pythagorean wins Stories - Black Shoe Diaries
Pythagorean Win Expectancy
A few days ago, Tim wrote up his mid season power rankings and this got me thinking about how the teams would finish. Being the stats nerd that I am, I started working on Pythagorean wins for lacrosse. When most people see Pythagorean, they think of the Pythagorean Theorem (a2+b2=c2). Well this is...
'Dawgs by Decades: One Man's Odyssey as a Georgia Bulldogs Fan
(Author’s Note I: Originally, I had intended to publish this posting on Sunday, but, because I inadvertently touched off a small controversy in the meantime, I decided to delay this posting, out of fear that it would not be well received. I hope that series of minor misunderstandings will not...
Statistical Review of the 2009 49ers: I. Overall
With the Saints (!!!) crowned champions this past Sunday, the time has arrived for my yearly statistical review of the 49ers' season. This year's review will be an 8-part series, with a new episode airing each Monday, Wednesday, and Friday from now until the end of February. Barring unforeseen...
College Football's Biggest Under- and Overachievers of the Last Decade
One of my favorite stats is Pythagorean expectation. It looks at a team's points for and points allowed, and then estimates what we should expect that team's winning percentage to be. If you then look at the difference between how a team did versus its expectation, you can get a sense as to whether...
Sean O'Sullivan Bashed in Toronto, Angels Still Top Pythagoras
Final Score in Toronto: Angels 4, Blue Jays 5 Angels rookie Sean O'Sullivan didn't fool anyone as he allowed 4 Earned Runs in 1 Inning Pitched and wound up the loser in a 5-4 ballgame. Matt Palmer and Jose Arredondo filled in admirably for a team with no off days until September. As a 5th starter,...
Has South Carolina Underachieved Under Spurrier?
table.tableizer-table {border: 1px solid #CCC; font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 12px;} .tableizer-table td {padding: 4px; margin: 3px; border: 1px solid #ccc;} .tableizer-table th {background-color: #104E8B; color: #FFF; font-weight: bold;} The question that makes up the...
Bobby Johnson: How Good a Coach Is He?
It's official: there's two of them. How good a coach is Bobby Johnson? It's a pertinent question since he got Vandy to its first bowl since 1982 (its fourth overall), and it first bowl win since 1955 (its second overall). Before going to Vanderbilt, Johnson was the head coach of Furman. He went...
The Croominator's Record Laid Bare
Sylvester Croom was hired in a tough spot. Mississippi State's reputation had been sullied off the field, and the quality of play on it suffered. Four years of probation loomed as well, and it's already a program with some historical disadvantages in recruiting. Being the first black man to be an...
Luck! Huh! Good God Y'all. What Is It Good For?
(via xkcd, h/t mgo) I had a history professor in college, I don't remember her name or even the class she taught, but she would routinely stop her lecture in order to make sure we understood that no one knew how to say things quite like the ancient Greeks. In a constant attempts to get at...
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