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Just the Stats: No. 8 Ohio State vs No. 4 Wisconsin in the Big Ten Championship Game

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The conference title game is here, and it looks like...two pretty darn good teams will match up.

NCAA Football: Ohio State at Wisconsin Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports

Ohio State Buckeyes (10-2; 8-1 Big Ten East) vs Wisconsin Badgers (12-0; 9-0 Big Ten West)

8:00 p.m. ET, December 2, 2017--FOX

Lucas Oil Stadium (Capacity: 67,455 / Indianapolis, IN)

Ohio State Value (Nat'l Rank) Value (Nat'l Rank) Wisconsin Advantage
Rushing Offense (ypg) 250.3 (13) 80.5 (1) Rushing Defense (ypg) Push
Passing Offense (ypg) 279.5 (27) 156.4 (2) Passing Defense (ypg) Wisconsin_logo_medium
Pass Efficiency 164.19 (6) 94.19 (1) Pass Efficiency Defense Push
Total Offense (ypg) 529.8 (4) 236.9 (1) Total Defense (ypg) Push
Scoring Offense (ppg) 43.8 (5) 12.0 (2) Scoring Defense (ppg) Push
Rushing Defense (ypg) 112.8 (13) 243.3 (18) Rushing Offense (ypg) Push
Passing Defense (ypg) 179.0 (15) 182.8 (97) Passing Offense (ypg)
Pass Efficiency Defense 114.47 (24) 155.40 (14) Pass Efficiency Push
Total Defense (ypg) 291.8 (8) 426.0 (42) Total Offense (ypg)
Scoring Defense (ppg) 19.8 (20) 34.8 (26) Scoring Offense (ppg) Push
Punt Return Defense (ypr) 13.75 (122) 9.00 (44) Punt Return Yds Wisconsin_logo_mediumWisconsin_logo_mediumWisconsin_logo_medium
Punt Return Yds 4.42 (114) 4.93 (30) Punt Return Defense (ypr) Wisconsin_logo_mediumWisconsin_logo_mediumWisconsin_logo_medium
Net Punting Yds 40.77 (17) 36.42 (103) Net Punting Yds
Kickoff Return Yds 24.21 (18) 19.62 (40) Kickoff Return Defense Push
Kickoff Return Defense 17.41 (11) 21.16 (66) Kickoff Return Yds
Turnover Margin +.25 (T - 48) +.17 (T - 57) Turnover Margin Push
Passes Had Intercepted 8 (T - 40) 15 (T - 15) Passes Intercepted Wisconsin_logo_medium
Passes Intercepted 10 (T - 63) 13 (T - 99) Passes Had Intercepted
Penalty Yds/Game 72.08 (120) 51.08 (T - 56) Penalty Yds/Game Wisconsin_logo_mediumWisconsin_logo_medium
Sacks 2.83 (T - 19) 1.42 (T - 26) Sacks Allowed Push
Sacks Allowed 1.58 (T - 36) 3.25 (T - 8) Sacks Wisconsin_logo_medium
Tackles for Loss (tpg) 7.9 (10) 4.92 (T - 26) Tackles for Loss Allowed (tpg) Push
Tackles for Loss Allowed (tpg) 4.25 (T - 12) 6.9 (T - 30) Tackles for Loss (tpg) Push
Redzone Offense (%) 88.9% (T - 29) 70.0% (T - 5) Redzone Defense (%) Push
Redzone Defense (%) 78.8% (30) 85.2% (62) Redzone Offense (%)
Redzone TD % 68.25% 30.00% Redzone TD % Defense Wisconsin_logo_medium
Redzone TD % Defense 63.64% 66.67% Redzone TD % Push
3rd Down Conv. % 49.7% (4) 28.8% (7) 3rd Down Defense % Push
3rd Down Defense % 32.2% (18) 50.6% (2) 3rd Down Conv. % Push
4th Down Conv. % 66.7% (T - 13) 60.0% (T - 98) 4th Down Defense %
4th Down Defense % 47.8% (T - 53) 80.0% (T - 2) 4th Down Conv. % Wisconsin_logo_mediumWisconsin_logo_medium
1st Downs 325 (3) 163 (2) 1st Downs Allowed Push
1st Downs Allowed 196 (T - 20) 256 (T - 47) 1st Downs
Time of Possession 28:53 (88) 35:14 (2) Time of Possession Wisconsin_logo_mediumWisconsin_logo_mediumWisconsin_logo_medium
Strength of Schedule 46 92 Strength of Schedule

Difference >25 in National Rank = new PSU logo

Difference >50 in National Rank = new PSU logonew PSU logo

Difference >75 in National Rank = new PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logo

Difference >100 in National Rank =new PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logo

Note:

All of the above rankings are taken directly from the NCAA except for strength of schedule, which is not ranked by the NCAA and instead taken from S&P+.

The Redzone TD% and Redzone TD% Defense are calculated by me and not ranked by the NCAA. Determining who has the advantage in these categories is strictly my arbitrary judgment.

Quick thoughts:

Once you get over the sadness that Penn State isn’t in this game (and wouldn’t be in it, even if the Lions had played well and beaten Michigan State), the numbers look like this game will be a pretty darn close one. That being said - there are fewer pushes on that above chart than I expected.

It’s mostly the intangibles that are lopsided in favor of one team or another, with the Badgers having the upper hand in punting situations and Buckeyes looking better in kickoff situations (luckily, Saquon Barkley isn’t back there). Wisconsin’s easier schedule may have them higher than they otherwise would have been in the rankings, but a confident team is a difficult team to beat - and what breeds confidence more than being undefeated?

What say you all?