a bid).
It’s like if you’re not going undefeated and to the NC game, you might as well drop a game to get T-1st in the B10 so you can go out and play a game people actually want to see.
"We hugged as grown men do. It was a great moment. Then, it was business as usual." -- LJ Sr.
by millzners on Feb 24, 2009 10:04 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I can get behind that
although the Pac-10 thing is a lot less fun when it really just means playing USC.
BSD
by Kevin HD on Feb 24, 2009 10:31 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I can get behind the Rose Bowl thing, I mean.
Although now that I think about it, at least it’s a safe bet. If there were no tie-ins we could just as easily end up playing VT or Cinci, which is a definite downgrade.
BSD
by Kevin HD on Feb 24, 2009 10:59 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Alabama, WVU, Miami, FSU, ND These are not “traditional” match ups for us. Alabama and Notre Dame were series, that were played in the 1980’s. Nothing more, nothing less.
There is no chance that Alabama would schedule a home and home with us on an ongoing basis. Zero, ziltch, nada. Get it out of your head. Same deal Miami (who we played maybe six times in 20 years) and Florida State (who we’ve never played with the excpetion of bowl games. Notre Dame might make that deal with us, but then only because they are an independant, and schedules are tougher to make when you are independant, even if you are Notre Dame.
If we were an independant you would see more D-1aa games, not less. Frankly, our “traditional” rivals would have abandoned us by this point as well. Think Rutgers wants an ongoing home and home with Penn State, in addition to their confernce schedule? They don’t, despite whatever they say when asked about. Same deal Syracuse, WVU and Maryland.
Our choice was Big Ten confrence, or Big East confrence. We’ve chosen wisely.
"I honestly think the "Spread HD" is going to work pretty well, and we’ll be just fine this year". - 8-27-2008
by jesse. on Feb 24, 2009 10:41 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
The Big Ten, for football, is shameful. I’m not driving out to Iowa, Illinois, Minnesota, Wisconsin, or Indiana for a game — I just never will. At least when we played WVU, Rutgers, Maryland, or Pitt I would be willing and able to drive the 3-4 hours to see a game. I guess the big point is that if you’re going to play bad teams, at least play bad teams from a 400 mile radius — at least then you have the chance of sparking a rivalry.
We played Alabama 10 years in a row, (81-90) a decade of playing them when both our teams were at our peak. Notre Dame, during the same time period we played 12 years in a row. WVU we played 45 years in a row and haven’t played them in almost 20 years. I know they’re not traditionally very good, but like I said neither is Northwestern but at least WVU is close enough to get to for an away game…
The point is aside from Ohio State and Michigan, there’s no rivalries for Penn State now. We lost all of them to play these bad mid-western teams, and it’s harder then ever to book a good OOC schedule. In my opinion a bad North eastern team > a bad mid-western team because at least there’s a regional rivalry thing going on… But I completely understand why someone may feel the opposite…
"We hugged as grown men do. It was a great moment. Then, it was business as usual." -- LJ Sr.
by millzners on Feb 24, 2009 11:18 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I don't think that was the point.
We played WVU 45 years in a row and won what, 42 of those games? That my friend is shameful. Not playing Iowa, Illinois, Wisconsin or Michigan State that have all been competitive against us.
By and large, Northwestern is much more cometitive against Penn State than Maryland ever was, and it is a much better trip than Syracuse.
What I was responding to is the general perception that Penn State played a tougher shcedule in the 19070’s and 80’s than it does now. A perception that is objectively false. The schedule was more diverse, and more regionally appropriate, but it was not more difficult. In fact it was substatially less difficult if you consider the records.
"I honestly think the "Spread HD" is going to work pretty well, and we’ll be just fine this year". - 8-27-2008
by jesse. on Feb 24, 2009 11:25 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
How is the Big Ten any more shameful
than say…USC having to go to Washington? Or Boston College going to Florida state (for teams where neither to absolutely terrible).
I think everybody understands that for a fan to make a 8+ hour drive (or to hop a plane) is not going to happen. But it’s not like we’re the only conference spread out.
