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Around SBN: The Most Dangerous Division in Sports

Penn State Seeks First Big Ten Tournament Championship Against Ohio State

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Yes, Penn State fans, it's really happening.

Not only does Sunday of championship week dawn with Penn State in good position to appear in its first NCAA Tournament in a decade, it brings with it a chance for the Nittany Lions to, well, win a championship as they face Ohio State in the Big Ten Tournament title game at 3:30 P.M. on CBS.

In this program's darkest hours, be they this season or at any point in the last 10 and even more, all fans have ever asked for from it are days like today and the Lions have delivered. It's March, and Penn State is playing truly meaningful basketball. Perhaps the program isn't a powerhouse. It probably never will be. For once, though, it's giving some of the best fans in the nation a chance to truly participate in the most exciting month of college sports.

Sure, there may be disappointing and perhaps even disastrous moments in the hours to come. There are no promises of where Penn State will stand tomorrow if it loses this basketball game. Remember how you felt, though, when Penn State was 3-15 in the Big Ten a year ago, when it lost to Maine by 10 points on its home floor in December and when it appeared hopelessly out of contention following a defeat at the hands of Michigan on Super Bowl Sunday, and you'll have a true appreciation of what this day means.

The last three months have been one heck of a ride with this team and its never-say-die attitude. They've been what this sport is all about. Today, win or lose, should be a celebration of that.

Now let's go get some t-shirts and a nice shiny trophy.

Star-divide

When Penn State Has The Ball

  • Penn State has done a nice job taking care of the basketball this conference season, but not against Ohio State. The Lions turned the ball over 14 times against the Buckeyes back in January and 13 times last week at the Bryce Jordan Center on Senior Night. Saturday against Michigan State, Penn State turned the ball over just six times and was able to keep the game it its pace as a result. If the team can play smart basketball again and not give the Bucks extra possessions, it should keep the score close.
  • Believe it or not, Penn State has shot the ball better against Ohio State than just about any other opponent in the conference, averaging better than 50% from the field. If the Lions keep that going, its hard not to see them in it right down to the end.
  • We have yet to see Jeff Brooks go off in this tournament and play like the dangerous No. 2 option he's been all season. Maybe today is his day? If it is, the Lions will be in business. 

When Ohio State Has The Basketball

  • This should go without saying, but Jon Diebler can't hit 10 3-pointers again if Penn State expects to stay in the game. The Lions' zone rotations were excellent against Michigan State and Wisconsin and they limited those teams to a combined 10-44 of 22% from the arc. If they repeat even close to that success guarding the perimeter in the title game, things should be much more competitive than they were back in State College last week where Ohio State prevailed 82-61.
  • William Buford is averaging a quiet 17 points per game against Penn State this season. Jared Sullinger's late-game heroics were the offensive story for the Buckeyes the first time around in Columbus and Diebler's air raid got all the press in the March 1 blowout, but Buford might have been the most valuable offensive contributor for Ohio State in both games. The Lion defenders have to keep better tabs on him this time.
  • Ohio State dominated the boards 31-18 overall and 10-5 on the offensive glass last time. Should the Bucks rebound that well again, its curtains for Penn State's title hopes. Period.

Overall

Penn State's senior class might well be heading to the NCAA Tournament by day's end, win or lose, but it has never beaten Ohio State. You can bet that's something Talor Battle an Co. would like to check off their college career bucket list in their final conference game. It's not going to be easy by any means. The Buckeyes have an extra day of rest and a deeper bench to throw at a paper thin Penn State lineup playing its fourth game in four days, but it's hard to beat a team three times in one season. With two games between these teams already in the books, Ohio State will have no secrets against Penn State. The question is whether the Lions can make the most of what they know is coming.

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MILLZ!

"I don’t spend a lot of time dwelling on the negative. I believe that having a good, peaceful mind is the basic premise for a good life."

by Adam Collyer on Mar 13, 2011 11:00 AM EDT up reply actions  

Guard Sullinger (force him left and don't foul, it's really that simple) and the 3 ball

Other than that, let OSU do whatever they want. I was not bothered by the first matchup, when Craft scored 20ish, because that was a conscious decision by Ed and the staff. It almost worked, and that was in OSU’s own building. If OSU is relying on Diebler and Craft to drive to the hoop and combine for 35+ doing so, I like PSU’s chances.

