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Around SBN: Explaining Jeremy Lin's Early, Surprising Success

luck Stories - Black Shoe Diaries

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David Ash Is Your New American Idol -- Give Luck Its Due

Everyone who has ever played a team sport knows that you cannot sabermetric everything. There comes a time on every team where a player makes or breaks a reputation for reliability, capability, and inspiration. If the player steps up and makes a play – or achieves an unlikely result – then the...

Sharks Gameday: What is Luck? Part 1

What is luck? Without question, luck plays a big role in hockey. From shooting percentages to goalie hot streaks, from Clear Victory standings to bad bounces, luck casts a shadow throughout every aspect of the game. People have different ideas about what exactly "luck" is, where it comes from, and...

A Little Bit of Luck

The holidays seem to come upon us quicker and quicker each year, don't they? It seems like just yesterday it was the Fourth of July, and now we're right in the middle of the holiday hustle and bustle. Before we know it, the New Year will be upon us and we'll be talking about the three-year-olds...

Sharks Gameday: The Prestige

<!-- BEGIN WIDGET --> Next Game San Jose Sharks @ Detroit Red Wings Friday, May 6, 2011, 4:00 PM PDT Joe Louis Arena Complete Coverage > <!-- END WIDGET --> <!-- END WIDGET --> (Have you guys all seen The Prestige? It's really great. If you have a couple of free hours...

The Impact of Luck, K's, and BB's on Hitters in 2010

I've been helping out a friend that works with Little League players. Part of what we've been doing is trying to better identify the true value of players and what areas each player should be working on. This is difficult given the drastically smaller N you have to work with at that level, but...

Brandon Burton's blocked field goal lifts Utes over BYU

Luck finally found its way to the Utah sidelines in this rivalry. God Bless Brandon Burton!

Penn State Hoops: Lucky And Fresh

Via the PennStateHoops.com discussion forum, exclusive footage of Talor Battle's second half performance last night in Charlottesville: Meanwhile, noted Big Ten and college basketball expert John Gasaway revisits a favorite topic of his (and ours): DeChellis is virtually unrivalled...

Is it luck or are the Utes just good?

I've heard lately Utah has been winning because of luck. What exactly is luck and how much does it influence the outcome of a game? That's a difficult question to answer because I don't think anyone can differentiate luck from reality. Is it lucky when a field goal in the waning minutes of a game...

Ten Starting Pitchers Who Deserve Better ERAs

Continuing with my recent theme of separating the real performances from the flukey ones, I'm going to take a look at starting pitchers whose skills indicate their ERAs are currently too high. You might call these them unlucky. In yesterday's look at the lucky pitchers, I used FIP, an ERA-like...

Bad Assumptions and Lazy Journalism

I think Allan Muir is an excellent sportswriter. I've even said so. But in his latest column, he makes a lazy mistake that has been made by plenty of his colleagues and continues to be made often:And this was no fluke, not like the Oilers of 2006. From the beginning of the season to the frantic...


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