If you want to start getting these regional rivalries, the administration for both schools has to believe that it’s going to be financially positive for both of them. That’s the hard part to figure out.
by chitownhawkeye on Feb 24, 2009 6:12 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I think BC joining the ACC was stupid
And I think Florida teams (previously Miami, currently USF) being in the Big East is ridiculous. As for the Pac-10…well that’s just how they are :-p
by The JuggerNitt on Feb 24, 2009 9:17 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
they wouldn't give 2 Big 10 teams "at large" bids
I’m pretty sure they still cap it at 2 teams max, so you’d have the champ in the Rose Bowl, and then max one other team getting an “at large” bid
by The JuggerNitt on Feb 24, 2009 11:49 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Sometimes playing Florida in the Cap One bowl is better than playing Oregon or Cal in the Rose… Maybe it’s just me, I just don’t have much respect for the PAC-10 outside of U$C.
"We hugged as grown men do. It was a great moment. Then, it was business as usual." -- LJ Sr.
by millzners on Feb 24, 2009 11:50 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
no, I agree with that
I was just trying to clarify the “We’ll I’d almost declare that a good thing, b/c who-ever wins the head-to-head will get a sweet BCS bid. Hell both teams might get a bid in that case.” comment, since only 1 team would be able to get a sweet BCS bid.
Also, with the 5 BCS bowls now, we’d still only be playing the 3rd best SEC team in the Cap One Bowl, since they’re pretty much guaranteed a 2nd BCS team as well.
by The JuggerNitt on Feb 24, 2009 11:53 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
PSU will get what they deserve
Which is to be vilified in the press. The schedule is a joke, from the OOC punching bags right down to the weak conference. Not entirely their fault that the Big 10 has a reputation problem right now, but the only game on their schedule with any stones is Ohio St at home. There will probably be some team that will surprise but the pre-season story about PSU will be the schedule, and that is going to carry through for the entire season despite the performance of the teams they will play. Hell, Beano Cook was already talking about Penn State’s 2009 schedule LAST FALL.
I’m embarrassed as a fan of Penn State and college football; the greed has never been more blatant. Or perhaps I’m more sensitive to it now than 20 years ago – it always seemed to me that we had a few decent games on tap. Although if Notre Dame, Syracuse, etc. were playing at the level they were playing 20 years ago, maybe this conversation is a little different.
by DK Jr. on Feb 24, 2009 10:35 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
Argh!
I’ve done this before, but put our normal Big Ten Schedule up against our old 1980’s schedules. The Big Ten schedule is tougher, every year.
Even if you assume we played Alabama and Notre Dame every year (even though we didn’t), now we play Ohio State and Michigan every year. 9 years out of 10 that’s at least a wash, keep in mind that Alabama has been good for exactly two of the past 15 years. OSU and Michigan (and Penn State and probably Wisconsin too) have been much better than both Alabama and Notre Dame since we joined the Big Ten.
The rest of our so called traditional rivals were nothing more than peice of shit schools we bullied up and down the easter seaboard. While everyone always says we used to play Alabama every year, they ignore that we played Cincinnati just as often, if not more so, during that period of time. There was also no shortage of East Carolinas, Browns and William & Marys on those schedules as well.
It’s a down year for the Big Ten and this is the off year schedule. Don’t want your season tickets anymore? I’ll take them, and never give them back.
"I honestly think the "Spread HD" is going to work pretty well, and we’ll be just fine this year". - 8-27-2008
by jesse. on Feb 24, 2009 10:54 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Cincinatti
Didn’t we beat them 81-0 or something like that once?
If our choices were the Big East or the Big10, I think we made the right choice – not just for football, but for all the teams.
"The sea was angry that day, my friends." G. Costanza
by NJ lion on Feb 24, 2009 11:40 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Hey, unlike Maryland
Cincinnati actually beat us once. It was my very first Penn State game.
"I honestly think the "Spread HD" is going to work pretty well, and we’ll be just fine this year". - 8-27-2008
by jesse. on Feb 24, 2009 11:47 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Correction
You make Maryland sound much less competitive then they really were!

