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#7 Penn State (10-2; 8-1 Big Ten East) vs #6 Wisconsin (10-2; 7-2 Big Ten West)
8:17 p.m. ET, December 3, 2016--FOX
Lucas Oil Stadium (Capacity: 67,455 / Indianapolis, IN)
| Penn State | Value (Nat'l Rank) | Value (Nat'l Rank) | Wisconsin | Advantage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing Offense (ypg) | 178.7 (62) | 100.8 (3) | Rushing Defense (ypg) |
|
| Passing Offense (ypg) | 251.0 (51) | 191.3 (23) | Passing Defense (ypg) | |
| Pass Efficiency | 150.55 (25) | 97.66 (5) | Pass Efficiency Defense | Push |
| Total Offense (ypg) | 429.7 (56) | 292.0 (7) | Total Defense (ypg) | |
| Scoring Offense (ppg) | 36.6 (25) | 13.7 (3) | Scoring Defense (ppg) | Push |
| Rushing Defense (ypg) | 146.3 (46) | 201.5 (44) | Rushing Offense (ypg) | Push |
| Passing Defense (ypg) | 200.5 (30) | 179.6 (106) | Passing Offense (ypg) |
|
| Pass Efficiency Defense | 118.39 (26) | 130.88 (68) | Pass Efficiency | |
| Total Defense (ypg) | 346.8 (20) | 381.1 (91) | Total Offense (ypg) |
|
| Scoring Defense (ppg) | 22.8 (30) | 28.5 (66) | Scoring Offense (ppg) | |
| Punt Return Defense (ypr) | 7.47 (56) | 7.15 (76) | Punt Return Yds | Push |
| Punt Return Yds | 6.11 (94) | 7.71 (60) | Punt Return Defense (ypr) | |
| Net Punting Yds | 36.96 (74) | 34.36 (116) | Net Punting Yds | |
| Kickoff Return Yds | 19.28 (91) | 20.04 (52) | Kickoff Return Defense | |
| Kickoff Return Defense | 18.66 (28) | 19.65 (85) | Kickoff Return Yds |
|
| Turnover Margin | +.42 (T-29) | +.75 (13) | Turnover Margin | Push |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 44.33 (25) | 31.67 (4) | Penalty Yds/Game | Push |
| Sacks | 3.08/gm (T-12) | 1.67/gm (T-39) | Sacks Allowed | |
| Sacks Allowed | 1.83/gm (T-51) |
2.58/gm (28) |
Sacks | Push |
| Redzone Offense (%) | 85.2% (54) |
75.0% (T-16) |
Redzone Defense (%) | |
| Redzone Defense (%) | 87.5% (T-84) |
84.0% (65) | Redzone Offense (%) | Push |
| Redzone TD % | 52.46% | 40.63% |
Redzone TD % Defense | |
| Redzone TD % Defense | 57.5% | 64.0% |
Redzone TD % | Push |
| 3rd Down Conv. % | 32.2% (121) |
26.6% (3) |
3rd Down Defense % |
|
| 3rd Down Defense % | 37.0% (38) |
43.1% (44) | 3rd Down Conv. % | Push |
| 4th Down Conv. % | 58.8% (39) | 35.7% (16) | 4th Down Defense % | Push |
| 4th Down Defense % | 40.0% (T-30) |
54.5% (52) | 4th Down Conv. % | Push |
| 1st Downs | 241 (80) | 190 (10) | 1st Downs Allowed |
|
| 1st Downs Allowed | 219 (T-24) | 244 (77) | 1st Downs |
|
| Time of Possession | 28:12 (95) |
35:12 (1) | Time of Possession |
|
| Strength of Schedule | 6 |
3 |
Strength of Schedule | Push |
Difference
Difference >25 in National Rank =
Difference >50 in National Rank =
Difference >75 in National Rank =
Difference >100 in National Rank =
Note: All of the above rankings are taken directly from the NCAA except for strength of schedule, which is not ranked by the NCAA and instead taken from S&P (Football Outsiders).
The Redzone TD% and Redzone TD% Defense are calculated by me and not ranked by the NCAA. Determining who has the advantage in these categories is strictly my arbitrary judgment.
Quick thoughts:
Honestly? I thought there'd be more red on there.
And considering the fact that these stats take in the entire season's worth of data into their rankings - and since the end of September, PSU has played like a different (much better) team - I'd say that bodes very well for the Nittany Lions.
Not to take Wisconsin lightly; they have a very, very good defense. And they like to pound the rock - so take that away from them, and this could be very winnable. And special teams should be a standout for the Lions.