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Just the Stats: Penn State vs No. 2 Ohio State

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Only five days from a year to the date after their last meeting, PSU and #2 OSU meet again on the field. What do the numbers say?

NCAA Football: Penn State at Ohio State Greg Bartram-USA TODAY Sports

Penn St. Nittany Lions (4-2; 2-1 Big Ten East) vs Ohio State Buckeyes (6-0; 3-0 Big Ten East)

8 p.m. ET, October 22, 2015--ABC

Beaver Stadium (Capacity: 107,282 / University Park, PA)

Penn State Value (Nat'l Rank) Value (Nat'l Rank) Ohio State Advantage
Rushing Offense (ypg) 152.2 (88) 120.8 (20) Rushing Defense (ypg)
Passing Offense (ypg) 239.3 (53) 159.5 (6) Passing Defense (ypg)
Pass Efficiency 137.09 (57) 89.38 (4) Pass Efficiency Defense
Total Offense (ypg) 391.5 (82) 280.3 (6) Total Defense (ypg)
Scoring Offense (ppg) 30.5 (T-61) 12.8 (3) Scoring Defense (ppg)
Rushing Defense (ypg) 208.8 (103) 300.5 (4) Rushing Offense (ypg)
Passing Defense (ypg) 172.7 (13) 216.0 (83) Passing Offense (ypg) new PSU logonew PSU logo
Pass Efficiency Defense 118.24 (39) 157.46 (14) Pass Efficiency
Total Defense (ypg) 381.5 (52) 516.5 (12) Total Offense (ypg)
Scoring Defense (ppg) 28.5 (T-73) 49.3 (4) Scoring Offense (ppg)
Punt Return Defense (ypr) 9.5 (88)
6.5 (82) Punt Return Yds Push
Punt Return Yds 5.82 (86) 7.33 (62) Punt Return Defense (ypr) Push
Net Punting Yds 35.22 (107) 46.9 (2) Net Punting Yds
Kickoff Return Yds 20.19 (78) 19.03 (40) Kickoff Return Defense
Kickoff Return Defense 18.87 (36) 27.36 (8) Kickoff Return Yds
Turnover Margin -.33 (T-89)
+1.33 (T-4) Turnover Margin
Penalty Yds/Game 46.67 (26) 65.83 (101) Penalty Yds/Game new PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logo
Sacks 2.67/gm (T-37) .83/gm (11) Sacks Allowed
Sacks Allowed 2.33/gm (T-77)
2.5/gm (T-44)
Sacks
Redzone Offense (%) 84.0% (T-65) 62.5% (1)
Redzone Defense (%)
Redzone Defense (%) 88.5% (T-90)
20.0% (38) Redzone Offense (%)
Redzone TD % 48.0% 25.0%
Redzone TD % Defense
Redzone TD % Defense 65.38% 68.57%
Redzone TD % Push
3rd Down Conv. % 27.4% (123)
30.8% (17)
3rd Down Defense %
3rd Down Defense % 37.5% (T-58)
50.6% (8) 3rd Down Conv. %
4th Down Conv. % 70.0% (17) 20.0% (6) 4th Down Defense % Push
4th Down Defense % 45.5% (T-48)
75.0% (9) 4th Down Conv. %
1st Downs 102 (119) 94 (6) 1st Downs Allowed
1st Downs Allowed 115 (T-33) 156 (T-23) 1st Downs Push
Time of Possession 27:05 (105)
34:45 (9) Time of Possession
Strength of Schedule 19 59 Strength of Schedule new PSU logo

Difference

Difference >25 in National Rank = new PSU logo

Difference >50 in National Rank = new PSU logonew PSU logo

Difference >75 in National Rank = new PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logo

Difference >100 in National Rank = new PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logo

Note: All of the above rankings are taken directly from the NCAA except for strength of schedule, which is not ranked by the NCAA and instead taken from S&P (Football Outsiders).

The Redzone TD% and Redzone TD% Defense are calculated by me and not ranked by the NCAA. Determining who has the advantage in these categories is strictly my arbitrary judgment.

Quick thoughts:

Ohio State has to play a team that is getting better as the weeks go bye, installing and feeling their offense and finally getting over injuries, coming off a BYE. Penn State has to play one of the best teams in the nation. Both of those statements are completely reflected in the above stats.

The Nittany Lions' numbers are almost uniformly better than they were two weeks ago when Maryland came to town, but now they have to face a dominant Buckeye squad that's #2 for a reason--they're a balanced, if young, squad, talented all over the field.

Something in the above that was surprising to me was punt return defense--the numbers are a bit skewed, because PSU has only had ten punts returned on the year. But, speaking of skewed? OSU has only had 3 punts returned.