"A person is smart. People are dumb, panicky, dangerous animals and you know it."
by ReadingRambler on Feb 24, 2009 12:01 PM EST up reply actions 1 recs
If they were Pitt
They would hang a banner in the stadium with 1961 on it.
Mike
Black Shoe Diaries
by BSD on Feb 24, 2009 12:03 PM EST up reply actions 1 recs
And maybe even 1989
Mike
Black Shoe Diaries
by BSD on Feb 24, 2009 12:03 PM EST up reply actions 1 recs
I LOL'd at all three of these comments
+1 to all!!!
by The JuggerNitt on Feb 24, 2009 12:09 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I think we beat Maryland
73-0 in 1993.
"I honestly think the "Spread HD" is going to work pretty well, and we’ll be just fine this year". - 8-27-2008
by jesse. on Feb 24, 2009 12:20 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I remember that game
The ultimate insult was when our third string quarterback, I think it was Matt Senneca, ran for an 80 yard touchdown at the end. I’ve never felt as bad for a PSU opponent as I did that day.
Mike
Black Shoe Diaries
by BSD on Feb 24, 2009 11:57 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
It was John Sacca
Matt Senneca was about ten years later.
"I honestly think the "Spread HD" is going to work pretty well, and we’ll be just fine this year". - 8-27-2008
by jesse. on Feb 24, 2009 12:16 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah
I don’t think Matt Sennaca really had any highlights.
Poor kid was a deer in the headlights.
by CDRS on Feb 24, 2009 1:42 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
@ Northwestern in 2001,
after Mills got hurt. He led the game winning drive in the fourth quarter.
"I honestly think the "Spread HD" is going to work pretty well, and we’ll be just fine this year". - 8-27-2008
by jesse. on Feb 24, 2009 1:43 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Forgot about that
My only memory of him is one of the first game he started, he was a complete mess, totally lost Then Mills came in and played great.
by CDRS on Feb 24, 2009 1:46 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I remember that
It was supposed to be a QB run up the gut for 0 yards and he burst through the hole and went for the TD.
I also remember seeing Joe have a fit on the sideline because we scored again.
"The sea was angry that day, my friends." G. Costanza
by NJ lion on Feb 24, 2009 1:22 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Let's be clear though
This is not a Penn State problem. This is a college football problem. Penn State isn’t doing anything different than what every other BCS school is doing. Look at the out of conference schedules for the Big XII south last year. They were a joke too.
Would it be better to play Baylor, Iowa State, Washington, and Virginia or Akron, Eastern Illinois, Syracuse and Temple?
One group of teams is ranked 40-60 in the nation. The others are ranked 80-110. Does it really matter? We should beat them all, but both schedules are horrible.
Mike
Black Shoe Diaries
by BSD on Feb 24, 2009 11:04 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I agree with you
Here’s my deal though – part of me still believes that Paterno runs a better program. I mean, if we found out next week that Penn State was rigging the graduation rates to look better than they really are, I’d be disgusted even though the actual rates would probably be on par with other football factories. So the argument that “this is what all the other major football schools do” hurts. College football, in general, is pretty scummy if you look at recruiting, and exploitation of the players, the disgusting largesse of the bowl game committees, etc. I always liked that Paterno fights against a lot of what disgusts me about college football.
As you note, every year it seems like the major football schools have more and more incentive to schedule patsies. I understand the revenue generated by football helps many other programs at Penn State, it just seems a shame that the only way to generate that kind of revenue is to beat the crap out of tomato cans 6 times a year. If we accept that college football is mostly about generating money for the university, let’s pay the kids to play and start spreading the money around to the people responsible for creating the product.
