FanPost

Requesting Statistical Assistance

Hi, apologies in advance if this makes me look more ignorant than I've already come across in here, but I'm still trippin on a percentages puzzle posted by our friend PSUinBosston in last night's thread.  The assertion: If each year we play 3 teams from the other division (inter-divisional game) and we go on to win our division, Then we have a 50% chance of meeting one of them in a CCG rematch.  On the surface, it seemed sound enough to shut me up, but I think I need the input from Ibleedbluenwhite or one of BSD's other statisticians, b/c it doesn't feel right.  /venus'd

I think we learned late in the broadcast last night that results from inter-divisional games count toward Division champion standings.  They didn't specify how exactly (if intra-divisional games are tallied up first, then you move to inter-game results as a tie-break), but would it even matter?  Doesn't the chance of rematch actually dwindle the moment the result is posted, because one of us then has a blemish on our record?  Anybody have some good math insights?  Thanks.


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