Our fearless co-leader is stuck with no power (thanks, Sandy!), so here goes nothing...
Penn St. Nittany Lions (5-3, 3-1 Big Ten) at Purdue Boilermakers (3-5, 0-4 Big Ten)
3:30 p.m. ET, Nov. 3, 2012 - ESPNU
Ross-Ade Stadium (Capacity: 62,500) / West Lafayette, IN
Penn State | Value (Nat'l Rank) | Value (Nat'l Rank) | Purdue | Advantage |
---|---|---|---|---|
Rushing Offense (ypg) | 134.63 (85) |
195.13 (96) |
Rushing Defense (ypg) | Push |
Passing Offense (ypg) | 265.88 (40) |
213.88 (46) |
Passing Defense (ypg) | Push |
Pass Efficiency | 133.03 (61) |
121.39 (44) |
Pass Efficiency Defense | Push |
Total Offense (ypg) | 400.5 (62) |
409.00 (69) |
Total Defense (ypg) | Push |
Scoring Offense (ppg) | 27.88 (65) |
29.75 (77) |
Scoring Defense (ppg) | Push |
Rushing Defense (ypg) | 128.13 (33) |
161.25 (66) |
Rushing Offense (ypg) | |
Passing Defense (ypg) | 201.38 (32) |
220.25 (75) |
Passing Offense (ypg) | |
Pass Efficiency Defense | 115.51 (29) |
125.35 (80) |
Pass Efficiency | |
Total Defense (ypg) | 329.50 (22) |
381.5 (78) |
Total Offense (ypg) | |
Scoring Defense (ppg) | 18.13 (18) |
30.88 (52) |
Scoring Offense (ppg) | |
Net Punting Yds | 31.91 (117) |
4.92 (97) |
Punt Return Yds | Push |
Punt Return Yds | 5.24 (94) |
36.5 (67) |
Net Punting Yds | |
Kickoff Return Yds | 17.19 (111) |
20.89 (56) |
Kickoff Return Defense | |
Kickoff Return Defense | 20.71 (53) |
22.80 (45) |
Kickoff Return Yds | Push |
Turnover Margin | 1.00 (T-13) |
0.13 (T-56) |
Turnover Margin | |
Penalty Yds/Game | 49.88 (50) |
38.63 (18) |
Penalty Yds/Game | |
Sacks | 2.75/gm (T-19) |
2.25 (T-81) |
Sacks Allowed | |
Sacks Allowed | 1.5/gm (T-35) |
1.63 (T-77) |
Sacks | |
Redzone Offense (%) | 73% (T-98) |
81% (T-51) |
Redzone Defense (%) | |
Redzone Defense (%) | 65% (8) |
82% (T-53) |
Redzone Offense (%) | |
Redzone TD % | 59% |
56% |
Redzone TD % Defense | Push |
Redzone TD % Defense | 56% |
71% |
Redzone TD % | |
3rd Down Conv. % | 43.61 (45) |
44.26 (91) |
3rd Down Defense % | |
3rd Down Defense % | 38.98 (62) |
44.44 (40) |
3rd Down Conv. % | Push |
1st Downs Per Game | 22.88 (36) |
19.88 (T-52) |
1st Downs Allowed PG | Push |
1st Downs Allowed PG | 17.38 (T-22) |
20.00 (78) |
1st Downs Per Game |
Difference <25 in National Rank = Push
Difference >25 in National Rank =
Difference >50 in National Rank =
Difference >75 in National Rank =
Difference >100 in National Rank =
Note: The Redzone TD% and Redzone TD% Defense are calculated by me and not ranked by the NCAA. Determining who has the advantage in these categories is strictly my arbitrary judgment.
Quick thoughts: There's an awful lot of blue on that chart, and not just because of the header. The stats tell part of the story of why Purdue's off to a winless start in the Big Ten this season, and why Danny Hope's seat is getting mighty warm.
Special teams seem to be where Purdue has the biggest edge. It's a push, statistically, when the Nittany Lions have the ball, though if Penn State gets what Purdue gives up on average in overall yards and on the scoreboard, the Lions will best their season averages.
When the Penn State defense and the Boilermaker offense is on the field, it's a different story. Though the Nittany Lions are only in the top 25 in national defenses, simply allowing their average for the season (nearly all statistics of which went up after the Ohio State game last week) should give the visiting team a significant edge.
What say you?
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