/rant
by DK Jr. on Feb 24, 2009 12:37 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
this could just be "rumor"
or “myth” or whatever, and someone more knowledgeable should comment and/or correct, but wasn’t Paterno opposed to going from 11 games to 12 games, and so was in favor of schedule these weak “non” games?
by The JuggerNitt on Feb 24, 2009 1:02 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Agreed
Add into this that the schedules are frequently set years in advance, when they look like a reasonable opponent (I’m looking at you Syracuse) or that they back out of home and away series (that would be you, Missouri against Iowa), sometimes these cupcake schedules are unavoidable. But for the most part, they are set that way for the easy win. And until the voters and/or BCS computers reward difficulty and not just the W, it’s not going to change.
by chitownhawkeye on Feb 24, 2009 6:18 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Horrible schedule
No doubt about it, this years schedule is as bad as it gets. Come on 2010 and Alabama.
by markpsu on Feb 24, 2009 10:50 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
Eh, I'm a fan.
I’ll either be losing my voice in the stands or spilling my beer yelling at the TV. I’ll root for them every second and probably wonder what could have been at the end of the year. If they go undefeated I’ll be screaming “why not us!” and if they have one loss I’ll resign myself to the fact that our schedule didn’t let us participate in the Fictional National Championship game. If that happens I’ll root for them against USC or whoever they play in the Rose Bowl or whatever other bowl. Not too excited about the shitty schedule.
by jimbo2psu on Feb 24, 2009 11:14 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
Looking at the B101 page of Lunardi's
I see that he included Penn State on the “Last Four In” column on the right….but kept us out of his bracket in the main column. He has Notre Dame as one of the Last Four Out but included them in a first round game against Illinois as a 10 seed in his bracket.
by jimbo2psu on Feb 24, 2009 11:31 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
Hang on....
2009 is the only year we have this problem….
2006-2007-Home and Home with ND
2008-Oregon State at Home
2010-2011 Home and Home with Bama from the OMG ESSSSS EEEEEEE SEEEEE
2012-2013-Home and Home with Virgina from the ACC
2014-2015-Home and Home with Nebraska from the Big 12
Before you all get your panties in a bunch…look at some of those OOC games. Yeah, 2009 is pathetic, but over the last 3 years….and looking forward, we have scheduled at least one OOC game against a somewhat respectable opponent (we could not have predicted the joke that was 2007 ND).
WE ARE.......PENN STATE!
by Nick7 on Feb 24, 2009 11:43 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
same with the ‘Cuse — we didn’t know they’d we the worst team in the worst conference when we scheduled them… But looking forward, Virginia and Nebraska are both teams that could suffer a similar fate. I know Nebraska turned it around a little this season, but I’m not sure about Virginia. I get the feeling one of those two teams is going to be a repeat of what happened with Syracuse.
"We hugged as grown men do. It was a great moment. Then, it was business as usual." -- LJ Sr.
by millzners on Feb 24, 2009 12:00 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Thank Syracuse
They were supposed to be our marquee matchup in 08 and 09. They were just coming off a 10-3 year when we signed that contract. Who knew Greg Robinson was going to run them into the ground over the next five years? And give PSU some credit for going out and getting Oregon State last year to make up for it.
My biggest complaint is not that we schedule cupcakes. It’s that we schedule the weakest cupcakes out there. I would rather play the bottom feeders of the ACC, SEC, Big East and Big XII than play the bottom feeders of the MAC and FCS.
Mike
Black Shoe Diaries
by BSD on Feb 24, 2009 12:02 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
weakest cupcakes
same thing could potentially kill the basketball team this year.
BSD
by Kevin HD on Feb 24, 2009 12:09 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I just can't wait until a few years from now
when people are criticizing Penn State’s weak schedule because, “who knew Rich Rodriguez and Greg Robinson were going to run them into the ground over the next five years”
by The JuggerNitt on Feb 24, 2009 12:10 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Just to clarify the Tiebreaking scenario from this past year
Once we lost to Iowa, Michigan State had no chance of the Rose Bowl, even if they beat us (well, unless Michigan somehow beat Ohio State as well).
But yeah, if we were undefeated heading into that final game, and Michigan State beat us, then they would have gone on to lose the Rose Bowl by about 73 – 3
by The JuggerNitt on Feb 24, 2009 12:00 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
oh and also
I find it ridiculous that we added in the “BCS rank” as a tiebreaker after what we saw happened in the Big 12 last year, but when I try to think of a better tiebreaker (one that has a higher probability of sending the better team to the BCS game) I can’t think of anything. As much as I gripe about the BCS system, and even the BCS formula, it at least does a decent job of things. It even takes into account SOS (explicitly through the computer rankings, and implicitly through the human polls), which should be some deterrent against scheduling cupcakes.