The first game came down to points off turnovers (which seems to be the downfall of the losing team in any OSU-PSU matchup in any sport). The second game came down to OSU making everything they chucked in the general direction of the hoop and PSU missing good shots. Those days will happen. See Maine and Maryland for details.

Guard the 3. Force Sullinger left. Don’t turn the ball over. Do those 3 things, and all signs point to an 8 seed or better.

I've got the brains. You've got the looks. Let's make lots of money.

by ckmneon on Mar 13, 2011 8:43 AM EDT reply actions  

I'd also add

Go right at Sullinger early. He’s gotten into early foul trouble several times this season, and it’s left lesser teams in the thick of the game until the end.

"Every player we have, someone-maybe a parent, a grandparent, someone-poured their soul into that young man. They are handing that young man off to us. They are giving us their treasure, and it's our job to make sure we give them back that young man intact and ready to face the world."

-J.V.Pa.

by psume06 on Mar 13, 2011 10:58 AM EDT up reply actions  

that's one thing I wish Penn State would do more often.

It seems like we never exploit another team’s foul trouble. Last night I wish we just kept going right at Green. Either he plays softer, and we have better scoring opportunities, or he potentially fouls out.

by The JuggerNitt on Mar 13, 2011 12:04 PM EDT up reply actions  

I bet you Joe is there for a pep talk.

"Every player we have, someone-maybe a parent, a grandparent, someone-poured their soul into that young man. They are handing that young man off to us. They are giving us their treasure, and it's our job to make sure we give them back that young man intact and ready to face the world."

-J.V.Pa.

by psume06 on Mar 13, 2011 10:58 AM EDT up reply actions  

Any recruits in Indiana he could visit? :)

"I don’t spend a lot of time dwelling on the negative. I believe that having a good, peaceful mind is the basic premise for a good life."

by Adam Collyer on Mar 13, 2011 12:07 PM EDT up reply actions  

I can't remember a time when

we were blocking the shots as aggressively as we did yesterday. I hope we do it again today, especially to the Diebler Elf. Can’t give him any looks no more.

"Life is no way to treat an animal"

by Mr. Rosewater on Mar 13, 2011 10:19 AM EDT reply actions  

terrific run

in the tournament. No one expected this (did you really??).

This team can be proud of what they’ve accomplished, but wouldn’t be outrageous if we could pull this one out?

by ImmaculatePerception on Mar 13, 2011 10:41 AM EDT reply actions  

Unless we play OSU in the Final Four, this is Talor's last shot at the Buckeyes.

I hope he gets it.

"Every player we have, someone-maybe a parent, a grandparent, someone-poured their soul into that young man. They are handing that young man off to us. They are giving us their treasure, and it's our job to make sure we give them back that young man intact and ready to face the world."

-J.V.Pa.

by psume06 on Mar 13, 2011 10:59 AM EDT up reply actions  

I expected to win 2. I'm stunned that we won 3.

I’ll pass out if we win 4, but now I’m feelin’ it.

"I don’t spend a lot of time dwelling on the negative. I believe that having a good, peaceful mind is the basic premise for a good life."

by Adam Collyer on Mar 13, 2011 11:01 AM EDT up reply actions  

Jeff Brooks' volleyball spike block made Sportscenter's Top Plays.

Nice to see them finally have some footage and positive things to say about the game today.

"I don’t spend a lot of time dwelling on the negative. I believe that having a good, peaceful mind is the basic premise for a good life."

by Adam Collyer on Mar 13, 2011 11:02 AM EDT reply actions  

Kudos to Fugi and BSD

Thanks to you guys for your coverage of PSU Basketball. I don’t have the Big Ten Network (Armstrong is my provider) but I kept up with the team by reading all your posts and knew what to watch for when I finally got to see them play yesterday after a long season with only the ACC-Big Ten challenge and ESPN3 helping out now and again.

