Just the Stats: Penn State at Minnesota

Pat Lovell-USA TODAY Sports

The following shouldn't be much of a surprise to anyone who's paid attention...so let's get down to it.

Penn St. Nittany Lions (5-3; 2-2 Big Ten) vs Minnesota Golden Gophers (7-3; 3-2 Big Ten)

12:00 p.m. ET, November 9, 2013--ESPN2
TCF Bank Stadium (Capacity: 50,720
/ Minneapolis, MN)

Penn State Value (Nat'l Rank) Value (Nat'l Rank) Minnesota Advantage
Rushing Offense (ypg) 164.1 (67) 142.2 (39)
Rushing Defense (ypg) Minnesota-golden-gophers-m-logo_medium
Passing Offense (ypg) 272.4 (34) 241.7 (81) Passing Defense (ypg) Psulogo_medium
Pass Efficiency 129.94 (67) 1131.44 (77) Pass Efficiency Defense Push
Total Offense (ypg) 436.5 (49) 383.9 (53)
Total Defense (ypg) Push
Scoring Offense (ppg) 29.8 (61) 24.9 (T-51) Scoring Defense (ppg) Push
Rushing Defense (ypg) 150.5 (53) 221.1 (20) Rushing Offense (ypg) Minnesota-golden-gophers-m-logo_medium
Passing Defense (ypg) 238.5 (75) 145.3 (116) Passing Offense (ypg) Psulogo_medium
Pass Efficiency Defense 125.87 (63)
135.71 (57)
Pass Efficiency Push
Total Defense (ypg) 389.0 (57) 366.4 (95) Total Offense (ypg) Psulogo_medium
Scoring Defense (ppg) 27.8 (74)
31.4 (52) Scoring Offense (ppg) Push
Net Punting Yds 35.86 (89)
11.0 (T-34) Punt Return Yds Minnesota-golden-gophers-m-logo_mediumMinnesota-golden-gophers-m-logo_medium
Punt Return Yds 9.64 (46) 37.34 (57) Net Punting Yds Push
Kickoff Return Yds 20.33 (82)
21.03 (59) Kickoff Return Defense Push
Kickoff Return Defense 23.9 (104) 23.52 (30) Kickoff Return Yds Minnesota-golden-gophers-m-logo_mediumMinnesota-golden-gophers-m-logo_medium
Turnover Margin -.8 (T-103)
+.6 (T-34) Turnover Margin Minnesota-golden-gophers-m-logo_mediumMinnesota-golden-gophers-m-logo_medium
Penalty Yds/Game 38.5 (21) 35.44 (11) Penalty Yds/Game Push
Sacks 2.0/gm (T-55)
1.67/gm (T-49) Sacks Allowed Push
Sacks Allowed 2.5/gm (T-90)
1.56/gm (T-89)
Sacks Push
Redzone Offense (%) 83.9% (59)
78.8% (38)
Redzone Defense (%) Push
Redzone Defense (%) 82.1% (58)
96.7% (3)
Redzone Offense (%) Minnesota-golden-gophers-m-logo_mediumMinnesota-golden-gophers-m-logo_medium
Redzone TD % 61.3% 54.55%
Redzone TD % Defense Push
Redzone TD % Defense 53.6%
Redzone TD % Minnesota-golden-gophers-m-logo_medium
3rd Down Conv. % 33.1% (104)
40.9% (76)
3rd Down Defense % Minnesota-golden-gophers-m-logo_medium
3rd Down Defense % 35.3% (T-34)
42.6% (53) 3rd Down Conv. % Push
4th Down Conv. % 57.1% (42) 71.4% (T-109)
4th Down Defense % Psulogo_mediumPsulogo_medium
4th Down Defense % 0% (1)
72.7% (5)
4th Down Conv. % Push
1st Downs 186 (T-51) 167 (T-56)
1st Downs Allowed Push
1st Downs Allowed 154 (T-24)
172 (71) 1st Downs Psulogo_medium
Time of Posession 29:57 (56)
33:09 (T-14) Time of Posession Minnesota-golden-gophers-m-logo_medium

Difference <25 in National Rank = Push

Difference >25 in National Rank = Psulogo_medium

Difference >50 in National Rank = Psulogo_mediumPsulogo_medium

Difference >75 in National Rank = Psulogo_mediumPsulogo_mediumPsulogo_medium

Difference >100 in National Rank = Psulogo_mediumPsulogo_mediumPsulogo_mediumPsulogo_medium

Note: The Redzone TD% and Redzone TD% Defense are calculated by me and not ranked by the NCAA. Determining who has the advantage in these categories is strictly my arbitrary judgment.

Quick thoughts: Based on the fact that we're playing a team on a three-game win streak with seven overall wins, this shouldn't be surprising. What is surprising is that this team is Minnesota.

There's a lot of pushes there, and where the Gophers seem to have the edge is where we've struggled all year: special teams, third downs on offense, and turnovers. If you've watched Minnesota at all, as well, you should know that they are very much a run-oriented team, so if we can control the trenches on both sides of the ball, both stopping their run and getting our own run-game established, we have a good shot at this game.

What say you all?

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