Michigan Wolverines By The Numbers



Penn State

Value (Nat'l Rank)

Value (Nat'l Rank)

Michigan Wolverines

Advantage

Rushing Offense (ypg) 128.7 (86) 144.7 (54) Rushing Defense (ypg) Michiganwolverines_medium
Passing Offense (ypg) 208.7 (71) 296.3 (117) Passing Defense (ypg) Psulogo_medium
Pass Efficiency 116.4 (93) 140.9 (95) Pass Efficiency Defense Push
Total Offense (ypg) 337.4 (82) 441.0 (104) Total Defense (ypg) Push
Scoring Offense (ppg) 20.3 (99) 28.4 (80) Scoring Defense (ppg) Push
Rushing Defense (ypg) 143.9 (52) 281.6 (7) Rushing Offense (ypg) Michiganwolverines_medium
Passing Defense (ypg) 187.9 (29) 250.4 (39) Passing Offense (ypg) Push
Pass Efficiency Defense 129.5 (71) 159.8 (14) Pass Efficiency Michiganwolverines_mediumMichiganwolverines_medium
Total Defense (ypg) 331.7 (31) 532.0 (2) Total Offense (ypg) Michiganwolverines_medium
Scoring Defense (ppg) 18.4 (22) 36.0 (17) Scoring Offense (ppg) Push
Net Punting Yds 39.1 (20) 5.1 (102) Punt Return Yds Psulogo_mediumPsulogo_mediumPsulogo_medium
Punt Return Yds 7.0 (76) 37.7 (44) Net Punting Yds Michiganwolverines_medium
Kickoff Return Yds 26.0 (10) 18.4 (8) Kickoff Return Defense Push
Kickoff Return Defense 18.8 (13) 19.4 (106) Kickoff Return Yds Psulogo_mediumPsulogo_mediumPsulogo_medium
Turnover Margin -0.14 (68) -0.43 (87) Turnover Margin Push
Penalty Yds/Game 25.1 (1) 51.0 (T-53) Penalty Yds/Game Psulogo_mediumPsulogo_medium
Sacks 1.29 (97) 0.43 (4) Sacks Allowed Michiganwolverines_mediumMichiganwolverines_mediumMichiganwolverines_medium
Sacks Allowed 0.71 (11) 1.43 (90) Sacks Psulogo_mediumPsulogo_mediumPsulogo_medium
Redzone Offense (%) 0.73 (T-106) 0.88 (T-90) Redzone Defense (%) Push
Redzone Defense (%) 1.0 (T-120) 0.84 (T-52) Redzone Offense (%) Michiganwolverines_mediumMichiganwolverines_medium
Redzone TD % 0.36 0.69 Redzone TD % Defense Michiganwolverines_mediumMichiganwolverines_medium
Redzone TD % Defense 0.73 0.77 Redzone TD % Michiganwolverines_mediumMichiganwolverines_medium
3rd Down Conv. % 36.8 (T-85) 42.0 (T-82) 3rd Down Defense % Push
3rd Down Defense % 25.6 (3) 45.6 (26) 3rd Down Conv. % Push
1st Downs Per Game 17.0 (96) 22.4 (T-105) 1st Downs Allowed PG Push
1st Downs Allowed PG 17.0 (28) 23.7 (T-17) 1st Downs Per Game Push

 

Legend

Difference <25 in National Rank = Push

Difference >25 in National Rank =   Psulogo_medium

Difference >50 in National Rank =   Psulogo_mediumPsulogo_medium

Difference >75 in National Rank =   Psulogo_mediumPsulogo_mediumPsulogo_medium

Difference >100 in National Rank = Psulogo_mediumPsulogo_mediumPsulogo_mediumPsulogo_medium

Note: The Redzone TD% and Redzone TD% Defense are calculated by me and not ranked by the NCAA. Determining who has the advantage in these categories is strictly my arbitrary judgement.

More analysis after the jump.   

So what can we gain from this weeks chart?

For one thing, when Penn State has the ball it's going to be a cripple fight. Michigan's defense is on par with Minnesota's, though a bit more stiff against the run. You have to wonder if Penn State will ever get to the point this season where they completely give up on the run and decide to throw the ball 75% of the time. If ever there were a game to do it, this is the one. The Wolverines are one of the worst pass defenses in the nation.

We all know what to expect when Michigan has the ball. Basically just hold on for your life and hope somebody can grab one of those untied shoelaces before Denard Robinson scampers all the way to the endzone. Forcing them into third and long situations will be critical as Penn State has been surprisingly good at getting off the field this year when they can get the opponent to third down.

I find it interesting that neither team is particularly good at generating a pass rush. I think this is an advantage for Penn State. Obviously we want the Penn State quarterback, whether that be Bolden or McGloin, to have time to throw in the pocket. But the flip side is I think it's to Penn State's advantage to not pressure Robinson. Let him feel comfortable in the pocket and try to throw the ball. If it's 3rd-and-7, I like our chances better if Robinson is trying to throw it rather than try to run for the first down.

The way it looks to me, it's a push when Penn State has the ball, and Michigan has a considerable advantage when they have the ball. So in order for PSU to win the game, they have to force Michigan into making turnovers while limiting their own, win the penalty game, and win the special teams game. In my opinion, turnovers will be the key to the game.

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