Go State!

by ommas on Mar 13, 2011 11:05 AM EDT reply actions  

I was a student at PSU

when the fighting Crispin brothers took this team to the sweet 16. This is the most excited I’ve been for a Penn State basketball game since.

Oh, and FWIW, everyone at ESPN has PSU off the bubble and firmly in the tournament at this point, with nowhere to go but up.

by newenglandnittanylion on Mar 13, 2011 11:14 AM EDT reply actions  

Right now

PSU is either the 5th or 6th Big Ten team in. A win would almost certainly move PSU to the 4th and a single digit seed.

I've got the brains. You've got the looks. Let's make lots of money.

by ckmneon on Mar 13, 2011 11:24 AM EDT up reply actions  

I think the 4th b10 team will be a 10.

Unfortunate, but I don’t see any of these at large teams in the mid to late 30s (RPI) getting a single digit seed.

'We've got too many people analyzing everything and sometimes they don't know what they're talking about.' -Joseph Vincent Paterno

by PSUinBOSSton on Mar 13, 2011 11:37 AM EDT up reply actions  

A win

would probably give PSU a top 35 (if not top 30) RPI and an 8-2 last 10, with 7 of the 8 wins being against top 100 RPI teams, 6 of the 8 wins being away from home, and the only two losses coming against top 16 RPI teams. That’s 6ish seed material, right there.

I've got the brains. You've got the looks. Let's make lots of money.

by ckmneon on Mar 13, 2011 12:07 PM EDT up reply actions  

It would also still only leave us

at 11-12 against the top100, with two bad home losses OOC. That’s bubble/first four out material. Split the difference and you have a shot at a 9 seed, but I am not so sure we would get the benefit of the doubt. I hope I’m wrong, but we are fighting a season long perception in the last 4 days, so I am not overly confident.

I will happily eat my words if I’m wrong though.

'We've got too many people analyzing everything and sometimes they don't know what they're talking about.' -Joseph Vincent Paterno

by PSUinBOSSton on Mar 13, 2011 12:23 PM EDT up reply actions  

How many times does Jared Sullinger get sent to the line on weak calls?

Editor at BT Powerhouse, a Big Ten Basketball blog.
Author at Acme Packing Company, a Green Bay Packers blog
Fighting the Battle of Who Could Care Less since 12/29/09

by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Mar 13, 2011 11:46 AM EDT reply actions  

I'll put the over / under at 3.5 times

I've got the brains. You've got the looks. Let's make lots of money.

by ckmneon on Mar 13, 2011 1:22 PM EDT up reply actions  

I counted 3

I've got the brains. You've got the looks. Let's make lots of money.

by ckmneon on Mar 13, 2011 5:25 PM EDT up reply actions  

With Sullinger, there's a weird combination of no-calls and bad calls

Against Northwestern, he was getting hacked in the first half and some of the second half without fouls getting called, and then there was a stretch in overtime where he got the foul call four possessions in a row. Maybe Matta’s good at getting in the ref’s ear, or maybe the refs are trying to offset no-calls earlier in the game. In conclusion, Big Ten refs are not very good.

Ann Arbor is a trollop.

by Semicorrect on Mar 13, 2011 2:44 PM EDT up reply actions  

I agree with this

especially against teams with, how should I put this, “big men of not great strength” like Northwestern and Michigan (Morgan plays about 1/3 as strong as he looks), this is definitely true. On the whole, the calls are generally correct, but it’s certainly a combination of both iffy calls and questionable no calls.

I've got the brains. You've got the looks. Let's make lots of money.

by ckmneon on Mar 13, 2011 2:52 PM EDT up reply actions  

If Battle goes all 40

and then all 40 in our first tourney game, he will have played 200 minutes in span of 8-9 days.

by OctaShields on Mar 13, 2011 11:48 AM EDT reply actions  

Like Kemba in 5 days?

