Just the Stats: Penn State vs. Illinois

Trevor Ruszkowksi-USA TODAY Spor

I don't know that I've ever been so relieved to do a stats post in my life.

Penn St. Nittany Lions (4-3; 1-2 Big Ten) vs Illinois Fighting Illini (3-4; 0-3 Big Ten)

12:00 p.m. ET, November 2, 2013--ESPN
Beaver Stadium (Capacity: 106,572
/ University Park, PA)

Penn State Value (Nat'l Rank) Value (Nat'l Rank) Illinois Advantage
Rushing Offense (ypg) 151.9 (86) 219.3 (T-110)
Rushing Defense (ypg) Push
Passing Offense (ypg) 277.0 (30) 238.4 (75) Passing Defense (ypg) Psulogo_medium
Pass Efficiency 129.24 (70) 163.37 (119) Pass Efficiency Defense Psulogo_medium
Total Offense (ypg) 428.9 (56) 457.7 (103)
Total Defense (ypg) Psulogo_medium
Scoring Offense (ppg) 30.6 (60)
33.7 (103) Scoring Defense (ppg) Psulogo_medium
Rushing Defense (ypg) 159.1 (60) 139.4 (93) Rushing Offense (ypg) Push
Passing Defense (ypg) 226.7 (58) 261.3 (43) Passing Offense (ypg) Push
Pass Efficiency Defense 128.65 (67)
151.07 (21)
Pass Efficiency Illinoislogo_medium
Total Defense (ypg) 385.9 (53) 400.7 (73) Total Offense (ypg) Push
Scoring Defense (ppg) 29.3 (80)
30.7 (58) Scoring Offense (ppg) Illinoislogo_medium
Net Punting Yds 36.0 (86)
11.71 (31) Punt Return Yds Illinoislogo_mediumIllinoislogo_medium
Punt Return Yds 9.64 (47) 37.64 (47) Net Punting Yds Push
Kickoff Return Yds 20.04 (86)
24.35 (106) Kickoff Return Defense Push
Kickoff Return Defense 24.3 (104) 21.89 (54) Kickoff Return Yds Illinoislogo_mediumIllinoislogo_medium
Turnover Margin -1.0 (T-108)
-.7 (101) Turnover Margin Push
Penalty Yds/Game 30.43 (3) 48.29 (T-59) Penalty Yds/Game Psulogo_mediumPsulogo_medium
Sacks 2.14/gm (T-50)
2.57/gm (91) Sacks Allowed Psulogo_medium
Sacks Allowed 2.71/gm (96)
1.0/gm (T-116)
Sacks Push
Redzone Offense (%) 92% (11)
85.7% (T-79)
Redzone Defense (%) Psulogo_mediumPsulogo_medium
Redzone Defense (%) 87% (T-60)
79.3% (84)
Redzone Offense (%) Push
Redzone TD % 68.0% 65.71%
Redzone TD % Defense Psulogo_medium
Redzone TD % Defense 56.5%
58.6%
Redzone TD % Psulogo_medium
3rd Down Conv. % 31.1% (110)
48.4% (115)
3rd Down Defense % Push
3rd Down Defense % 32.1% (17)
45.7% (38) 3rd Down Conv. % Push
4th Down Conv. % 55.6% (44) 28.6% (T-12)
4th Down Defense % Illinoislogo_medium
4th Down Defense % 0% (T-1)
50% (T-55)
4th Down Conv. % Psulogo_mediumPsulogo_medium
1st Downs 161 (T-63) 163 (T-75)
1st Downs Allowed Push
1st Downs Allowed 127 (12)
156 (T-74) 1st Downs Psulogo_mediumPsulogo_medium
Time of Posession 29:15 (69)
29:16 (68)
Time of Posession Push

Difference <25 in National Rank = Push

Difference >25 in National Rank = Psulogo_medium

Difference >50 in National Rank = Psulogo_mediumPsulogo_medium

Difference >75 in National Rank = Psulogo_mediumPsulogo_mediumPsulogo_medium

Difference >100 in National Rank = Psulogo_mediumPsulogo_mediumPsulogo_mediumPsulogo_medium

Note: The Redzone TD% and Redzone TD% Defense are calculated by me and not ranked by the NCAA. Determining who has the advantage in these categories is strictly my arbitrary judgment.

Quick thoughts: Now, that's more like it.

There's two great things about these stats that make me grin ear to ear: for a lot of them that are just one PSU logo, or are pushes, they're skewed in PSU's favor or ever-so-close to being a second PSU logo, ie, the Nittany Lions are around 45 National rankings ahead of the Illini.

The second thing? In arguably our two worst categories year to date (third down conversion percentage and turnover margin), the corresponding Illinois category is as bad or worse. And, of course, the categories that Illinois excels at on this chart are the ones we know everyone's going to beat us at-- special teams (a big eff you to Mark Emmert for that one).

What say you all? As happy as I am?


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