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Just the Stats: the Pinstripe Bowl

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Penn State takes on Boston College in the Pinstripe Bowl. How do the Nittany Lions stack up?

Jared Wickerham/Getty Images

Penn St. Nittany Lions (6-6; 2-6 Big Ten) vs Boston College (7-5; 4-4 ACC)

4:30 ET, December 27, 2014--ESPN
Yankee Stadium (Capacity: 50,291
/ Bronx, NY)

Penn State Value (Nat'l Rank) Value (Nat'l Rank) Boston College Advantage
Rushing Offense (ypg) 103.3 (117) 95.5 (4) Rushing Defense (ypg)
Passing Offense (ypg) 221.9 (72) 218.0 (48) Passing Defense (ypg) Push
Pass Efficiency 104.11 (118) 129.9 (74) Pass Efficiency Defense
Total Offense (ypg) 325.5 (114) 313.5 (12) Total Defense (ypg)
Scoring Offense (ppg) 19.8 (112) 20.5 (T-18) Scoring Defense (ppg)
Rushing Defense (ypg) 84.8 (1) 251.8 (14) Rushing Offense (ypg) Push
Passing Defense (ypg) 185.0 (10) 132.0 (121) Passing Offense (ypg) Penn_state_logo_mediumPenn_state_logo_mediumPenn_state_logo_mediumPenn_state_logo_medium
Pass Efficiency Defense 99.71 (2) 122..58 (75) Pass Efficiency Penn_state_logo_mediumPenn_state_logo_medium
Total Defense (ypg) 269.8 (2) 383.8 (76) Total Offense (ypg) Penn_state_logo_mediumPenn_state_logo_medium
Scoring Defense (ppg) 17.7 (8) 25.9 (81) Scoring Offense (ppg) Penn_state_logo_mediumPenn_state_logo_medium
Net Punting Yds 34.94 (103)
7.21 (72) Punt Return Yds
Punt Return Yds 7.11 (75) 37.92 (50) Net Punting Yds
Kickoff Return Yds 20.84 (62) 18.14 (20) Kickoff Return Defense
Kickoff Return Defense 24.72 (116) 24.55 (9) Kickoff Return Yds
Turnover Margin -.25 (83)
-.08 (T-67) Turnover Margin Push
Penalty Yds/Game 45.0 (38) 33.42 (5) Penalty Yds/Game
Sacks 2.5/gm (T-37) 1.67/gm (T-38) Sacks Allowed Push
Sacks Allowed 3.5/gm (T-118)
2.58/gm (T-33)
Sacks
Redzone Offense (%) 81.1% (77)
82.1% (52)
Redzone Defense (%)
Redzone Defense (%) 81.1% (48)
82.9% (66) Redzone Offense (%) Push
Redzone TD % 37.84% 61.54%
Redzone TD % Defense
Redzone TD % Defense 45.95% 62.86%
Redzone TD % Penn_state_logo_medium
3rd Down Conv. % 38.4% (T-84)
37.5% (42)
3rd Down Defense %
3rd Down Defense % 30.1% (6)
36.6% (95) 3rd Down Conv. % Penn_state_logo_mediumPenn_state_logo_mediumPenn_state_logo_medium
4th Down Conv. % 36.8% (106) 50.0% (T-55) 4th Down Defense %
4th Down Defense % 18.8% (1)
58.8% (T-33) 4th Down Conv. % Penn_state_logo_medium
1st Downs 224 (T-96) 200 (13) 1st Downs Allowed
1st Downs Allowed 174 (2) 232 (90) 1st Downs Penn_state_logo_mediumPenn_state_logo_mediumPenn_state_logo_medium
Time of Possession 31:33 (26)
33:09 (11) Time of Possession Push

Difference

Difference >25 in National Rank = Penn_state_logo_medium

Difference >50 in National Rank = Penn_state_logo_mediumPenn_state_logo_medium

Difference >75 in National Rank = Penn_state_logo_mediumPenn_state_logo_mediumPenn_state_logo_medium

Difference >100 in National Rank = Penn_state_logo_mediumPenn_state_logo_mediumPenn_state_logo_mediumPenn_state_logo_medium

Note: The Redzone TD% and Redzone TD% Defense are calculated by me and not ranked by the NCAA. Determining who has the advantage in these categories is strictly my arbitrary judgment.

Quick thoughts: BC's offense is better than Penn State's--but let's face it, whose isn't? BC's defense is not as good as Penn State's--but let's face it, whose isn't? With both of those factors, this should be a pretty solid match up.

On paper, it shouldn't be too difficult to force the Eagles into making their offense one-dimensional. The strength of the Boston College O is their run game, and if the Nittany Lions can shut down the ground game--and with the return of Brandon Bell to the lineup, that seems much easier than it might have against Illinois or MSU--this could be very winnable, ala Temple. But it's Penn State, so it won't be easy.

What do you guys think?