clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

Just the Stats: Fiesta Bowl

New, 111 comments

Penn State takes on Washington in what appears to be a very evenly matched NY6 bowl game!

NCAA Football: Washington State at Washington
I am very glad that Ryan Bates is back for this game.
Jennifer Buchanan-USA TODAY Sports

Penn St. Nittany Lions (10-2; 7-2 Big Ten East) vs Washington Huskies (10-2; 7-2 Pac 12 North)

4:00 p.m. ET, December 30, 2017--FS1

University of Phoenix Stadium (Capacity: 63,400 / Glendale, AZ)

Penn State Value (Nat'l Rank) Value (Nat'l Rank) Washington Advantage
Rushing Offense (ypg) 167.4 (60) 92.3 (1) Rushing Defense (ypg)
Passing Offense (ypg) 285.8 (25) 185.1 (21) Passing Defense (ypg) Push
Pass Efficiency 153.51 (15) 113.55 (23) Pass Efficiency Defense Push
Total Offense (ypg) 453.3 (27) 277.4 (5) Total Defense (ypg) Push
Scoring Offense (ppg) 41.6 (7) 14.5 (6) Scoring Defense (ppg) Push
Rushing Defense (ypg) 119.2 (16) 189.8 (37) Rushing Offense (ypg) Push
Passing Defense (ypg) 210.2 (46) 221.8 (72) Passing Offense (ypg) new PSU logo
Pass Efficiency Defense 112.96 (20) 154.86 (14) Pass Efficiency Push
Total Defense (ypg) 329.3 (20) 411.7 (54) Total Offense (ypg) new PSU logo
Scoring Defense (ppg) 15.5 (7) 36.9 (16) Scoring Offense (ppg) Push
Punt Return Defense (ypr) 4.29 (21) 18.32 (2) Punt Return Yds Push
Punt Return Yds 13.08 (13) 5.38 (36) Punt Return Defense (ypr) Push
Net Punting Yds 39.81 (29) 38.70 (46) Net Punting Yds Push
Kickoff Return Yds 22.78 (29) 19.05 (27) Kickoff Return Defense Push
Kickoff Return Defense 19.71 (42) 23.48 (23) Kickoff Return Yds Push
Turnover Margin +1.17 (T - 4) +.92 (12) Turnover Margin Push
Passes Had Intercepted 8 (T - 37) 13 (T - 39) Passes Intercepted Push
Passes Intercepted 10 (T - 65) 5 (T - 5) Passes Had Intercepted
Penalty Yds/Game 39.17 (14) 35.25 (3) Penalty Yds/Game Push
Sacks 3.17 (9) 1.33 (T - 22) Sacks Allowed Push
Sacks Allowed 2.33 (T - 84) 3.08 (11) Sacks
Tackles for Loss (tpg) 7.1 (T - 27) 5.5 (T - 45) Tackles for Loss Allowed (tpg) Push
Tackles for Loss Allowed (tpg) 7.25 (118) 6.8 (T - 35) Tackles for Loss (tpg)
Redzone Offense (%) 91.11% (18) 88.0% (105) Redzone Defense (%) new PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logo
Redzone Defense (%) 83.3% (66) 82.8% (79) Redzone Offense (%) Push
Redzone TD % 78.57% 52.00% Redzone TD % Defense Push
Redzone TD % Defense 53.33% 65.52% Redzone TD % new PSU logo
3rd Down Conv. % 44.8% (22) 34.2% (33) 3rd Down Defense % Push
3rd Down Defense % 33.5% (27) 44.5% (24) 3rd Down Conv. % Push
4th Down Conv. % 53.8% (62) 63.2% (110) 4th Down Defense % new PSU logo
4th Down Defense % 45.8% (T - 43) 54.5% (58) 4th Down Conv. % Push
1st Downs 271 (T - 42) 194 (T - 12) 1st Downs Allowed
1st Downs Allowed 212 (T - 21) 257 (T - 57) 1st Downs new PSU logo
Time of Possession 29:53 (66) 28:53 (88) Time of Possession Push
Strength of Schedule 58 91 Strength of Schedule new PSU logo

Difference >25 in National Rank = new PSU logo

Difference >50 in National Rank = new PSU logonew PSU logo

Difference >75 in National Rank = new PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logo

Difference >100 in National Rank =new PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logo

Note:

All of the above rankings are taken directly from the NCAA except for strength of schedule, which is not ranked by the NCAA and instead taken from S&P+.

The Redzone TD% and Redzone TD% Defense are calculated by me and not ranked by the NCAA. Determining who has the advantage in these categories is strictly my arbitrary judgment.

Quick thoughts:

When I compile these statistics, I look back at previous charts. In doing that for this Just the Stats post, a couple things stood out to me: while Penn State’s defensive statistics have taken a dip since the meat of the schedule (the three week stretch of Michigan, Ohio State and Michigan State, which saw the Lions drop two of three by a combined four points), it hasn’t been significantly such - and other numbers, like the passing stats and the Nittany Lions’ performance on third downs, have actually significantly improved.

PSU will face the nation’s statistical best run defense - albeit one that faced one of the easiest schedules in FBS for the second year in a row - so this may be another game in which Trace McSorley will have to use the pass game in order to get Saquon Barkley going in likely his last game in the Basic Blues.

On paper, this looks to be a dead heat, even matchup. But Penn State is going in absent two coordinators (offensive guru Joe Moorhead having taken special teams coordinator Charles Huff with him down to Starksville) - and this will be the first test on how Ricky Rahne can function as the new offensive coordinator. One new wrinkle? Backup quarterback Tommy Stevensinclusion on the depth chart in the “lion” position. Here’s hoping they utilize him in more creative packages to throw off a very good Husky pass rush and defensive front - and a potential sign of what we may see next season.