Indiana Hoosiers By The Numbers
by BSD on Nov 17, 2010 12:01 PM EST
in Football
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Penn State |
Value (Nat'l Rank) |
Value (Nat'l Rank) |
Advantage |
|
| Rushing Offense (ypg) | 145.9 (71) | 183.3 (92) | Rushing Defense (ypg) | Push |
| Passing Offense (ypg) | 213.8 (66) | 228.3 (81) | Passing Defense (ypg) | Push |
| Pass Efficiency | 122.4 (85) | 154.8 (114) | Pass Efficiency Defense |  |
| Total Offense (ypg) | 359.7 (74) | 411.6 (89) | Total Defense (ypg) | Push |
| Scoring Offense (ppg) | 23.2 (89) | 33.6 (100) | Scoring Defense (ppg) | Push |
| Rushing Defense (ypg) | 172.2 (83) | 104.1 (108) | Rushing Offense (ypg) | |
| Passing Defense (ypg) | 184.5 (19) | 287.4 (16) | Passing Offense (ypg) | Push |
| Pass Efficiency Defense | 133.0 (81) | 129.4 (62) | Pass Efficiency | Push |
| Total Defense (ypg) | 356.7 (52) | 391.5 (53) | Total Offense (ypg) | Push |
| Scoring Defense (ppg) | 21.9 (38) | 26.8 (62) | Scoring Offense (ppg) | Push |
| Net Punting Yds | 39.3 (11) | 8.7 (49) | Punt Return Yds | |
| Punt Return Yds | 7.4 (67) | 33.8 (98) | Net Punting Yds | |
| Kickoff Return Yds | 23.6 (26) | 25.1 (106) | Kickoff Return Defense | |
| Kickoff Return Defense | 19.7 (18) | 23.3 (37) | Kickoff Return Yds | Push |
| Turnover Margin | -0.30 (76) | -0.50 (91) | Turnover Margin | Push |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 27.1 (1) | 44.6 (T-27) | Penalty Yds/Game | |
| Sacks | 1.40 (T-98) | 0.90 (T-12) | Sacks Allowed |   |
| Sacks Allowed | 0.90 (T-12) | 1.40 (T-98) | Sacks | |
| Redzone Offense (%) | 0.77 (T-92) | 0.92 (T-113) | Redzone Defense (%) | Push |
| Redzone Defense (%) | 0.92 (T-113) | 0.85 (T-41) | Redzone Offense (%) | |
| Redzone TD % | 0.51 | 0.63 | Redzone TD % Defense | Push |
| Redzone TD % Defense | 0.69 | 0.54 | Redzone TD % | Push |
| 3rd Down Conv. % | 40.7 (55) | 43.9 (97) | 3rd Down Defense % | |
| 3rd Down Defense % | 31.2 (8) | 45.5 (28) | 3rd Down Conv. % | Push |
| 1st Downs Per Game | 18.9 (T-73) | 19.1 (53) | 1st Downs Allowed PG | Push |
| 1st Downs Allowed PG | 17.8 (31) | 21.6 (35) | 1st Downs Per Game | Push |
Legend
Difference <25 in National Rank = Push
Difference >25 in National Rank =
Difference >50 in National Rank =
Difference >75 in National Rank =
Difference >100 in National Rank =
Note: The Redzone TD% and Redzone TD% Defense are calculated by me and not ranked by the NCAA. Determining who has the advantage in these categories is strictly my arbitrary judgement.
More analysis after the jump.
There's not a lot of color on that chart which would lead us to believe these teams are pretty evenly matched. But here again we have to look at the story behind the numbers. Indiana has played four absolutely horrible teams out of conference that have a combined record of 7-33. Arkansas State is the best of them with a 4-6 record, and the Hoosiers beat them by two points.
In Big Ten play, the Hoosiers are sporting the big goose egg with an 0-6 record. In fairness, they could easily be 3-3 right now as their losses to Michigan, Northwestern, and Iowa were very close. However, their losses to Illinois, Ohio State, and Wisconsin were not.
If you look at the numbers above for Penn State's offense against Indiana's defense, most of those numbers are very close to tipping into the PSU column. So I think it's safe to say Penn State should have a slight advantage here. Especially after playing the Buckeyes last week. Indiana defenders should look like they are running in slow motion to our offensive line and Matt McGloin.
Teams that have success against Penn State on offense do so by running the ball. Indiana is not going to be able to do this. Not only do they not have the players to run on Penn State, they only attempt to run the ball 41% of the time by nature. Look for Penn State to play a lot of nickel defense as Indiana likes to spread you out and they won't do a lot of running. Damarlo Belcher, Tandon Doss, and Terrance Turner are three wideouts that can burn you, and Ben Chappell is a very capable quarterback with a 19/8 TD to INT ratio and 2700 yards passing on the year.
Penn State should have an advantage on special teams this week as Anthony Fera has been doing very well with his punts and Indiana has not. The Hoosiers are also not great at covering kickoffs. Kick returns is an area where Penn State has struggled in recent weeks, so it will be interesting to see if they can get that going again here.
Though the chart looks pretty even, Penn State should have the talent advantage to go with the home field advantage of playing in Maryland. This should be a game Penn State wins.