I think having the “team with most FBS opponents” should have been a good deterrent against scheduling the cupcakes, but it obviously doesn’t work out as all the big teams still do it. And in the end, what really matters is W’s, and teams see that (plus the added bonus of the extra $$$ with the extra home game), and so we keep getting all these wonderful FCS schools on our schedule. What they should really do is just have a blanket rule that games against FCS schools don’t count at all in the rankings systems, and are just used as exhibition games (or just ban them completely).
by The JuggerNitt on Feb 24, 2009 12:08 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Re: BCS tiebreaker
I didn’t have a problem with the old "who hasn’t been there the longest" as the final tiebreaker. It would be one thing if we are trying to determine who gets to go to the MNC, but this is exclusive to decide who gets to go to the Rose Bowl only when the MNC isn’t part of the situation. If we were talking about the MNC, the BCS formula would decide that even without these rule changes.
All BT teams split the bowl money so it doesn’t matter, and if it was really that close I suspect both would be in the running for a BCS bowl anyway. The last thing I want to see is a bunch of Big Ten coaches on ESPN playing politician for a day trying to bs their way into the Rose Bowl.
BSD
by Kevin HD on Feb 24, 2009 12:30 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
No National Championship this year.
Our schedule is bad. As a fan it is frustrating because I want exciting games but also because before one game is played you can say we have almost no shot to go to the National Chamionship game. It will be very easy for them to keep us out. We would be the last in from any group of BCS undefeateds. An SEC (and maybe Big 12) team with 1 loss would surely jump an undefeated Big 10 team. We are going into the season climbing up the same hill Utah did last year.
Angry Mike
by AngryMike on Feb 24, 2009 12:13 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
I don't know about that
Having a season with 3 or more undefeated teams isn’t that common, and I don’t see any undefeated BCS team being jumped by a 1-loss team (though who knows with the way the Big 10 has looked the past couple years). I do agree, though, that amongst other teams with similar records, unless we win all our games by an average margin of 40 points, we’ll be snubbed.
But just look at last year, with pretty much as poor an OOC schedule. We jumped up to #3 in the country, and if we hadn’t lost to Iowa, we would have been in the MNC game. It just goes to show that having a poor OOC schedule won’t hurt you if you win more games than any other team. And heck, even if we had a good OOC schedule, if we still come across as the 3rd best undefeated team (because maybe we didn’t blow out our opponents as much), we’ll still get snubbed.
by The JuggerNitt on Feb 24, 2009 12:32 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
What about...
The schedule is embarrassing, agreed.
I also agree it’s too weak to really consider a MNC run, BUT: from a pure scheduling/poll point of view (actually playing the games aside, that is):
What about the fact that Ohio State has USC in September? I would imagine USC will be somewhere around #3 at that point in time- if Ohio State could pull off the win, they would have to be pretty high in the polls.
A couple weeks of normal attrition later, if we were to beat Ohio State in November, wouldn’t that propel us up there pretty high?
As much as the ‘A beats B, C beats A, so C is better than B’ thing makes no sense, I would imagine that some kind of perfect storm of events could still occur to put us pretty high in the polls in mid-November, and then all you really have to do is hold on.
by rbz14 on Feb 24, 2009 12:52 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
It has an admittedly crazy-conspiracy-theorist ring to it,
but isn’t that what November college football is all about?
by rbz14 on Feb 24, 2009 12:54 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
What you are really asking is this:
are the pollsters stupid enough to use that logic.
And the answer is “yes”.
