statistics Stories - Black Shoe Diaries
Flunking Bracketology
Kentucky, Connecticut, VCU, and Butler. What are the chances that anyone would have correctly predicted that odd quartet to qualify as the Final Four in this year's NCAA Tournament? According to one data set, roughly 0.000033%. Not a lot of us got this one right. Out of approximately 6 million...
Alex Rodriguez, The All-Time Greatest Home Run Hitters, And The Death of Statistics
I've soured on Major League Baseball over the years and Alex Rodriguez hitting his 600th home run - at 35, the youngest player in major league baseball to achieve this feat - gave me cause to remember one of the reasons why when I looked at this list of all-time great home run hitters... Rank...
Gameweek is Finally Here - Three Things to Watch
The eight-month wait is finally over as we've arrived at the first gameweek of the 2009 football season. In a game like the Texas season opener against the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks there is typically not much to pay attention to as the Longhorns use the outing as a warmup and exhibition of...
Statistical Lookback - Defense
See the offense and special teams review here. Overall Looking at Texas' defense last year is a good example of why it's important to use adjusted stats instead of relying only on the raw stats reported by the NCAA, which also include games against FCS teams. When adjusted for competition, the...
Statistical Lookback - Offense and Special Teams
As we approach the start of the 2009 season, I'm using my adjusted stats data to take a look back at the 2008 squad. Most of the stats will simply reinforce what we already know given that we follow this team closely throughout the year. There's a lot of information to look at, so I'll start...
Year-to-Year QB Improvement
It's common belief that players improve most from their first year to their second and then the year-to-year improvements slowly decrease from there. It makes perfect sense and following the game seems to confirm that belief based on real results. So I decided to run a little test to see if we...
Use Statistics Responsibly When Discussing Alabama and Oklahoma State
"He uses statistics as a drunken man uses lamp-posts... for support rather than illumination." -Andrew Lang I finally have begun getting into the massive college football data dump from last summer both to try to discover new things and judge whether the methods I currently tend to use are indeed...
Happy New Year
I sat down to look at the TSK stats for 2011 in Google Analytics today, and it was jaw dropping. Before doing anything else, I want to thank all of you who come here an make it a site worth writing for and visiting. The growth we experienced here was remarkable. Team Speed Kills debuted in April of...
Truths, Whole Truths, and Advanced College Football Statistics: Bill Connelly Answers Questions About the Georgia Bulldogs
Bill Connelly writes for Football Outsiders, Rock M Nation, Football Study Hall, and SB Nation, and he and I have a lot in common. In addition to our shared association with the finest sports blogging network of them all, Bill and I both root for SEC teams that recently have dealt with embarrassing...
Up From 6-7: What Do the Numbers Tell Us About What Ailed the Georgia Bulldogs in 2010?
With a freshman quarterback, a new defensive scheme, and a star receiver unfairly suspended for the first month of the season, Richt had his Dawgs playing well enough to beat an 'average' team, with an 'average' number of breaks, 12 out of 13 times. But that doesn't really matter when a) you're not...
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