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Just the Stats: Penn State vs Maryland

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It’s Homecoming, and the undefeated Terrapins are coming to town!

NCAA Football: Maryland at Penn State Rich Barnes-USA TODAY Sports

Penn St. Nittany Lions (3-2; 1-1 Big Ten East) vs Maryland Terrapins (4-0; 1-0 Big Ten East)

12 p.m. ET, October 8, 2016--BTN
Beaver Stadium (Capacity: 107,282 / University Park, PA)

Penn State Value (Nat'l Rank) Value (Nat'l Rank) Maryland Advantage
Rushing Offense (ypg) 108.2 (118) 119.0 (31) Rushing Defense (ypg)
Passing Offense (ypg) 256.8 (46) 206.3 (40) Passing Defense (ypg) Push
Pass Efficiency 135.0 (75) 107.55 (20) Pass Efficiency Defense
Total Offense (ypg) 365.0 (96) 325.3 (24) Total Defense (ypg)
Scoring Offense (ppg) 29.0 (T-67) 14.5 (10) Scoring Defense (ppg)
Rushing Defense (ypg) 216.6 (105) 300.0 (7) Rushing Offense (ypg)
Passing Defense (ypg) 187.2 (26) 166.3 (112) Passing Offense (ypg) new PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logo
Pass Efficiency Defense 117.73 (41) 141.84 (57) Pass Efficiency Push
Total Defense (ypg) 403.8 (T-69) 466.3 (41) Total Offense (ypg)
Scoring Defense (ppg) 31.4 (92) 43.3 (15) Scoring Offense (ppg)
Punt Return Defense (ypr) 11.67 (101)
9.6 (50) Punt Return Yds
Punt Return Yds 5.69 (87) 3.8 (T-31) Punt Return Defense (ypr)
Net Punting Yds 37.5 (67) 38.1 (59) Net Punting Yds Push
Kickoff Return Yds 20.78 (75) 17.64 (24) Kickoff Return Defense
Kickoff Return Defense 19.9 (49) 25.29 (24) Kickoff Return Yds
Turnover Margin -.6 (T-101)
+1.0 (16) Turnover Margin
Penalty Yds/Game 46.0 (T-30) 62.25 (85) Penalty Yds/Game new PSU logonew PSU logo
Sacks 2.4/gm (T-48) 3.8/gm (T-103) Sacks Allowed new PSU logonew PSU logo
Sacks Allowed 2.2/gm (T-75)
3.5/gm (T-15)
Sacks
Redzone Offense (%) 85.7% (T-53) 63.6% (6)
Redzone Defense (%)
Redzone Defense (%) 91.7% (T-102)
94.7% (T-13) Redzone Offense (%)
Redzone TD % 47.62% 45.45%
Redzone TD % Defense
Redzone TD % Defense 66.67% 73.68%
Redzone TD %
3rd Down Conv. % 25.0% (125)
30.9% (27)
3rd Down Defense %
3rd Down Defense % 38.7% (66)
39.2% (72) 3rd Down Conv. % Push
4th Down Conv. % 66.7% (T-25) 38.5% (28) 4th Down Defense % Push
4th Down Defense % 55.6% (74)
50.0% (T-71) 4th Down Conv. % Push
1st Downs 91 (T-90) 71 (T-15) 1st Downs Allowed
1st Downs Allowed 104 (T-83) 86 (T-103) 1st Downs Push
Time of Possession 25:30 (118)
28:43 (81) Time of Possession
Strength of Schedule 31 163 Strength of Schedule new PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logo

Difference

Difference >25 in National Rank = new PSU logo

Difference >50 in National Rank = new PSU logonew PSU logo

Difference >75 in National Rank = new PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logo

Difference >100 in National Rank = new PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logo

Note: All of the above rankings are taken directly from the NCAA except for strength of schedule, which is not ranked by the NCAA and instead taken from Sagarin.

The Redzone TD% and Redzone TD% Defense are calculated by me and not ranked by the NCAA. Determining who has the advantage in these categories is strictly my arbitrary judgment.

Quick thoughts:

As you can probably tell, I added some additional categories this week. Instead of strictly net punting versus punt return yards, I compared punt returns to punt defense; this felt like more of a natural matchup to me. Net punting is up against itself.

I also added in strength of schedule, just to see where it was at; Sagarin takes FCS teams into account, though, which is why Maryland's schedule is ranked below your normal 128-FBS-team ranking; I capped the difference at four logos, though, because adding a fifth just seemed cruel.

And, yes, there are a lot of Maryland logos on there. But the schedule component is a big factor - in Maryland's toughest matchup of the season so far (UCF) is 63rd in Sagarin's ratings (yes, it's still early in the season)--they're the only team the Terps have faced in the top 100 (Purdue is 114, FIU is 171, and Howard is 235)--and that game saw their worst offensive and defensive performances, numbers-wise (save turnovers), and went to OT.

Contrast that to PSU, which has faced Michigan (3), Pitt (38), Minnesota (65), Temple (70),  and Kent State (138).

Food for thought on what looks like, by logos, to be lopsided...