BSD
by Kevin HD on Feb 24, 2009 12:57 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I don't know if it is so much "stupid"
as much as it is lazy (with a healthy dose of stupid thrown in, of course). I still can’t believe that 1/3 of the BCS formula is based on a vote by people who pretty much see 1 or 2 games a week (the coaches) one of which involves their own team and their current opponent, and the other(s) involving future opponents (sure, no bias there), and another 1/3 is made up of people voting who also pretty much only watch a handful of games (the Harris Interactive). I don’t know a better way to do it, but man it is a shitty system to base who goes to the national championship game on (and which is now used as a tiebreaker in at least 2 BCS conferences).
by The JuggerNitt on Feb 24, 2009 1:08 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
One solution is pretty simple
Have an “electorate”; 75-100 people who agree to watch college football all day on Saturday. With DirecTV and ESPN Gameplan, you can easily see 75 to 100 teams a weekend. The problem with so many of the voters, and all of the coaches is that they cover just one team, and therefore they only see that team, and the ones they play.
My way at least there are a number of people who are meeting objective standards of objectively following all of the relevant teams.
"I honestly think the "Spread HD" is going to work pretty well, and we’ll be just fine this year". - 8-27-2008
by jesse. on Feb 24, 2009 1:33 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
The only downside is that electorate members
are not permitted to drink during the games.
Still sound appealing?
pinkertonpark.com
by rahpsu92 on Feb 24, 2009 2:08 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
you never said anything about before, or after
or during commercial breaks :-D
by The JuggerNitt on Feb 24, 2009 2:12 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
No drinking at all...
not even kool-aide.
"I honestly think the "Spread HD" is going to work pretty well, and we’ll be just fine this year". - 8-27-2008
by jesse. on Feb 24, 2009 2:22 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Especially kool-aide
no rose colored glasses wearing either.
Someone start making a list.
pinkertonpark.com
by rahpsu92 on Feb 24, 2009 2:36 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
The only way
our schedule costs us a National Title is if we go 12-0, go to the Rose Bowl and win. Bitching about the schedule’s effect on winning a national title is putting the cart just slighly before the horse.
"I honestly think the "Spread HD" is going to work pretty well, and we’ll be just fine this year". - 8-27-2008
by jesse. on Feb 24, 2009 12:29 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
putting the horse above the cart?
or is that reaching just to bring the picture back into it?
BSD
by Kevin HD on Feb 24, 2009 12:32 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Let's be optomistic but not Koolaide drinkers
I too think the schedule for 2009 sucks.
However, anyone who thinks this years team has a shot at the NC ,regardless of schedule, is drinking Koolaide. With that said then the schedule presents an opportunity for a lot of kids to develop and have the team end up with a respectable win/loss record (confidence builder). Rebuilding our team for a NC run has historically been a 3 year process. This will be the 1st of those years. 2010 and 2011 are the years and schedules we need to be concerned about.
As far as getting into a BCS bowl. The Big Ten has had 2 teams in a BCS bowl for each of the past 3 years. So don’t rule out being #2 in the B10 and getting iced from a New Years game.
by ageing lion on Feb 24, 2009 12:37 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
9th game debate
http://www.badgerbeat.com/blog/blog/id/440160
This could be a big deal if we could make it work. The short version is everyone wants to add a 9th conference game, but for two years everyone once in a decade, you’d have to only have 8 because 11 teams playing 9 conference games doesn’t work out mathematically and the home/away schedule must be a 2-year cycle.
anyway, I think they should push like hell to make this work — b/c it will give us an extra week of playing toward bowl season, an extra game to add to our record, and will allow for one more “every season” game (we could play both Michigan and Ohio State every season instead of just Ohio State).
"We hugged as grown men do. It was a great moment. Then, it was business as usual." -- LJ Sr.
by millzners on Feb 24, 2009 12:38 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Extra Game??
Playing a 9th conference game would mean one less OCC game. We would not get ot play a 13th game.
by ageing lion on Feb 24, 2009 12:42 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
If that ever happened...
Penn State would completely cease scheduling home-and-home matchups with decent teams. You’d have alternating years of four home conference games and three abject pansies in the non-con, or five home conference games with three abject pansies in the non-con. You’d never see another top 20 team come to Beaver Stadium again, and for damned sure, you’d never see PSU playing a tough away game before October.
