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Big Ten Wrestling Standings: Start of Post Season

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The regular season finished. The hardest fighting lies dead ahead.

big ten

It’s taken nearly four months of fighting to get here. And now the hardest fighting starts - the post season. From this point forward, it’s win, or die.

First up, let’s look at Wrestling’s BCS, the Dual Championship Series. The pairings have been set.

Championship: #2 Penn State (13-0) at #1 Oklahoma State (14-0) - Sunday, 4pm ET

PSU WT OKST
#2 Suriano 125 #11 Piccinnini
Carpenter 133 #3 Brock
#10 Gulibon 141 #1 Heil
#1 Retherford 149 #2 Collica
#1 Nolf 157 #6 Smith
#4 Joseph 165 #8 Rogers
#7 Hall 174 #9 Crutchmer
#2 Nickal 184 #4 Boyd
#9 McCutcheon 197 #8 Weigel
#3 Nevills 285 #6 Schafer

#6 Nebraska (12-3) at #5 Virginia Tech (17-1)

NEB WT VATECH
#6 Lambert 125 #3 Dance
#4 Montoya 133 Gustafson
#14 McCrystal 141 Norstrem
Purinton 149 #6 Chishko
#3 Berger 157 #15 Mastriani
Williams 165 Bergida
Barnes 174 #5 Epperly
#5 Dudley 184 #6 Zavatsky
#6 Studebaker 197 #3 Haught
#14 Jensen 285 #5 Walz

#4 Ohio State at #8 Cornell

OHST WT CORN
#16 Rodriguez 125 Baughman
#1 Tomasello 133 Grey
#12 Pletcher 141 Koll
#5 Jordan 149 Furnas
DeCarlo 157 Simaz
Burcher 165 #10 Palacio
#1 Jordan 174 #3 Realbuto
#7 Martin 184 #1 Dean
#4 Moore 197 #18 Scott
Fox 285 Scott

#10 Rutgers at #12 Lehigh

Rutgers WT Lehigh
Paetzell 125 #5 Cruz
Delvecchio 133 #9 Parker
#5 Ashnault 141 #16 Cruz
#14 Theobold 149 #12 Gardner
#17 Van Brill 157 #4 Kutler
Pafumi 165 #15 Minotti
#19 Pagano 174 #4 Preisch
#13 Gravina 184 Price
Correnti 197 Haas
Gross 285 #16 Vollaro

#17 Michigan at #7 NC State

MICH WT NCST
#18 Youtsey 125 #12 Fausz
#7 Micic 133 #18 Morris
Profaci 141 #2 Jack
Amine 149 #9 Speno
#9 Murphy 157 Bullard
#2 Massa 165 Hamann
#8 Amine 174 Reenan
Battaglia 184 #11 Macchiavello
Striggow 197 McDonald
Olapo 285 Boykin

NR Purdue at #14 South Dakota State

PURD WT SDSU
Thornton 125 Gillette
Welch 133 #2 Gross
Ayersman 141 Pohlmeyer
Golding 149 Kocer
Griffin 157 Holler
Lydy 165 Zilverberg
Morrissey 174 #16 Kocer
Lynde 184 Mueller
Brunner 197 #7 Rotert
Kral 285 Macki

NR Indiana at #19 Appalachian State

IND WT APPST
Oliver 125 Pasone
Pepple 133 Smith
Weaver 141 Enriquez
Perez 149 Zovistoski
Danishek 157 Londoff
Martin 165 Przybysz
Skatzka 174 Kee
#8 Jackson 184 Peters-Logue
Hinz 197 Diabe
Miller 285 #9 Dejournette

#3 Iowa at #23 Edinboro

IOWA WT BORO
#1 Gilman 125 #9 Russell
#5 Clark 133 #19 Myers
#13 Carton 141 Lugo
#3 Sorensen 149 #11 Lugo
#2 Kemerer 157 Delande
#17 Gunther 165 #12 Matthews
#11 Meyer 174 Schoffstall
#3 Brooks 184 #17 Geer
Wilcke 197 Reynolds
Holloway 285 #13 Miller

Wrestling is awesome. Wrestling coaches - ehh, not so much. We’re going to leave it at that, rather than dive into a moral soliloquy about those coaches who say one thing, and do another, or those coaches who pledge to do one thing, and then break their promise, or throw a tantrum to maintain a 12-year old petty grudge over stupidity.

Want to grow wrestling? Exclude the coaches from the discussion, because some of them are only 3 years old.

