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Around SBN: The Most Dangerous Division in Sports

Penn State Ranked 19th In Coaches' Poll, Semi-Final With Wisconsin Saturday

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Penn State lost its interest in the Coaches' Poll last week, but moves up in the rankings anyway after an impressive win in the Big Ten's only 3:30 kickoff.  The team does in fact look more focused on the road, and what the poll lacks in interest...

10. Michigan State (from 12)

12. Wisconsin (from 13)

16. Michigan (from 18)

19. Penn State (from 21)

22. Nebraska (from 16)

...it makes up for in irrelevance.  Start printing the t-shirts:

Park Ridge, Ill. - Michigan State and Penn State collected at least a share of their respective division titles today and the Spartans also punched their ticket to Indianapolis to take part in the inaugural Big Ten Football Championship Game.

Just when you thought we has progressively put the "Co-Big Ten" anything behind us, it rears its ugly head.  You do not in fact win anything if you don't get a seat at the Big Ten Championship pre-game dinner, even if the marketing department insists otherwise.

Standings, Sagarin and Predicting the Wisconsin Game After The Jump...

Star-divide

Bowls. With the hot and cold reaction from sponsors, we're not yet ready to digest what the impact on bowls will be.  Things seem to be approaching normalcy form a PR perspective, though.  Random SBN bowl projection uses sound math and projected results to place Penn State in the Outback Bowl against Georgia -- effectively a third place finish behind Michigan State and Wisconsin.  More on what I think of sound math below.

Big Ten Standings. Look how you know they look.

PIG
Penn State 6-1
Wisconsin 5-2
Ohio State 3-4
Purdue 3-4
Illinois 2-5
Indiana 0-7

CORN
Michigan State 6-1
Michigan 5-2
Nebraska 4-3
Iowa 4-3
Northwestern 3-4
Minnesota 1-6

The Road To Indy. Here we are, the team with control of their own championship destiny while so much affecting the program is not.  Even a birth in the game would constitute a huge accomplishment after the season that's been.

Michigan State has clinched a spot in the championship but will suit up for Northwestern this week anyway.  Penn State and Wisconsin will play in Madison at 3:30 on Saturday in what is probably the most interesting matchup of the season.  Wisconsin was a 7-point favorite in Columbus; the transitive property says the line will be in the 17-point favorites range this week.  The same exercise with Illinois spits out something closer to 14.  Sagarin -- who ranks the Big Ten teams Michigan, Wisconsin, Michigan State, Penn State -- predicts in the 11-point range.

With so much changing for Penn State in the last couple of weeks, I think the book-keepers math on this one will have to start with a fresh piece of paper.  Even if they don't, the over-used word "resilient" has a natural fit with this Penn State team, who's also sporting a renewed focus and coaching staff with nothing to lose. I feel strangely positive about how this one matches up. The Post-It Campaign lives.

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wisconsin is not invincible

it just seems that way because Bielema racks up 80 points against inferior teams

so far, wiscy is 1-2 against good teams.

Defense wins championships

by psu_all_day on Nov 20, 2011 12:31 PM EST reply actions  

What could really get interesting

is if the defensive line proves as good as they have in the past, and Wisconsin is forced to

While I’ve only seen highlights of the Wiscy-Illinois game, it seems like they aren’t able to crack games open until the running game finally starts. Stubborn but so far mostly effective. Ohio State is a very close version of Penn State, and they were able to contain the offense, gain yards (the Wildcat is going to be immensely helpful on Saturday), and only allowed it to become a game after some unlikely heroics at the end of the 4th by Wiscy.

Long way of saying I’m excited.

by Kevin Powers on Nov 20, 2011 12:39 PM EST up reply actions   2 recs

*forced to pass. Not sure what happened there.

by Kevin Powers on Nov 20, 2011 1:41 PM EST up reply actions  

Unless something changed...

Bad things happen when Wisconsin tries to pass block against Penn State. Their line has had great difficulty with Penn State’s speed on the Defensive Line.