If they’re going to add games, just go to ten conference games and two cupcakes. Doesn’t that fix the math problem from a scheduling standpoint? From a monetary standpoint, it would never happen. The big boys of the conference would want those eight home games every other year.
--
Black Shoe Diaries
"When it's third-and-10, you can take the milk drinkers and I'll take the whiskey drinkers every time." -- Max McGee
by Run Up The Score on Feb 24, 2009 1:48 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Disclaimer.
That previous comment is my first thought since eating lunch and my neurons may not be firing properly yet.
--
Black Shoe Diaries
"When it's third-and-10, you can take the milk drinkers and I'll take the whiskey drinkers every time." -- Max McGee
by Run Up The Score on Feb 24, 2009 1:48 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
It's not about great matchup, folks
It’s about this…$$$$$$$
by Mr. Rosewater on Feb 24, 2009 2:32 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
As a season ticket holder for 5 years now
I will only be attending 2 games this year partly due to economics and partly due to the pitiful nature of the home slate. Iowa and Ohio State are the only games that I’m concerned with heading up to SC to see this year. Minny could be a good game but that’s where the economics comes into play and I choose to see Iowa over Minny.
by RNF18 on Feb 24, 2009 2:37 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
I wonder
People say schools want/need the extra home game for revenue. Well, if Instead of an extra Home game against eastern illinois, you had a home and home series continuing against various big time opponents. Would this not generate more revenue in the long run? By playing big time games, more interest would be generated in the program. And while not every year, every other year at least you would have a primetime game, with an overflowing stadium of people that each spent a bunch of dough on PSU gear. I just fail to see the negative of having 1, just 1 big time ooc game a year besides the fact that you might (gasp!) lose.
Also if you play a gigantic ooc game (USC, UF, UT, etc etc etc) we could still play 3 other lesser teams and people would complain less. We could have(for arguments sake) Oklahoma, Akron, Temple, Cuse. I think that would be more than fine. THANK GOD for ’bama in the coming years, should be an awesome series
by Roland86 on Feb 24, 2009 2:41 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
That only works...
…if the cupcake OOC games were not selling out at Beaver Stadium. But they are. So sure, while they’re not getting the national media hype, they’re still getting the same $$$ in ticket revenue. That’s all they care about. If people want to encourage them not to keep scheduling cupcakes, and to start scheduling teams that at least have a pulse, then they shouldn’t buy tickets to those cupcake games. But if you’ve already bought your season tickets, then they already have your money, whether or not you show up. They couldn’t care less about having 105,000 in the stands (but all the tickets paid for) vs having 110,000 in the stands. Probably what will have to happen before they change their habits is they’ll have to get burned, and lose out on a BCS bid or an MNC bid. If they lose out on a few million dollars by missing out on a big bowl game because of their cupcake schedule, maybe they’d realize it’s not such a wise investment.
Let's Go State!
by Gopher Broke on Feb 24, 2009 3:30 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Not buying tix to cupcake games
Unfortunately for those of us without season tix, these are the ONLY games that we can actually get tickets for. So as unenjoyable as it is to watch Penn State crush Temple, at least I get to Happy Valley for the weekend to see the Lions play.
"The sea was angry that day, my friends." G. Costanza
by NJ lion on Feb 24, 2009 4:43 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
So are we saying that...
the OOC isn’t one of the easiest in the entire country? Because it is, and its shameful.
You can’t defend playing that record.
"For every moment of triumph, for every instance of beauty, many souls must be trampled"- Hunter S. Thompson
by phishead_psu on Feb 24, 2009 2:48 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
no, we are saying that it is one of the easiest in the entire country
and we are shamed by it.
by The JuggerNitt on Feb 24, 2009 5:09 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
And not looking forward to the press coverage of the schedule
Which will be similar to 2008 if PSU is good in 2009, plus the added baggage of getting stomped in the Rose Bowl will make it worse since the 2008 criticism looked really justified on New Year’s Day.
by DK Jr. on Feb 24, 2009 6:07 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs

by 






