Big Ten Individual Standings

125 LBS

B1G Rank 125 LBS Coaches (2/10) RPI (2/10) Overall Conf. Conf.Duals Quality Wins
1 Gilman (Iowa) 1 23-0 9-0 9-0 3
2 Suriano (PSU) 2 16-1 9-1 8-1 3
3 Lambert (NEB) 3 2 25-4 8-4 7-2 4
4 Lizak (MINN) 5 4 20-5 5-5 3-4 4
5 Youtsey (MICH) 3-3 3-1 3-1 1
6 Oliver (IND) 26 12-6 4-3 4-3 0
7 Jimenez (WIS) 24 12-8 3-5 2-3 0
8 Paetzell (RUT) 14-7 4-5 4-4 0
9 Thornton (PUR) 30 21 22-12 4-6 4-5 0
10 Piotrowski (ILL) 24 14-11 4-6 4-4 1
11 Rodriguez (OSU) 20 12 12-7 2-5 2-5 1
12 Rogaliner (MSU) 12-9 1-2 1-2 1
13 Rubinetti (jNW) 11-11 2-7 2-6 0
14 Beck (UMD) 8-13 0-5 0-5 0

The top 3 seeds at Big Tens are pretty easy: 1-Gilman, 2-Suriano, 3-Lambert. After that, it’s a little messy. We kept Lizak at 4, despite his OT loss to Rodriguez, because he’s 5-1 against everyone below him. Youtsey, Oliver, and Jimenez are all working from partial seasons. If you have them shuffled a little differently, alright.

The one that probably jumps out at you is Ohio State’s Rodriguez way down at 11. He’s ranked 20th by the coaches, earned the 12th best RPI nationally, probably bringing a bid to Big Tens - and we’ve kept him in the basement. Here’s the thing: that’s what he’s earned. Besides that OT win against Lizak last weekend, he’s been bad nearly all year long. His best win was against Brent Fleetwood, CMU. He’s got destroyed by Gilman, Suriano, and Lambert - and by Jimenez (10-1 MD), and Illinois’ Travis Piotrowski (10-0 MD). His only other conference win came against Northwestern’s Rubinetti. So, we’re leaving him at 11. We have zero idea why the Coaches poll ranks him #20 nationally. None.

Guesstimated Bids: 7

Our Guy’s Path: B1G will only seed this weight to 8 spots, so who knows whether Nick gets a first round match or not. But he can put bonus on any of #s 9 - 14. So let’s hope he does. In round 2, he’d likely get #7 Jimenez, whom he hasn’t faced. Then a rematch with #3 Lambert in the semis, before a rematch with #1 Gilman in the final.

Chances at making NCAAs: 100%. If Nick makes the semis, he’s in. If he bombs out of B1G’s completely, he’ll get an at-large bid. He’s going to NCAAs. The only question is his seeding.

133 LBS

B1G Rank 133 LBS Coaches (2/10) RPI (2/10) Overall Conf. Conf.Duals Quality Wins
1 Tomasello (OSU) 1 15-0 9-0 9-0 2
2 Montoya (NEB) 5 2 22-2 8-2 7-2 5
3 Clark (IOWA) 4 11-2 6-1 5-1 1
4 Richards (ILL) 6 4 21-2 7-2 7-1 0
5 Micic (MICH) 7 3 19-4 9-3 7-2 1
6 Rappo (UMD) 32 12-10 7-3 5-2 0
7 Welch (PUR) 29 20 18-10 5-7 5-4 0
8 McKee (MINN) 13 10 17-14 4-6 4-5 0
9 Delvecchio (RUT) 21 18 17-10 6-5 4-5 1
10 Stickley (WIS) 24 22 18-15 2-7 1-6 2
11 Ispirades (jNW) 29 10-11 3-6 3-6 0
12 Eicher (MSU) 28 25 18-12 2-6 2-6 2
13 Pepple (IND) 10-11 1-7 1-7 0
14 Carpenter (PSU) 1-12 0-8 0-8 0

Cory Clark’s loss to Montoya hurt him, and helped Montoya. Clark’s only win among the group at the top was an early season 2-0 decision over Micic, so he had to come down a peg.

The Terps’ Rappo leads the rest of the pack in our seeding by virtue of his impressive 7-3 conference mark.

Guesstimated Bids: 10

Our Guy’s Path: with 10 bids on the line, the conference will seed the full 14-man bracket. So George likely starts off with Clark in the first round. Assuming that’s a repeat loss, he’d get the loser of 6-Rappo vs. 11-Ispirades. Win that, and he makes NCAAs - if the conference gets 10 bids. If it’s 9 bids, then he’d need to win one more match.

