Illinois Fighting Illini Preview By The Numbers
by BSD on Sep 30, 2009 10:00 AM EDT
in Game Previews
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Legend
Difference <25 in National Rank = Push
Difference >25 in National Rank = 
Difference >50 in National Rank =
Difference >75 in National Rank =
Differences >100 in National Rank =
Note: The Redzone TD% and Redzone TD% Defense are calculated by me and not ranked by the NCAA. Determining who has the advantage in these categories is strictly my arbitrary judgement.
More analysis after the jump.
First impression: Um, wow. There's a lot of blue on that chart and just a speck of orange.
Best Matchup
Illinois has a pretty robust rushing attack fueled by Juice Williams and the zone read option. Penn State has an outstanding rushing defense, but this rushing attack will be unlike any they have seen yet.
Worst Matchup
Once again Penn State gets a chance to pad their incredibly horrible kickoff coverage stats as Illinois is equally terrible at returning kicks.
Advantages for Illinois
Illinois has a slight advantage in special teams. Like last week, it's not that they're great, it's just that Penn State is terrible. Really everything is pretty even on special teams except for when Illinois kicks. They do a pretty good job of covering while Penn State does a horrible job on returns. Let's just hope if everything goes well and Illinois scores as much as they did last week, that Penn State will only have one kick return in the game.
Advantages for Penn State
Wow, where to start. Illinois is teh suck at pretty much everything. I guess losing two of your three games by a combined score of 67-9 will do that to you. They have looked pathetic on offense and defense. Though Penn State's offense hasn't been lighting the world on fire, they should get opportunities against the Illini defense. It's almost incomprehensible how poorly the Illinois offense has performed. Juice and Benn were supposed to be the most dangerous combination in the league this year.
I consider the bottom portion of the chart to be an indication of how well disciplined a team is. Executing in the redzone and on third down, protecting the ball, and minimizing penalties are indications of well coached teams. Though Penn State has had issues finishing in the redzone and protecting the ball, they have done better than Illinois in just about every category.
Outlook For The Game
Illinois is a team in shambles right now. Not only are they not performing on offense or defense, but they just don't appear to be well coached. Expect them to shoot themselves in the foot repeatedly with penalties.
Of course, Arrelious Benn has established himself as a Nittany Lion killer. His two best games ever were arguably against Penn State in 2007 and 2008. What can I say? He likes him some Cover-3.
But Illinois has to run the ball in order to be effective. Ohio State shut down their running game and the rest of the offense crumbled. I would look for Penn State's front seven to have similar results and Penn State should get back on the winning track in this game.
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Wow, Illinois is giving up 280 points a game?!?!?!
by VVeRPennState on Sep 30, 2009 10:05 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I'd hate to see what the 89-120 ranked Scoring Defenses are
by PSUisMyHeart on Sep 30, 2009 10:26 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
The Maginot Line, a hooker, and Texas Tech
DO YOU HAVE PRIDE, DANNY?
by ReadingRambler on Sep 30, 2009 10:27 AM EDT up reply actions 1 recs
+1 for Maginot Line reference.
Never mistake effort for achievement.
by Esteban d' Amur on Sep 30, 2009 10:39 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
+1
For ‘Juice and Been’, however accidental.
"For me the game wasn’t grounded in reality. It was about the uniform you put on that turned you into a warrior. It was about the mythology of the battle, the victory, the defeat, the struggle." - Mike Reid, PSU '69
by jtothep on Sep 30, 2009 10:08 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
The joys of being a blogger
No typo goes unnoticed.
Mike
Black Shoe Diaries
by BSD on Sep 30, 2009 11:00 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Sorry
That’s mostly behind me. Except when it brings about a cool new nickname.
Plus, was just eager to find something to comment on again, after having nothing post-Iowa.
"For me the game wasn’t grounded in reality. It was about the uniform you put on that turned you into a warrior. It was about the mythology of the battle, the victory, the defeat, the struggle." - Mike Reid, PSU '69
by jtothep on Sep 30, 2009 11:16 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I almost we played this week
It is going to take a little but for me to get up for this one after last weeks debacle. All I can say is at least it is not at Noon.
"Wherever you go, Penn State will go with you. You are now a part of her. Her image will be cast in your image. Your reputation will become her reputation."
by noodlebucket on Sep 30, 2009 10:33 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
err...almost forgot we played this week
"Wherever you go, Penn State will go with you. You are now a part of her. Her image will be cast in your image. Your reputation will become her reputation."
by noodlebucket on Sep 30, 2009 10:33 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Still the first away game,
and Good Juice can show up at any time.
BSD
by Kevin HD on Sep 30, 2009 11:03 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Can he, tho?
Does he still exist? Is Been even half the receiver he once was? Or, more likely, have they both been Zookerfied, never to appear again?
"For me the game wasn’t grounded in reality. It was about the uniform you put on that turned you into a warrior. It was about the mythology of the battle, the victory, the defeat, the struggle." - Mike Reid, PSU '69
by jtothep on Sep 30, 2009 11:08 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
"Good Juice" = Eddie McGee
DO YOU HAVE PRIDE, DANNY?
by ReadingRambler on Sep 30, 2009 11:12 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Between the ears
Missouri passed all over Illinois. So did Illinois State. OSU ran all over them. Their defense really sucks.
I said it two days ago, if Penn State can’t put up 30 points on these jokers, start writing off the season.
--
"Not everybody is the perfect person in the world. Everyone does - kills people, murders people, steals from you, steals from me." -- Terrelle Pryor
by Run Up The Score on Sep 30, 2009 11:09 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
PSU is 3rd in penalty yards per game?
Wow, what’s the flipside of “quality over quantity?”
by Cairo on Sep 30, 2009 11:37 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Hey
I’ll take a bullrush pancake victim over a false starter any day.
"For me the game wasn’t grounded in reality. It was about the uniform you put on that turned you into a warrior. It was about the mythology of the battle, the victory, the defeat, the struggle." - Mike Reid, PSU '69
by jtothep on Sep 30, 2009 12:09 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
No, I meant PSU's few penalties have come at the most inopportune times.
by Cairo on Sep 30, 2009 12:25 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Ahhh
And true nuff. Although Nerraw didn’t get nearly as pwned the rest of the game, his first contribution upon reporting in was to negate that awesome Derek Moye catch along the sideline.
"For me the game wasn’t grounded in reality. It was about the uniform you put on that turned you into a warrior. It was about the mythology of the battle, the victory, the defeat, the struggle." - Mike Reid, PSU '69
by jtothep on Sep 30, 2009 12:29 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Should we be worried that DC17 is sleeping with the enemy?
I just hope he got advice from good Juice during this call….not bad Juice.
I bleed Blue and White.
by Horse N Buggy on Sep 30, 2009 12:21 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
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