...may we compete with fierce intensity, with the gifts that we have been given...

by jesse. on Nov 20, 2011 11:44 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

Ohio State is 6-5

Does that qualify them as “good”?

Formerly known as kmart93
Black Shoe Diaries

by Kyle_Martin on Nov 20, 2011 1:40 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

Funny

we haven’t scored 80 points once this season. We haven’t even come close to that mark.

Silly statement.

Author at Acme Packing Company, a Green Bay Packers blog, and Editor at BT Powerhouse, a Big Ten Basketball blog
#FireCraigJames

by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Nov 20, 2011 2:20 PM EST up reply actions  

Back into the fray with my friends from Wisconsin.

Fucking Mendenhall, other than that we had you. Sweet. See you Saturday.

...may we compete with fierce intensity, with the gifts that we have been given...

by jesse. on Nov 20, 2011 11:46 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

We know who both teams are at this point

Wisconsin is a team that is BEASTMODE good against bad defenses, but plays teams with good defenses closer than they should and sometimes loses.

Penn State is a team that can beat anybody if the offense averages 5 points per red zone trip and doesn’t turn the ball over inside their own 40. Sadly, that’s asking too much sometimes.

They are who they are. It should be a good game. I hope it’s not and PSU wins by 90, but that’s not what I expect.

GO IOWA AWESOME, now and forever, until PSU sees them in basketball and wrestling
Beat Wisconsin

by ckmneon on Nov 21, 2011 12:15 AM EST up reply actions  

I really hope to curb stomp your DB coach

In the alternative I’d take a situation where the game comes down to the final play, with the ball in PSU’s hands. I’d really like our chances in that situation, unless you guys have figured out how to defend a Hail Mary. Who loses on three Flutie-Stewart-Cousins-Miller type plays in one season? Wisky does!

by kijana's acl on Nov 21, 2011 9:23 AM EST up reply actions  

And that 1 should probably get an asterisk.

Wisconsin didn’t win so much as they stood around and watched while Illinois exploded.

"Woop woop." - Waylon Jennings

by ReadingRambler on Nov 20, 2011 4:43 PM EST up reply actions  

My favorite way to put it right now

Is that Wisconsin is 1-2 against teams in the top 44 in Annar Total Defense. Penn State is #8. And while the two losses were each a play away from being wins, the one win came against a 6-5 Illinois team absolutely determined to lose that game, but winning in the 4th quarter anyway.

This game will come down to PSU mistakes. If Penn State turns over the ball in PSU territory, especially more than once, this could be ugly. If PSU does not, I expect a typical-for-PSU-this-year “ugly” win.

GO IOWA AWESOME, now and forever, until PSU sees them in basketball and wrestling
Beat Wisconsin

by ckmneon on Nov 20, 2011 8:12 PM EST up reply actions  

I'm not ready to...

punch our ticket. BUT I think we have a reasonable chance. Still, Camp Randall is a tough place to win for visitors. Its gonna be interesting.

Penn State Proud

by pennst92 on Nov 20, 2011 1:31 PM EST reply actions  

Just think of some of those PI's get called last week

This week’s game could have meant nothing and yesterday’s game would have punched our ticket in.

Follow my antics: @DanVecellio

Its the name on the front of the jersey that matters most, not the one on the back. -Joe Paterno

by Dan Vecellio on Nov 20, 2011 1:47 PM EST reply actions  

Co-winner gets a trophy

which makes no sense at all. The only thing we Spartans have to play for this weekend, is to prevent MICH from getting a co-champ division trophy.

by budbudbud on Nov 20, 2011 6:03 PM EST reply actions  

Something tells me that counts as motivation in East Lansing.

...may we compete with fierce intensity, with the gifts that we have been given...

by jesse. on Nov 20, 2011 11:42 PM EST up reply actions  

Rose Bowl or Bust...

The rest will take care of itself.

"The limits of my language mean the limits of my world" -- Ludwig Wittgenstein

by SubLime on Nov 20, 2011 9:01 PM EST reply actions  

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