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Penn St. Nittany Lions (3-2; 1-1 Big Ten East) vs Maryland Terrapins (4-0; 1-0 Big Ten East)
12 p.m. ET, October 8, 2016--BTN
Beaver Stadium (Capacity: 107,282 / University Park, PA)
| Penn State | Value (Nat'l Rank) | Value (Nat'l Rank) | Maryland | Advantage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing Offense (ypg) | 108.2 (118) | 119.0 (31) | Rushing Defense (ypg) |
|
| Passing Offense (ypg) | 256.8 (46) | 206.3 (40) | Passing Defense (ypg) | Push |
| Pass Efficiency | 135.0 (75) | 107.55 (20) | Pass Efficiency Defense |
|
| Total Offense (ypg) | 365.0 (96) | 325.3 (24) | Total Defense (ypg) |
|
| Scoring Offense (ppg) | 29.0 (T-67) | 14.5 (10) | Scoring Defense (ppg) |
|
| Rushing Defense (ypg) | 216.6 (105) | 300.0 (7) | Rushing Offense (ypg) |
|
| Passing Defense (ypg) | 187.2 (26) | 166.3 (112) | Passing Offense (ypg) |
|
| Pass Efficiency Defense | 117.73 (41) | 141.84 (57) | Pass Efficiency | Push |
| Total Defense (ypg) | 403.8 (T-69) | 466.3 (41) | Total Offense (ypg) | |
| Scoring Defense (ppg) | 31.4 (92) | 43.3 (15) | Scoring Offense (ppg) |
|
| Punt Return Defense (ypr) | 11.67 (101) |
9.6 (50) | Punt Return Yds |
|
| Punt Return Yds | 5.69 (87) | 3.8 (T-31) | Punt Return Defense (ypr) |
|
| Net Punting Yds | 37.5 (67) | 38.1 (59) | Net Punting Yds | Push |
| Kickoff Return Yds | 20.78 (75) | 17.64 (24) | Kickoff Return Defense |
|
| Kickoff Return Defense | 19.9 (49) | 25.29 (24) | Kickoff Return Yds | |
| Turnover Margin | -.6 (T-101) |
+1.0 (16) | Turnover Margin |
|
| Penalty Yds/Game | 46.0 (T-30) | 62.25 (85) | Penalty Yds/Game |
|
| Sacks | 2.4/gm (T-48) | 3.8/gm (T-103) | Sacks Allowed |
|
| Sacks Allowed | 2.2/gm (T-75) |
3.5/gm (T-15) |
Sacks |
|
| Redzone Offense (%) | 85.7% (T-53) | 63.6% (6) |
Redzone Defense (%) | |
| Redzone Defense (%) | 91.7% (T-102) |
94.7% (T-13) | Redzone Offense (%) |
|
| Redzone TD % | 47.62% | 45.45% |
Redzone TD % Defense | |
| Redzone TD % Defense | 66.67% | 73.68% |
Redzone TD % | |
| 3rd Down Conv. % | 25.0% (125) |
30.9% (27) |
3rd Down Defense % |
|
| 3rd Down Defense % | 38.7% (66) |
39.2% (72) | 3rd Down Conv. % | Push |
| 4th Down Conv. % | 66.7% (T-25) | 38.5% (28) | 4th Down Defense % | Push |
| 4th Down Defense % | 55.6% (74) |
50.0% (T-71) | 4th Down Conv. % | Push |
| 1st Downs | 91 (T-90) | 71 (T-15) | 1st Downs Allowed |
|
| 1st Downs Allowed | 104 (T-83) | 86 (T-103) | 1st Downs | Push |
| Time of Possession | 25:30 (118) |
28:43 (81) | Time of Possession | |
| Strength of Schedule | 31 | 163 | Strength of Schedule |
|
Difference
Difference >25 in National Rank =
Difference >50 in National Rank =
Difference >75 in National Rank =
Difference >100 in National Rank =
Note: All of the above rankings are taken directly from the NCAA except for strength of schedule, which is not ranked by the NCAA and instead taken from Sagarin.
The Redzone TD% and Redzone TD% Defense are calculated by me and not ranked by the NCAA. Determining who has the advantage in these categories is strictly my arbitrary judgment.
Quick thoughts:
As you can probably tell, I added some additional categories this week. Instead of strictly net punting versus punt return yards, I compared punt returns to punt defense; this felt like more of a natural matchup to me. Net punting is up against itself.
I also added in strength of schedule, just to see where it was at; Sagarin takes FCS teams into account, though, which is why Maryland's schedule is ranked below your normal 128-FBS-team ranking; I capped the difference at four logos, though, because adding a fifth just seemed cruel.
And, yes, there are a lot of Maryland logos on there. But the schedule component is a big factor - in Maryland's toughest matchup of the season so far (UCF) is 63rd in Sagarin's ratings (yes, it's still early in the season)--they're the only team the Terps have faced in the top 100 (Purdue is 114, FIU is 171, and Howard is 235)--and that game saw their worst offensive and defensive performances, numbers-wise (save turnovers), and went to OT.
Contrast that to PSU, which has faced Michigan (3), Pitt (38), Minnesota (65), Temple (70), and Kent State (138).
Food for thought on what looks like, by logos, to be lopsided...