Adam
Black Shoe Diaries, SB Nation Pittsburgh, Daily Collegian Sports, BT Powerhouse, @fugimaster24
God Created the World Out Of Nothing, Paterno Built A National Superpower On Cow Fields...

by Adam Bittner on Mar 13, 2011 11:51 AM EDT up reply actions  

This has been

a fun few days for PSU basketball. I really hope they can pull this out today. The only downfall would be the coach. If an NIT championship gets a 3 year extension for DeChellis, then a Big Ten title would be a lifetime contract.

by Offside Clyde on Mar 13, 2011 1:51 PM EDT reply actions  

Hmmmm

As of this moment, Joe Lunardi has us as a 12 seed playing Xavier in the first round in Tuscon.

I live 4.5 hrs from there… I think I just might make the drive out if PSU plays in Tuscon.

by dmoney350z on Mar 13, 2011 1:57 PM EDT reply actions  

I'd love the 12 seed

You get a much better chance to make the sweet 16 than getting 8-10. Tougher first round matchup, but you don’t have to play a top 10 team for the second round

by runngunn29 on Mar 13, 2011 2:51 PM EDT up reply actions  

Saw that

Strange draw. Looking at who else is there, I wouldn’t be the least bit surprised to see PSU go to the Final Four. Or lose by 15 in the first round.

I've got the brains. You've got the looks. Let's make lots of money.

by ckmneon on Mar 13, 2011 3:13 PM EDT up reply actions  

Unlikely prediction:

Penn State gets the 10 seed with a potential second-round matchup against #2 Pitt.

Go Lions !! if

by Illegal Formation on Mar 13, 2011 3:32 PM EDT up reply actions  

I don't know how unlikely that is

The committee says don’t try to set up interesting matchups, but they also say tradition doesn’t matter and we all know that’s a lie

I've got the brains. You've got the looks. Let's make lots of money.

by ckmneon on Mar 13, 2011 5:26 PM EDT up reply actions  

DeChellis

Y’know, I’’m not such a big fan, but I’ll give him props for staying the course this year, and he’s earned a reprieve from the likes of know-nothings like myself and other message board lurkers until after the season at the least.

by pennst92 on Mar 13, 2011 2:05 PM EDT reply actions  

If they win

I am offering free tattoos to everyone on the team in return for their Big Ten Champions autographed t-shirts. That’s totally cool with the NCAA right?

by UPSUPhilly on Mar 13, 2011 2:29 PM EDT reply actions  

For those of us who were around to remember the 1991 Atlantic 10 title and NCAA run

Nice article by David Jones today. Brings back some great memories of a huge upset over Temple and Rec Hall going crazy when PSU hosted the championship game. Plus the big upset of UCLA.

http://blog.pennlive.com/davidjones/2011/03/penn_states_1991_ncaa_upset_of.html

Hopefully PSU can make some more history today and get their 2nd conference title.

by mundyscorner99 on Mar 13, 2011 2:32 PM EDT reply actions  

this^

"Want a donut go to dunkin donuts, want a linebacker go to Penn State." - Chris Carter

by xozte on Mar 13, 2011 3:25 PM EDT up reply actions  

Crap, wrong link.

And it doesn’t even work. Pathetic.

Editor at BT Powerhouse, a Big Ten Basketball blog.
Author at Acme Packing Company, a Green Bay Packers blog
Fighting the Battle of Who Could Care Less since 12/29/09

by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Mar 13, 2011 3:31 PM EDT up reply actions  

http://www.btpowerhouse.com/2011/3/13/2047025/big-ten-tournament-final-6-penn-state-vs-1-ohio-state

Editor at BT Powerhouse, a Big Ten Basketball blog.
Author at Acme Packing Company, a Green Bay Packers blog
Fighting the Battle of Who Could Care Less since 12/29/09

by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Mar 13, 2011 3:31 PM EDT up reply actions  

Let's go PSU!

This is your chance to make history. It’s your time now.

by mundyscorner99 on Mar 13, 2011 3:23 PM EDT reply actions  

OSU got the ball from the tip off

"Want a donut go to dunkin donuts, want a linebacker go to Penn State." - Chris Carter

by xozte on Mar 13, 2011 3:31 PM EDT reply actions  

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