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Just the Stats: Penn State at Michigan

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PSU plays at the Big House, and though Michigan just lost to Rutgers, they're not as bad as that record indicates...or maybe the Nittany Lions just aren't that good.

Alex Goodlett

Penn St. Nittany Lions (4-1; 1-1 Big Ten) vs Michigan Wolverines (2-4; 0-2 Big Ten)

7 p.m. ET, October 11, 2014--ESPN2
Michigan Stadium (Capacity: 109,901
/ Ann Arbor, MI)

Penn State Value (Nat'l Rank) Value (Nat'l Rank) Michigan Advantage
Rushing Offense (ypg) 101.0 (113) 100.2 (12) Rushing Defense (ypg) Michigan logoMichigan logoMichigan logoMichigan logo
Passing Offense (ypg) 306.8 (25) 215.3 (38) Passing Defense (ypg) Push
Pass Efficiency 122.5 (82) 133.62 (81) Pass Efficiency Defense Push
Total Offense (ypg) 407.8 (72) 315.5 (19) Total Defense (ypg)
Scoring Offense (ppg) 222.8 (96) 22.8 (T-51) Scoring Defense (ppg)
Rushing Defense (ypg) 60.2 (2) 180.8 (55) Rushing Offense (ypg) Penn_state_logo_mediumPenn_state_logo_medium
Passing Defense (ypg) 228.6 (58) 173.2 (107) Passing Offense (ypg) Penn_state_logo_medium
Pass Efficiency Defense 106.28 (22) 108.66 (110) Pass Efficiency Penn_state_logo_mediumPenn_state_logo_mediumPenn_state_logo_medium
Total Defense (ypg) 288.8 (9) 354.0 (100) Total Offense (ypg) Penn_state_logo_mediumPenn_state_logo_mediumPenn_state_logo_medium
Scoring Defense (ppg) 14.6 (10) 212.3 (101) Scoring Offense (ppg) Penn_state_logo_mediumPenn_state_logo_mediumPenn_state_logo_medium
Net Punting Yds 33.08 (118)
17.75 (68) Punt Return Yds
Punt Return Yds 8.0 (64) 34.19 (108) Net Punting Yds Penn_state_logo_medium
Kickoff Return Yds 22.14 (48) 19.6 (48) Kickoff Return Defense Push
Kickoff Return Defense 24.67 (111) 18.0 (T-111) Kickoff Return Yds Push
Turnover Margin -.2 (84)
-2.17 (124) Turnover Margin Penn_state_logo_medium
Penalty Yds/Game 48.4 (42) 31.17 (5) Penalty Yds/Game
Sacks 2.6/gm (T-37) 2.17/gm (T-174) Sacks Allowed Penn_state_logo_medium
Sacks Allowed 2.8/gm (T-97)
2.0/gm (T-65)
Sacks
Redzone Offense (%) 80% (T-77)
89.5% (98)
Redzone Defense (%) Push
Redzone Defense (%) 64.7% (8)
100% (1) Redzone Offense (%) Push
Redzone TD % 40.0% 52.63%
Redzone TD % Defense Push
Redzone TD % Defense 41.18% 86.67%
Redzone TD %
3rd Down Conv. % 43.9% (44)
36.3% (51)
3rd Down Defense % Push
3rd Down Defense % 33.8% (36)
41.6% (67) 3rd Down Conv. % Penn_state_logo_medium
4th Down Conv. % 42.9% (85) 50.0% (T-48) 4th Down Defense %
4th Down Defense % 18.2% (9)
50.0% (T-48) 4th Down Conv. % Penn_state_logo_medium
1st Downs 107 (83) 96 (34) 1st Downs Allowed
1st Downs Allowed 73 (10) 114 (1T-65) 1st Downs Penn_state_logo_mediumPenn_state_logo_medium
Time of Possession 33:03 (20)
30:53 (43) Time of Possession Push

Difference

Difference >25 in National Rank = Penn_state_logo_medium

Difference >50 in National Rank = Penn_state_logo_mediumPenn_state_logo_medium

Difference >75 in National Rank = Penn_state_logo_mediumPenn_state_logo_mediumPenn_state_logo_medium

Difference >100 in National Rank = Penn_state_logo_mediumPenn_state_logo_mediumPenn_state_logo_mediumPenn_state_logo_medium

Note: The Redzone TD% and Redzone TD% Defense are calculated by me and not ranked by the NCAA. Determining who has the advantage in these categories is strictly my arbitrary judgment.

Quick thoughts: Even after the last game against Northwestern, this defense still has excellent numbers--and when you take out FCS foes, the #1 run defense in the nation. That run offense, though--still abysmal.

The stats didn't pan out against the Wildcats, though, so who's to say what they'll say about this week's game against the Wolverines? This one looks, on paper, to be a low-scoring, defensive battle, with two teams that have fairly not-so-good offenses, if the numbers are any indication.

What do you guys think?