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Penn St. Nittany Lions (4-2; 1-1 Big Ten) vs Ohio St. Buckeyes (7-0; 3-0 Big Ten)
8:00 p.m. ET, October 26, 2013--ABC
Ohio Stadium (Capacity: 102,329 / Columbus, OH
| Penn State | Value (Nat'l Rank) | Value (Nat'l Rank) | Ohio State | Advantage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing Offense (ypg) | 157.2 (79) | 92.4 (7) |
Rushing Defense (ypg) |
 |
| Passing Offense (ypg) | 283.7 (26) |
240.7 (T-78) | Passing Defense (ypg) |
|
| Pass Efficiency | 130.29 (66) | 130.47 (71) |
Pass Efficiency Defense | Push |
| Total Offense (ypg) | 440.8 (49) | 333.1 (15) |
Total Defense (ypg) |
|
| Scoring Offense (ppg) | 33.3 (43) |
19.9 (22) |
Scoring Defense (ppg) |
|
| Rushing Defense (ypg) | 117.7 (21) | 279.6 (11) | Rushing Offense (ypg) | Push |
| Passing Defense (ypg) | 218.2 (46) | 213.6 (81) | Passing Offense (ypg) | |
| Pass Efficiency Defense | 118.55 (36) |
163.9 (8) |
Pass Efficiency |
|
| Total Defense (ypg) | 335.8 (17) | 493.1 (20) | Total Offense (ypg) | Push |
| Scoring Defense (ppg) | 23.7 (48) |
45.0 (7) | Scoring Offense (ppg) |
|
| Net Punting Yds | 35.78 (87) |
12.43 (30) | Punt Return Yds |
|
| Punt Return Yds | 10.38 (40) |
40.0 (13) | Net Punting Yds |
|
| Kickoff Return Yds | 21.67 (63) |
19.97 (39) |
Kickoff Return Defense |
|
| Kickoff Return Defense | 23.35 (92) | 23.62 (31) |
Kickoff Return Yds |
|
| Turnover Margin | -.7 (T-101) |
.7 (T-23) | Turnover Margin |
|
| Penalty Yds/Game | 33.83 (12) | 45.71 (T-50) | Penalty Yds/Game | |
| Sacks | 2.33/gm (41) |
1.43 (T-36) |
Sacks Allowed | Push |
| Sacks Allowed | 2.5/gm (T-91) |
2.29 (47) |
Sacks |
|
| Redzone Offense (%) | 95.7% (T-4) |
81% (52) |
Redzone Defense (%) | |
| Redzone Defense (%) | 83.3% (T-60) |
91.4% (16) |
Redzone Offense (%) |
|
| Redzone TD % | 69.6% | 57.14% |
Redzone TD % Defense | Push |
| Redzone TD % Defense | 44.4% |
77.1% |
Redzone TD % | |
| 3rd Down Conv. % | 27.8% (116) |
30.2% (13) |
3rd Down Defense % |
|
| 3rd Down Defense % | 28.1% (5) |
51% (12) | 3rd Down Conv. % | Push |
| 4th Down Conv. % | 58.5% (34) | 25.6% (78) |
4th Down Defense % | |
| 4th Down Defense % | 0% (T-1) |
68.8% (T-16) |
4th Down Conv. % | Push |
| 1st Downs | 141 (T-65) | 127 (43) |
1st Downs Allowed | Push |
| 1st Downs Allowed | 95 (3) |
182 (14) | 1st Downs | Push |
| Time of Posession | 29:41 (62) |
32:49 (15) |
Time of Posession | |
Difference <25 in National Rank = Push
Difference >25 in National Rank =
Difference >50 in National Rank =
Difference >75 in National Rank =
Difference >100 in National Rank =
Note: The Redzone TD% and Redzone TD% Defense are calculated by me and not ranked by the NCAA. Determining who has the advantage in these categories is strictly my arbitrary judgment.
Quick thoughts: I was feeling pretty good when calculating all of these...until I hit the special teams portion. Then, with that and the turnover margin woo doggy, things went south pretty fast.
Aside from that, though (and yes, I'm well aware that that's a big aside), these teams are pretty evenly matched up--these two don't look, on paper, like the 7-0 top five team vs the team that lost to Indiana that they are. The obvious exception, of course, is the third down percentage when Penn State is on offense; but, on the plus side, if our third down % is at Ohio State's defense's season average--we'd be above our season average! So, yay?
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