Iowa Hawkeyes By The Numbers

We're into week five now, so I'd say we're at the point where we can start comparing numbers and trying to gleen something off of them. Of course, these numbers are always skewed by the level of competition. That will even out as the season moves on, but for now I think it's safe to say Penn State has probably faced a tougher schedule than Iowa. Penn State's opponents are 10-1 in their other games while Iowa's opponents are 6-6 in theirs. So take that into consideration.

Penn State

Value (Nat'l Rank)

Value (Nat'l Rank)

Iowa Hawkeyes

Advantage

Rushing Offense (ypg) 159.3 (61) 65.5 (3) Rushing Defense (ypg) Iowalogo_medium Iowalogo_medium
Passing Offense (ypg) 209.5 (72) 162.0 (21) Passing Defense (ypg) Iowalogo_mediumIowalogo_medium
Pass Efficiency 117.2 (90) 103.8 (16) Pass Efficiency Defense Iowalogo_mediumIowalogo_medium
Total Offense (ypg) 368.8 (67) 227.5 (1) Total Defense (ypg) Iowalogo_mediumIowalogo_medium
Scoring Offense (ppg) 23.3 (76) 12.0 (5) Scoring Defense (ppg) Iowalogo_mediumIowalogo_medium
Rushing Defense (ypg) 117.3 (39) 184.8 (38) Rushing Offense (ypg) Push
Passing Defense (ypg) 158.5 (17) 261.0 (32) Passing Offense (ypg) Push
Pass Efficiency Defense 116.8 (44) 175.6 (4) Pass Efficiency Iowalogo_medium
Total Defense (ypg) 275.8 (18) 445.8 (26) Total Offense (ypg) Push
Scoring Defense (ppg) 12.3 (8) 36.0 (28) Scoring Offense (ppg) Push
Net Punting Yds 38.6 (31) 14.3 (18) Punt Return Yds Push
Punt Return Yds 8.1 (69) 34.8 (81) Net Punting Yds Push
Kickoff Return Yds 29.0 (8) 26.1 (108) Kickoff Return Defense Psulogo_mediumPsulogo_mediumPsulogo_mediumPsulogo_medium
Kickoff Return Defense 18.5 (21) 23.8 (39) Kickoff Return Yds Push
Turnover Margin -0.5 (80) 1.0 (T-17) Turnover Margin Iowalogo_mediumIowalogo_medium
Penalty Yds/Game 17.5 (1) 44.0 (33) Penalty Yds/Game Psulogo_medium
Sacks 1.75 (T-72) 2.25 (T-71) Sacks Allowed Push
Sacks Allowed 0.25 (1) 1.75 (T-72) Sacks Psulogo_mediumPsulogo_medium
Redzone Offense (%) 0.73 (T-100) 0.56 (T-2) Redzone Defense (%) Iowalogo_mediumIowalogo_mediumIowalogo_medium
Redzone Defense (%) 1.0 (T-113) 0.83 (T-54) Redzone Offense (%) Iowalogo_mediumIowalogo_medium
Redzone TD % 0.40 0.44 Redzone TD % Defense Iowalogo_mediumIowalogo_mediumIowalogo_mediumIowalogo_medium
Redzone TD % Defense 0.83 0.78 Redzone TD % Iowalogo_mediumIowalogo_mediumIowalogo_mediumIowalogo_medium
3rd Down Conv. % 48.3 (21) 30.4 (25) 3rd Down Defense % Push
3rd Down Defense % 21.3 (3) 52.0 (14) 3rd Down Conv. % Push

Legend

Difference <25 in National Rank = Push

Difference >25 in National Rank = Psulogo_medium

Difference >50 in National Rank = Psulogo_mediumPsulogo_medium

Difference >75 in National Rank = Psulogo_mediumPsulogo_mediumPsulogo_medium

Differences >100 in National Rank = Psulogo_mediumPsulogo_mediumPsulogo_mediumPsulogo_medium

Note: The Redzone TD% and Redzone TD% Defense are calculated by me and not ranked by the NCAA. Determining who has the advantage in these categories is strictly my arbitrary judgement.

More analysis after the jump. 

Well now, I'm not used to putting together one of these charts and not seeing it dominated by chipmunk logos.

Looking at the numbers, it's pretty obvious that Iowa has a huge advantage when they are on defense. No surprise there as they return a veteran unit and Penn State is breaking in a freshman at quarterback. Evan Royster's slow start also compounds the problem. Penn State's redzone issues also stand out like a sore thumb on the chart. Punching it in the endzone will be extremely difficult against the Hawkeyes.

The redzone struggles of the offense are well documented. Interestingly, Penn State has yet to stop someone from scoring on defense once they reach the redzone this year. And once teams reach the redzone, they are coming away with touchdowns 83% of the time. Penn State's saving grace here is that opponents have only reached the redzone on them six times all year, which is tied for second lowest in the nation.

The Penn State defense appears to have what it takes to hold their own. So unless Trent Richardson requests a transfer and the NCAA grants him a waiver to play right away between now and Saturday, that could be a matchup Penn State has a chance of winning. Iowa doesn't give the ball up much, and Penn State doesn't have a very impressive takeaway margin, but they have forced six turnovers in the past two games after a slow start.

If the Iowa defense gives Penn State fits as expected, and the Penn State defense can hold the Hawkeyes in check, the game could swing on a special teams play. Penn State has revamped their special teams this year and they are playing very well. Iowa got torched on long kickoff returns against Iowa State and Arizona, so that may be an area the Nittany Lions can exploit to either score or set up the offense with a short field.

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