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Just the Stats: Penn State at Ohio State

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I mean, weirder things have happened...like double overtime against the eventual national champions.

Evan Habeeb-USA TODAY Sports

Penn St. Nittany Lions (5-1; 2-0 Big Ten) vs Ohio State Buckeyes (6-0; 2-0 Big Ten)

8 p.m. ET, October 17, 2015--ABC
OhioStadium (Capacity: 104,944
/ Columbus, OH)

Penn State Value (Nat'l Rank) Value (Nat'l Rank) Ohio State Advantage
Rushing Offense (ypg) 157.3 (86) 152.7 (T-55) Rushing Defense (ypg)
Passing Offense (ypg) 187.0 (99) 181.7 (16) Passing Defense (ypg)
Pass Efficiency 121.9 (87) 89.97 (6) Pass Efficiency Defense
Total Offense (ypg) 344.3 (103) 300.2 (19) Total Defense (ypg)
Scoring Offense (ppg) 25.2 (92) 17.3 (21) Scoring Defense (ppg)
Rushing Defense (ypg) 117.0 (26) 230.0 (17) Rushing Offense (ypg) Push
Passing Defense (ypg) 158.7 (13) 230.0 (65) Passing Offense (ypg) new PSU logonew PSU logo
Pass Efficiency Defense 107.94 (28) 136.15 (57) Pass Efficiency new PSU logo
Total Defense (ypg) 275.7 (10) 460.0 (26) Total Offense (ypg) Push
Scoring Defense (ppg) 14.3 (T-11) 36.8 (27) Scoring Offense (ppg) Push
Net Punting Yds 36.38 (83)
13.07 (33) Punt Return Yds
Punt Return Yds 79.0 (T-53) 42.36 (6) Net Punting Yds
Kickoff Return Yds 26.27 (17) 16.29 (9) Kickoff Return Defense Push
Kickoff Return Defense 26.15 (115) 24.11 (31) Kickoff Return Yds
Turnover Margin +1.33 (T-8)
-.33 (86) Turnover Margin new PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logo
Penalty Yds/Game 45.67 (29) 66.17 (93) Penalty Yds/Game new PSU logonew PSU logo
Sacks 4.17/gm (T-2) 1.17/gm (T-20) Sacks Allowed Push
Sacks Allowed 3.17/gm (T-112)
3.17/gm (T-11)
Sacks
Redzone Offense (%) 90.9% (25) 85.7% (T-85)
Redzone Defense (%) new PSU logonew PSU logo
Redzone Defense (%) 90.9% (T-106)
81.8% (82) Redzone Offense (%) Push
Redzone TD % 50.0% 64.29%
Redzone TD % Defense
Redzone TD % Defense 72.73% 54.55%
Redzone TD % new PSU logo
3rd Down Conv. % 31.0T (T-120)
33.7% (41)
3rd Down Defense %
3rd Down Defense % 33.3% (T-38)
36.4% (88) 3rd Down Conv. % new PSU logonew PSU logo
4th Down Conv. % 28.6% (118) 40.0% (T-43) 4th Down Defense %
4th Down Defense % 25.0% (T-12)
44.4% (T-76) 4th Down Conv. % new PSU logonew PSU logo
1st Downs 94 (108) 101 (T-42) 1st Downs Allowed
1st Downs Allowed 94 (26) 130 (34) 1st Downs Push
Time of Possession 29:55 (70)
28:11 (93) Time of Possession Push

Difference

Difference >25 in National Rank = new PSU logo

Difference >50 in National Rank = new PSU logonew PSU logo

Difference >75 in National Rank = new PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logo

Difference >100 in National Rank = new PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logo

Note: The Redzone TD% and Redzone TD% Defense are calculated by me and not ranked by the NCAA. Determining who has the advantage in these categories is strictly my arbitrary judgment.

Quick thoughts: This looks remarkably similar to last year's chart...but actually even slightly better, though the Buckeyes are returning National champions.

My quick thoughts? That one returning kickoff for a TD against San Diego State still haunts the special teams. And our sacks allowed are actually better headed into this game than they were last year--though Ohio State's defensive line (and Joey Bosa) are decidedly better at this point in 2015 than they were in 2014. And the Buckeyes get this game at home.

What do you guys think?