Just the Stats: Penn State at Wisconsin

Penn St. Nittany Lions (9-2, 6-1 Big Ten) vs. Wisconsin Badgers (9-2, 5-2)
BIG TEN LEADERS/EAST/PIG DIVISIONAL GAME
3:30 p.m. ET, November 19, 2011
Camp Randall Stadium (Capacity: 80,321
)

Penn State Value (Nat'l Rank) Value (Nat'l Rank) Wisconsin
Advantage
Rushing Offense (ypg) 169.73 (45)
135.45 (44)
Rushing Defense (ypg) Push
Passing Offense (ypg) 185:91 (95)
146.82 (3)
Passing Defense (ypg) badgers_logo_mediumbadgers_logo_mediumbadgers_logo_medium
Pass Efficiency 106.53 (110)
109.54 (10)
Pass Efficiency Defense badgers_logo_mediumbadgers_logo_mediumbadgers_logo_mediumbadgers_logo_medium
Total Offense (ypg) 355.64 (89)
282.27 (6)
Total Defense (ypg) badgers_logo_mediumbadgers_logo_mediumbadgers_logo_medium
Scoring Offense (ppg) 20.91 (106)
15.91 (7)
Scoring Defense (ppg) badgers_logo_mediumbadgers_logo_mediumbadgers_logo_medium
Rushing Defense (ypg) 127.36 (34)
245.09 (10)
Rushing Offense (ypg) Push
Passing Defense (ypg) 160 (6)
234.45 (57)
Passing Offense (ypg) Psulogo_mediumPsulogo_medium
Pass Efficiency Defense 96.35 (4)
191.45 (2)
Pass Efficiency Push
Total Defense (ypg) 287.36 (8)
479.55 (12)
Total Offense (ypg) Push
Scoring Defense (ppg) 13.00 (3)
44.82 (5)
Scoring Offense (ppg) Push
Net Punting Yds 35.21 (92)
15.94 (5)
Punt Return Yds badgers_logo_mediumbadgers_logo_mediumbadgers_logo_medium
Punt Return Yds 6.79 (80)
36.06 (70)
Net Punting Yds Push
Kickoff Return Yds 23.74 (26)
22.56 (80)
Kickoff Return Defense Psulogo_mediumPsulogo_medium
Kickoff Return Defense 21.69 (66)
20.06 (90)
Kickoff Return Yds Push
Turnover Margin +0.64 (23)
+1.00 (7)
Turnover Margin Push
Penalty Yds/Game 41.09 (T-23)
41.82 (25)
Penalty Yds/Game Push
Sacks 2.45 (25)
1.64 (47)
Sacks Allowed Push
Sacks Allowed 1.09 (21)
2.09 (41)
Sacks Push
Redzone Offense (%) 78% (86)
83% (69)
Redzone Defense (%) Push
Redzone Defense (%) 92% (115)
95% (3)
Redzone Offense (%) badgers_logo_mediumbadgers_logo_mediumbadgers_logo_mediumbadgers_logo_medium
Redzone TD % 50%
57%
Redzone TD % Defense Push
Redzone TD % Defense 60%
86%
Redzone TD % badgers_logo_mediumbadgers_logo_medium
3rd Down Conv. % 37.27 (92)
36.84 (T-39)
3rd Down Defense % badgers_logo_mediumbadgers_logo_medium
3rd Down Defense % 36.99 (41)
55.12 (3)
3rd Down Conv. % badgers_logo_medium
1st Downs Per Game 19.27 (83)
15.00 (4)
1st Downs Allowed PG badgers_logo_mediumbadgers_logo_mediumbadgers_logo_medium
1st Downs Allowed PG 16.18 (12)
23.64 (22)
1st Downs Per Game Push

Difference <25 in National Rank = Push

Difference >25 in National Rank = Psulogo_medium

Difference >50 in National Rank = Psulogo_mediumPsulogo_medium

Difference >75 in National Rank = Psulogo_mediumPsulogo_mediumPsulogo_medium

Difference >100 in National Rank = Psulogo_mediumPsulogo_mediumPsulogo_mediumPsulogo_medium

The "Old" Mike's note: The Redzone TD% and Redzone TD% Defense are calculated by me and not ranked by the NCAA. Determining who has the advantage in these categories is strictly my arbitrary judgment.

Analysis below the jump...

Yikes! Just in case you forgot about Wisconsin this season, there's a refresher for you to stress over. The tricky stats for Wisconsin are on defense. It's not a bad unit by any stretch of the imagination; but it's definitely not the sixth-best in the nation. Much of the high ranking for this unit comes from frequently playing with a lead... a BIG lead, courtesy of Russell Wilson and the offense. Again, the Badgers defense has been very good over the course of this season, but it's not better than the offense.

Penn State's offense makes any defense look great, however. So... as long as there aren't any major breakdowns by Wisconsin's D, or Penn State doesn't turn in another surprise attack on offense for the second week in a row, there's no way the Badgers shouldn't be able to keep the Lions down enough for Wilson & Co. to work their magic.

Opponent comparison... I've subjectively listed each team's opponents in order, top to bottom, strongest to weakest.

Penn State Wisconsin
Alabama Crimson Tide (L) 11 - 27 Michigan St. Spartans (L) 37-31
Nebraska Cornhuskers (L) 17-14
Nebraska Cornhuskers (W) 48-17
Ohio St. Buckeyes (W) 20-14
Ohio St. Buckeyes (L) 33-29
Iowa Hawkeyes (W) 13 - 3 Illinois Fighting Illini (W) 28-17
Temple Owls (W) 14 - 10 Purdue Boilermakers (W) 62-17
Northwestern Wildcats (W) 34-24 Northern Illinois Huskies (W) 49-7
Purdue Boilermakers (W) 23 - 18 Oregon St. Beavers (W) 35-0
Illinois Fighting Illini (W) 10-7 Indiana Hoosiers (W) 59-7
Eastern Michigan Eagles (W) 34 - 6 Minnesota Golden Gophers (W) 42-13
Indiana Hoosiers (W) 16-10 UNLV Rebels (W) 51-17
Indiana St. Sycamores (FCS) (W) 41 - 7 South Dakota Coyotes (FCS) (W) 59-10

Wisconsin lost to two of its top three best opponents. So did Penn State, and I'm willing to bet Alabama would crush Michigan State, Nebraska and Ohio State. The rest of the schedules get murky. Iowa is probably the best non-Big Four opponent, so Penn State gets the one-up there. Looking at Wisconsin's overall schedule, it's rather pathetic. The non-conference schedule was an absolute joke, while Minnesota will kill anyone's strength of schedule.

Wisconsin has won big, and lost close. Penn State has won close, and lost its two to a legit national title contender and while facing rather unusual circumstances. Despite the statistics swaying drastically in Wisconsin's favor, the schedules do set up Penn State to play well against the Badgers.

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