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Just the Stats: No. 24 Penn State at Purdue

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It’s been three years since PSU has played the Boilermakers, and the teams are seemingly in different places.

Purdue v Penn State
Who doesn’t love a good photo of Jordan Hill tackling a Boilermaker?
Photo by Justin K. Aller/Getty Images

Penn St. Nittany Lions (5-2; 3-1 Big Ten East) vs Purdue Boilermakers (3-4; 1-3 Big Ten West)

12:00 p.m. ET, October 29, 2016--ABC/ESPN2

Ross-Ade Stadium (Capacity: 62,500 / West Lafayette, IN)

Penn State Value (Nat'l Rank) Value (Nat'l Rank) Purdue Advantage
Rushing Offense (ypg) 147.9 (95) 249.0 (121) Rushing Defense (ypg) new PSU logo
Passing Offense (ypg) 227.1 (74) 192.0 (24) Passing Defense (ypg)
Pass Efficiency 133.46 (63) 134.61 (74) Pass Efficiency Defense Push
Total Offense (ypg) 375.0 (97) 441.0 (99) Total Defense (ypg) Push
Scoring Offense (ppg) 29.6 (65) 33.3 (102) Scoring Defense (ppg) new PSU logo
Rushing Defense (ypg) 203.0 (95) 120.3 (116) Rushing Offense (ypg) Push
Passing Defense (ypg) 183.0 (17) 306.0 (16) Passing Offense (ypg) Push
Pass Efficiency Defense 118.73 (38) 116.3 (107) Pass Efficiency new PSU logonew PSU logo
Total Defense (ypg) 386.0 (53) 426.3 (53) Total Offense (ypg) Push
Scoring Defense (ppg) 27.4 (T-64) 25.6 (88) Scoring Offense (ppg) Push
Punt Return Defense (ypr) 7.58 (67)
7.11 (72) Punt Return Yds Push
Punt Return Yds 5.18 (91) 3.6 (21) Punt Return Defense (ypr)
Net Punting Yds 35.77 (98) 37.23 (73) Net Punting Yds
Kickoff Return Yds 20.52 (75) 20.35 (57) Kickoff Return Defense Push
Kickoff Return Defense 18.15 (22) 19.16 (96) Kickoff Return Yds new PSU logonew PSU logo
Turnover Margin -.43 (T-97)
-1.14 (T-120) Turnover Margin Push
Penalty Yds/Game 40.71 (T-14) 39.29 (13) Penalty Yds/Game Push
Sacks 3.14/gm (T-17) 1.57/gm (T-29) Sacks Allowed Push
Sacks Allowed 2.14/gm (T-69)
2.0/gm (T-68)
Sacks Push
Redzone Offense (%) 82.8% (T-70) 86.7% (T-80)
Redzone Defense (%) Push
Redzone Defense (%) 89.3% (93)
65.2% (127) Redzone Offense (%) new PSU logo
Redzone TD % 48.28% 66.67%
Redzone TD % Defense new PSU logo
Redzone TD % Defense 60.71% 47.83%
Redzone TD % new PSU logo
3rd Down Conv. % 25.6% (127)
50.9% (128)
3rd Down Defense % Push
3rd Down Defense % 38.2% (T-59)
47.4% (22) 3rd Down Conv. %
4th Down Conv. % 63.6% (T-28) 100.0% (T-126) 4th Down Defense % new PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logo
4th Down Defense % 46.2% (T-45)
45.5% (88) 4th Down Conv. % new PSU logo
1st Downs 132 (T-107) 151 (65) 1st Downs Allowed
1st Downs Allowed 134 (34) 157 (T-58) 1st Downs Push
Time of Possession 26:27 (111)
29:27 (70) Time of Possession
Strength of Schedule 18 60 Strength of Schedule new PSU logo

Difference

Difference >25 in National Rank = new PSU logo

Difference >50 in National Rank = new PSU logonew PSU logo

Difference >75 in National Rank = new PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logo

Difference >100 in National Rank = new PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logo

Note: All of the above rankings are taken directly from the NCAA except for strength of schedule, which is not ranked by the NCAA and instead taken from S&P (Football Outsiders).

The Redzone TD% and Redzone TD% Defense are calculated by me and not ranked by the NCAA. Determining who has the advantage in these categories is strictly my arbitrary judgment.

Quick thoughts:

There's a lot more pushes up there than I would have expected, but playing some very good defenses (the number 1, 7, 17, 25, 47, 53 and 56 defenses) will do that to an offense--especially one under a first year offensive coordinator. Purdue, on the flip side, has played the number 34, 66, 72, 84, 99 and 106 offenses (EKU, as FCS, isn't ranked)--according to S&P+, we'll be the best offense they've faced to date save for Nebraska, which is two slots above us.

On the flip side, we'll be the best defense they've faced all season - and that's with a season's worth of stats, without Brandon Bell and Jason Cabinda playing much of the season.

Even if we only get what they've given up on average this year (a big if), Penn State should win this going away. It's time to be confident, guys!