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I didn't like all the pushes up there,
but your analysis makes me feel better. I’m working on getting my mojo back, and hope Indiana will help. We WILL beat the Hoosiers! We WILL beat the Hoosiers!
My mojo is broken :o(
We'll remember
in our last 3 games it’s been mostly the other teams colors all over that chart. We’re still paying for our ineptitude in the beginning of the season.
Everything looks more important when written in gray italics.
A fast first glance...
and it looks like PSU isn’t so different from Indiana this year. INDIANA!!??!! The stats are filled with more suck than awesome this year. Total offense is off by only 40 yards. Total defense is a little better than theirs, but only by 50+ yds per game. They’re scoring more points than PSU per game (by 3) but their defense is giving up a little more per game. After years of ranking in the upper 10-15% of the FBS in defensive stats, PSU really slipped. It just really highlighted where we’re at in this comparison. Ranked 52nd in total defense. Ouch. Now I need a drink.
"Life's hard, but it's a lot harder if you're stupid." John Wayne
Actually it's 5:00 in NJ right now!
It would definitely make painting these doors much more fun
"God is great, beer is good, and people are crazy"
I think it's one of those cases where
mostly everything showing up as a “push”, but if you look at the numbers we are ahead in almost every push category, and in lots of cases 15-20 spots even though they are labeled “push.” Also, I feel confident we’ve played the more difficult slate. I think in this case you add up all those small “victories” and have a team that should be clearly superior.
'We've got too many people analyzing everything and sometimes they don't know what they're talking about.' -Joseph Vincent Paterno
by PSUinBOSSton on Nov 17, 2010 2:58 PM EST up reply actions
Indiana is a broken team
They lost close against Iowa and then got creamed, I just can’t imagine them having much fight if we can get up a score or two. But the same could be said for us after the letdown of Saturday. It is critical that we start the game strong.
No one told you when to run, you missed the starting gun
I like numbers
Both teams are tied in sacks allowed (12th) and sacks (98th). Neato.
Somebody make a play.
by Illegal Formation on Nov 17, 2010 1:29 PM EST reply actions
You can take away that Special Teams advantage...
Anthony Fera, per Lions 24/7, is out for the rest of the season most likely with an emergency appendix removal.
Football Gods are really laying it on us this year.
Dark Knight feeling, die and be a hero-or live long enough to see yourself become the villain.-Jay-Z
Article says
Alex Butterworth, true freshman, is listed as 2nd team punter. Who knows what they will do though.
Dark Knight feeling, die and be a hero-or live long enough to see yourself become the villain.-Jay-Z
We're just not going to punt. We will go for it on every 4th down,
but we will hardly let ourselves get into 4th down trouble because we will walk all over Indiana. We will be almost perfect on 3rd down conversions so we don’t have to worry about who is punting. But who is kicking off now?
My mojo is broken :o(
Well look at our last walk-on to start
He’s not doing too bad.
Buttersworth
is a kicker from Indiana, oddly enough. I’m not so sure they take the red shirt off but it doesn’t look like Fera will make the MSU game either. I think Zug would be risky to trust for 2 games. At least whoever it is will have a little less pressure this week to prepare for next week. (too much overconfidence?) Maybe Ware can punt!
eff it, I'm going derp
Whatever.
We’re playing IU. Last year we had mediocre-bad IU, now we have just plain bad IU. This game will start off with IU holding a slim lead, then PSU will run the ball down their throats, then we’ll win. If we’re unlucky, IU might find some receiver to go all Hardy and the game might “look” close in the 4th. But we’re going to win because they suck.
"The coaches don't know what they're doing! Start Newsome!"
Beat Sam Lickliter.
plus, aren't the football gods mad at them for selling their home game?
by The JuggerNitt on Nov 17, 2010 2:17 PM EST up reply actions
Most likely.
"The coaches don't know what they're doing! Start Newsome!"
Beat Sam Lickliter.
by ReadingRambler on Nov 17, 2010 2:27 PM EST up reply actions
I mean, that could be a concern.
Lynch has spent basically his whole tenure screaming at the refs. He was really screaming at them during the Iowa game. Even his assistants knew he was going too far over calls that didn’t deserve his reaction. Then Indiana loses on that play? Hey…
"The coaches don't know what they're doing! Start Newsome!"
Beat Sam Lickliter.
by ReadingRambler on Nov 17, 2010 2:29 PM EST up reply actions
Maybe they're mad at us for not fighting them selling their home game.
"Every player we have, someone-maybe a parent, a grandparent, someone-poured their soul into that young man. They are handing that young man off to us. They are giving us their treasure, and it's our job to make sure we give them back that young man intact and ready to face the world."
-J.V.Pa.
This is one of those games I hate....
hungover from a tough loss…..early kickoff against a road team that they should beat. Unsettled at the QB spot still…can we say that?
I think we need our bread and butter to show up and win this one. Nothing fancy, just good solid football.
bread = Royster
butter = Redd
2010 PSU Football......"It can maybe snowball into something that can catch fire..."
We're Redd-less
since he decided that he can’t hold it in.
I bet he plays.
It was a stupid move, but it was his first offense and he wasn’t drunk,. Stanley, on the other hand, may be in more trouble because of the pot thing earlier in the year.
My mojo is broken :o(
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