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Just the Stats: No. 7 Penn State vs Michigan State

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It’s senior day, and the Spartans are coming to town!

NCAA Football: Michigan State at Penn State Matthew O'Haren-USA TODAY Sports

Penn St. Nittany Lions (9-2; 7-1 Big Ten East) vs Michigan State Spartans (3-8; 1-7 Big Ten East)

3:30 p.m. ET, November 26, 2016--ESPN

Beaver Stadium (Capacity: 107,282 / University Park, PA)

Penn State Value (Nat'l Rank) Value (Nat'l Rank) Michigan State
Advantage
Rushing Offense (ypg) 187.9 (52) 166.1 (61) Rushing Defense (ypg) Push
Passing Offense (ypg) 238.7 (57) 189.8 (18) Passing Defense (ypg)
Pass Efficiency 141.59 (39) 126.26 (54) Pass Efficiency Defense Push
Total Offense (ypg) 426.6 (56) 355.9 (29) Total Defense (ypg)
Scoring Offense (ppg) 35.8 (30) 26.2 (54) Scoring Defense (ppg) Push
Rushing Defense (ypg) 149.6 (44) 178.5 (64) Rushing Offense (ypg) Push
Passing Defense (ypg) 197.5 (31) 221.3 (78) Passing Offense (ypg) new PSU logo
Pass Efficiency Defense 121.18 (43) 133.07 (60) Pass Efficiency Push
Total Defense (ypg) 347.1 (22) 399.7 (74) Total Offense (ypg) new PSU logonew PSU logo
Scoring Defense (ppg) 23.7 (40) 25.2 (T-90) Scoring Offense (ppg) new PSU logonew PSU logo
Punt Return Defense (ypr) 7.47 (61) 6.95 (78) Punt Return Yds Push
Punt Return Yds 6.11 (92) 5.44 (34) Punt Return Defense (ypr)
Net Punting Yds 36.23 (88) 37.8 (60) Net Punting Yds
Kickoff Return Yds 19.14 (93) 21.96 (91) Kickoff Return Defense Push
Kickoff Return Defense 18.74 (35) 21.04 (63) Kickoff Return Yds new PSU logo
Turnover Margin +.36 (T-34) -.36 (T-98) Turnover Margin new PSU logonew PSU logo
Penalty Yds/Game 47.0 (37) 63.73 (105) Penalty Yds/Game new PSU logonew PSU logo
Sacks 2.91/gm (T-17) 2.09/gm (T-68) Sacks Allowed new PSU logonew PSU logo
Sacks Allowed 1.91/gm (T-55)
.91/gm (T-124)
Sacks new PSU logonew PSU logo
Redzone Offense (%) 86.0% (49)
91.9% (116)
Redzone Defense (%) new PSU logonew PSU logo
Redzone Defense (%) 86.1% (T-75)
78.9% (T-98) Redzone Offense (%) Push
Redzone TD % 52.63% 70.27%
Redzone TD % Defense new PSU logo
Redzone TD % Defense 63.89% 63.16%
Redzone TD % Push
3rd Down Conv. % 31.7% (120)
42.4% (T-91)
3rd Down Defense %
3rd Down Defense % 36.0% (32)
37.9% (85) 3rd Down Conv. % new PSU logonew PSU logo
4th Down Conv. % 58.8% (T-35) 64.7% (T-107) 4th Down Defense % new PSU logonew PSU logo
4th Down Defense % 44.4% (43)
52.6% (59) 4th Down Conv. % Push
1st Downs 223 (81) 205 (32) 1st Downs Allowed
1st Downs Allowed 193 (T-19) 220 (T-87) 1st Downs new PSU logonew PSU logo
Time of Possession 28:27 (91)
31:27 (42) Time of Possession
Strength of Schedule 18
15
Strength of Schedule Push

Difference

Difference >25 in National Rank = new PSU logo

Difference >50 in National Rank = new PSU logonew PSU logo

Difference >75 in National Rank = new PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logo

Difference >100 in National Rank = new PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logo

Note: All of the above rankings are taken directly from the NCAA except for strength of schedule, which is not ranked by the NCAA and instead taken from S&P (Football Outsiders).

The Redzone TD% and Redzone TD% Defense are calculated by me and not ranked by the NCAA. Determining who has the advantage in these categories is strictly my arbitrary judgment.

Quick thoughts:

These stats show that Michigan State isn't as bad as last week's Rutgers team - but they're not on Penn State's level this year, especially since the majority of Pushes go in PSU's favor (and a lot of those logos are ever so close to being leveled up).

I'm surprised that the Nittany Lions hold the edge in most conversions, and since it's at home I expect them to get the better of the Spartans on third downs as well - especially if they continue to dominate the line, and get Connor McGovern back as expected.

What say you all?