Outback Bowl: Penn State vs. Florida Gators By The Numbers

 

Penn State

Value (Nat'l Rank)

Value (Nat'l Rank)

Florida Gators

Advantage

Rushing Offense (ypg) 142.8 (75) 130.0 (26) Rushing Defense (ypg) Floridagators2_medium
Passing Offense (ypg) 231.3 (52) 173.0 (13) Passing Defense (ypg) Floridagators2_medium
Pass Efficiency 126.9 (66) 113.7 (23) Pass Efficiency Defense Floridagators2_medium
Total Offense (ypg) 374.1 (68) 302.9 (9) Total Defense (ypg) Floridagators2_mediumFloridagators2_medium
Scoring Offense (ppg) 24.6 (80) 21.1 (31) Scoring Defense (ppg) Floridagators2_medium
Rushing Defense (ypg) 164.6 (76) 165.6 (44) Rushing Offense (ypg) Floridagators2_medium
Passing Defense (ypg) 187.9 (23) 191.3 (85) Passing Offense (ypg) Psulogo_mediumPsulogo_medium
Pass Efficiency Defense 134.0 (79) 120.4 (85) Pass Efficiency Push
Total Defense (ypg) 352.5 (45) 356.8 (79) Total Offense (ypg) Psulogo_medium
Scoring Defense (ppg) 22.6 (40) 29.3 (48) Scoring Offense (ppg) Push
Net Punting Yds 38.4 (24) 8.7 (53) Punt Return Yds Psulogo_medium
Punt Return Yds 8.8 (52) 41.8 (1) Net Punting Yds Floridagators2_mediumFloridagators2_medium
Kickoff Return Yds 22.2 (55) 20.5 (34) Kickoff Return Defense Push
Kickoff Return Defense 20.7 (42) 26.8 (4) Kickoff Return Yds Floridagators2_medium
Turnover Margin -0.08 (61) -0.08 (61) Turnover Margin Push
Penalty Yds/Game 30.1 (3) 59.2 (94) Penalty Yds/Game Psulogo_mediumPsulogo_mediumPsulogo_medium
Sacks 1.33 (T-101) 1.92 (60) Sacks Allowed Floridagators2_medium
Sacks Allowed 0.92 (T-12) 1.75 (T-76) Sacks Psulogo_mediumPsulogo_medium
Redzone Offense (%) 0.80 (T-76) 0.81 (T-53) Redzone Defense (%) Push
Redzone Defense (%) 0.94 (T-118) 0.70 (T-116) Redzone Offense (%) Push
Redzone TD % 0.55 0.53 Redzone TD % Defense Floridagators2_mediumFloridagators2_mediumFloridagators2_medium
Redzone TD % Defense 0.75 0.62 Redzone TD % Floridagators2_mediumFloridagators2_medium
3rd Down Conv. % 43.3 (42) 39.1 (54) 3rd Down Defense % Push
3rd Down Defense % 32.2 (8) 38.7 (73) 3rd Down Conv. % Psulogo_mediumPsulogo_medium
1st Downs Per Game 19.4 (66) 17.8 (T-26) 1st Downs Allowed PG Floridagators2_medium
1st Downs Allowed PG 18.1 (T-35) 19.2 (68) 1st Downs Per Game Psulogo_medium

 

Legend

Difference <25 in National Rank = Push

Difference >25 in National Rank =   Psulogo_medium

Difference >50 in National Rank =   Psulogo_mediumPsulogo_medium

Difference >75 in National Rank =   Psulogo_mediumPsulogo_mediumPsulogo_medium

Difference >100 in National Rank = Psulogo_mediumPsulogo_mediumPsulogo_mediumPsulogo_medium

Note: The Redzone TD% and Redzone TD% Defense are calculated by me and not ranked by the NCAA. Determining who has the advantage in these categories is strictly my arbitrary judgement.

More analysis after the jump. 

So there it is, the Penn State season in all its ugliness.

Here again, I feel that Penn State's offense is actually playing better than their season averages indicate. They made tremendous improvement after the bye week when Matt McGloin took over. Florida has a very good defense, but I'm not so sure the advantage is as significant as the chart indicates.

Two things stick out at me. Florida is an undisciplined team that commits a lot of penalties. They are also not very good on third downs while Penn State has been surprisingly good at getting off the field on third down. So if Penn State can limit the big plays and force them into taking eight or ten plays to move down the field, the Gators will hopefully shoot themselves in the foot.

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