Just the Stats: Penn State at Indiana

Mike DiNovo-USA TODAY Sports

For someone who hates math, I'm as surprised as you are I'm doing this series.

Penn St. Nittany Lions (3-1; 0-0 Big Ten) at Indiana Hoosiers (2-2; 0-0 Big Ten)

12:00 p.m. ET, October 5, 2013--Big Ten Network
MemorialStadium (Capacity: 52,929
) / Bloomington, IA

Penn State Value (Nat'l Rank) Value (Nat'l Rank) Indiana Advantage
Rushing Offense (ypg) 197.0 (50)
247.8 (115)
Rushing Defense (ypg) Psulogo_mediumPsulogo_medium
Passing Offense (ypg) 264.3 (40)
215.5 (52)
Passing Defense (ypg) Push
Pass Efficiency 135.82 (61) 114.75 (37)
Pass Efficiency Defense Push
Total Offense (ypg) 461.3 (45)
463.3 (106)
Total Defense (ypg) Psulogo_mediumPsulogo_medium
Scoring Offense (ppg) 33.3 (51)
32.8 (97)
Scoring Defense (ppg) Psulogo_medium
Rushing Defense (ypg) 101.8 (17)
198.8 (49)
Rushing Offense (ypg) Psulogo_medium
Passing Defense (ypg) 183.3 (23)
348.5 (8)
Passing Offense (ypg) Push
Pass Efficiency Defense 105.06 (20)
161.38 (21)
Pass Efficiency Push
Total Defense (ypg) 285.9 (T-11)
547.3 (8)
Total Offense (ypg) Push
Scoring Defense (ppg) 14.5 (T-13)
44.5 (10)
Scoring Offense (ppg) Push
Net Punting Yds 35.37 (85)
22.5 (6)
Punt Return Yds IU_logo_mediumIU_logo_mediumIU_logo_medium
Punt Return Yds 11.78 (41)
34.36 (99)
Net Punting Yds Psulogo_mediumPsulogo_medium
Kickoff Return Yds 22.08 (52)
17.63 (16)
Kickoff Return Defense IU_logo_medium
Kickoff Return Defense 23.16 (94)
18.5 (104)
Kickoff Return Yds Push
Turnover Margin -.8 (T-100)
-.5 (T-92)
Turnover Margin Push
Penalty Yds/Game 31.75 (T-11)
56.25 (80)
Penalty Yds/Game Psulogo_mediumPsulogo_medium
Sacks 2.0/gm (T-51)
1.0 (T-21)
Sacks Allowed IU_logo_medium
Sacks Allowed 2.5/gm (T-98)
2.5 (T-30)
Sacks IU_logo_mediumIU_logo_medium
Redzone Offense (%) 100% (T-1)
77.8% (T-49)
Redzone Defense (%) Psulogo_medium
Redzone Defense (%) 87.5% (T-83)
77.3% (90)
Redzone Offense (%) Push
Redzone TD % 80% 61.11%
Redzone TD % Defense Push
Redzone TD % Defense 50%
Redzone TD % Psulogo_medium
3rd Down Conv. % 21.2% (120)
36.5% (47)
3rd Down Defense % IU_logo_mediumIU_logo_medium
3rd Down Defense % 30.2% (21)
50% (T-23)
3rd Down Conv. % Push
4th Down Conv. % 77.8% (9)
50% (T-56)
4th Down Defense % Psulogo_medium
4th Down Defense % 0% (T-1)
40% (T-78)
4th Down Conv. % Psulogo_mediumPsulogo_mediumPsulogo_medium
1st Downs 90 (T-69)
99 (90)
1st Downs Allowed Push
1st Downs Allowed 51 (5)
99 (42)
1st Downs Psulogo_medium
Time of Posession 29:47 (56)
25:48 (115)
Time of Posession Psulogo_mediumPsulogo_medium

Difference <25 in National Rank = Push

Difference >25 in National Rank = Psulogo_medium

Difference >50 in National Rank = Psulogo_mediumPsulogo_medium

Difference >75 in National Rank = Psulogo_mediumPsulogo_mediumPsulogo_medium

Difference >100 in National Rank = Psulogo_mediumPsulogo_mediumPsulogo_mediumPsulogo_medium

Note: The Redzone TD% and Redzone TD% Defense are calculated by me and not ranked by the NCAA. Determining who has the advantage in these categories is strictly my arbitrary judgment.

Quick thoughts: Quite honestly, I expected to see more red on there--especially when it comes to the Hoosier offense versus our defense. Instead, that matchup features all pushes and one advantage to PSU.

Punting, sacks (both allowed and gotten) and third down offense have been an issue for the Nittany Lions all year, so those categories are not surprisingly where Indiana's favored the most. I was not surprised to see we're favored when it comes to fourth downs, and our ability to score in the redzone. And my known favorite, punting, seems to favor the receiving team no matter which of the two punters are on the field.

Ultimately, I think it will come down to our offense performing well, sustaining long drives and letting our defense rest to keep it up to snuff.

What say you all?

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