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Penn St. Nittany Lions (4-2; 2-1 Big Ten East) vs Ohio State Buckeyes (6-0; 3-0 Big Ten East)
8 p.m. ET, October 22, 2015--ABC
Beaver Stadium (Capacity: 107,282 / University Park, PA)
| Penn State | Value (Nat'l Rank) | Value (Nat'l Rank) | Ohio State | Advantage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing Offense (ypg) | 152.2 (88) | 120.8 (20) | Rushing Defense (ypg) |
|
| Passing Offense (ypg) | 239.3 (53) | 159.5 (6) | Passing Defense (ypg) | |
| Pass Efficiency | 137.09 (57) | 89.38 (4) | Pass Efficiency Defense |
|
| Total Offense (ypg) | 391.5 (82) | 280.3 (6) | Total Defense (ypg) |
|
| Scoring Offense (ppg) | 30.5 (T-61) | 12.8 (3) | Scoring Defense (ppg) |
|
| Rushing Defense (ypg) | 208.8 (103) | 300.5 (4) | Rushing Offense (ypg) |
|
| Passing Defense (ypg) | 172.7 (13) | 216.0 (83) | Passing Offense (ypg) |
|
| Pass Efficiency Defense | 118.24 (39) | 157.46 (14) | Pass Efficiency | |
| Total Defense (ypg) | 381.5 (52) | 516.5 (12) | Total Offense (ypg) | |
| Scoring Defense (ppg) | 28.5 (T-73) | 49.3 (4) | Scoring Offense (ppg) |
|
| Punt Return Defense (ypr) | 9.5 (88) |
6.5 (82) | Punt Return Yds | Push |
| Punt Return Yds | 5.82 (86) | 7.33 (62) | Punt Return Defense (ypr) | Push |
| Net Punting Yds | 35.22 (107) | 46.9 (2) | Net Punting Yds |
|
| Kickoff Return Yds | 20.19 (78) | 19.03 (40) | Kickoff Return Defense | |
| Kickoff Return Defense | 18.87 (36) | 27.36 (8) | Kickoff Return Yds | |
| Turnover Margin | -.33 (T-89) |
+1.33 (T-4) | Turnover Margin |
|
| Penalty Yds/Game | 46.67 (26) | 65.83 (101) | Penalty Yds/Game |
|
| Sacks | 2.67/gm (T-37) | .83/gm (11) | Sacks Allowed | |
| Sacks Allowed | 2.33/gm (T-77) |
2.5/gm (T-44) |
Sacks | |
| Redzone Offense (%) | 84.0% (T-65) | 62.5% (1) |
Redzone Defense (%) |
|
| Redzone Defense (%) | 88.5% (T-90) |
20.0% (38) | Redzone Offense (%) |
|
| Redzone TD % | 48.0% | 25.0% |
Redzone TD % Defense | |
| Redzone TD % Defense | 65.38% | 68.57% |
Redzone TD % | Push |
| 3rd Down Conv. % | 27.4% (123) |
30.8% (17) |
3rd Down Defense % |
|
| 3rd Down Defense % | 37.5% (T-58) |
50.6% (8) | 3rd Down Conv. % |
|
| 4th Down Conv. % | 70.0% (17) | 20.0% (6) | 4th Down Defense % | Push |
| 4th Down Defense % | 45.5% (T-48) |
75.0% (9) | 4th Down Conv. % | |
| 1st Downs | 102 (119) | 94 (6) | 1st Downs Allowed |
|
| 1st Downs Allowed | 115 (T-33) | 156 (T-23) | 1st Downs | Push |
| Time of Possession | 27:05 (105) |
34:45 (9) | Time of Possession |
|
| Strength of Schedule | 19 | 59 | Strength of Schedule | |
Difference
Difference >25 in National Rank =
Difference >50 in National Rank =
Difference >75 in National Rank =
Difference >100 in National Rank =
Note: All of the above rankings are taken directly from the NCAA except for strength of schedule, which is not ranked by the NCAA and instead taken from S&P (Football Outsiders).
The Redzone TD% and Redzone TD% Defense are calculated by me and not ranked by the NCAA. Determining who has the advantage in these categories is strictly my arbitrary judgment.
Quick thoughts:
Ohio State has to play a team that is getting better as the weeks go bye, installing and feeling their offense and finally getting over injuries, coming off a BYE. Penn State has to play one of the best teams in the nation. Both of those statements are completely reflected in the above stats.
The Nittany Lions' numbers are almost uniformly better than they were two weeks ago when Maryland came to town, but now they have to face a dominant Buckeye squad that's #2 for a reason--they're a balanced, if young, squad, talented all over the field.
Something in the above that was surprising to me was punt return defense--the numbers are a bit skewed, because PSU has only had ten punts returned on the year. But, speaking of skewed? OSU has only had 3 punts returned.