Chances at NCAAs: 35%

141 LBS

B1G Rank 141 LBS Coaches (2/10) RPI (2/10) Overall Conf. Conf.Duals Quality Wins
1 Ashnault (RUT) 5 8 25-3 9-0 9-0 1
2 McCrystal (NEB) 9 9 25-8 7-2 7-2 3
3 Gulibon (PSU) 11 13 13-6 7-2 7-2 2
4 Thorn (MIN) 12 4 14-4 5-2 5-2 2
5 Pletcher (OSU) 14 22-6 7-3 6-3 2
6 Carton (Iowa) 20 10 20-6 6-3 6-3 1
7 Gasca (MSU) 23 19 21-7 5-3 5-3 0
8 Profaci (MICH) 26 27 13-11 4-6 4-5 1
9 Martin (WISC) 21 12 16-11 3-6 2-6 2
10 Weaver (IND) 9-15 2-7 2-7 0
11 McKenna (jNW) 9-13 3-6 3-6 0
12 Ayersman (PUR) 29 13-11 2-6 2-6 0
13 Jodeh (ILL) 10-16 2-8 2-7 0
14 Simmons (UMD) 4-10 0-5 0-5 0

Jimmy’s climbed all the way up to the 3-seed. And even better, Nebraska’s Colt McCrystal shows signs of returning to Earth from his early season interstellar orbit, losing twice last weekend, to Pletcher and Carton.

Guesstimated Bids: 9

Our Guy’s Path: 14-Simmons in round 1; 6-Carton in the quarters; 2-McCrystal in the semis; 1-Ashnault in the final.

Chances at NCAAs: 100%. How about that.

149 LBS

B1G Rank 149 LBS Coaches (2/10) RPI (2/10) Overall Conf. Conf.Duals Quality Wins
1 Retherford (PSU) 1 18-0 10-0 9-0 4
2 Sorensen (IOWA) 4 22-2 8-1 8-1 3
3 Jordan (OSU) 5 1 24-2 5-2 5-2 3
4 Bannister (UMD) 13 6 19-3 4-3 3-1 1
5 Theobold (RUT) 17 9 18-6 5-3 5-3 0
6 Barone (ILL) 31 9-6 7-3 6-3 0
7 Crone (WIS) 22 11 23-9 6-4 4-4 0
8 Perez (IND) 32 9-7 5-5 5-4 0
9 Golding (PUR) 15-5 2-0 1-0 0
10 Oster (jNW) 10-10 2-7 2-5 0
11 Amine (MICH) 11-5 1-3 1-3 0
12 Trimble (MSU) 30 13-11 3-5 3-5 0
13 Purinton (NEB) 11-12 1-7 1-6 0
14 Brolsma (MINN) 12-14 1-5 0-5 0

Ladies and gentlemen, Zain Retherford.

Guestimated Bids: 7

Our Guy’s Path at B1Gs: 50/50 chance at getting a first round sacrificial victim. Quarters vs. 8-Perez; Semis vs 4-Bannister; Final vs. 2-Sorensen.

Chance at NCAAs: wouldn’t be NCAAs without him.

157 LBS

B1G Rank 157 LBS Coaches (1/20) RPI (2/10) Overall Conf. Conf.Duals Quality Wins
1 Nolf (PSU) 1 18-0 9-0 9-0 4
2 Kemerer (Iowa) 2 24-1 10-1 8-1 2
3 Berger (NEB) 3 2 25-3 7-3 6-2 2
4 Langenderfer (ILL) 13 22 21-5 7-3 7-2 1
5 Murphy (MICH) 10 10 12-6 5-4 5-4 0
6 Short (MIN) 9 5 19-10 5-5 5-4 3
7 Ruschell (WIS) 27 13-5 3-2 3-2 0
8 Van Brill (RUT) 14 7 19-8 4-3 4-3 1
9 Danishek (IND) 28 27 17-11 4-5 4-5 0
10 Griffin (PUR) 21 20 22-10 3-5 2-3 0
11 Ryan (OSU) 10-8 2-2 2-2 0
12 Bozzo (MSU) 3-6 0-1 0-1 0
13 Alexander (UMD) 5-7 1-3 0-3 0
14 Sullivan (jNW) 4-17 0-9 0-9 0

I’m a little iffy on the 4 - 8 seeds. They’re all very close. Doesn’t seem correct to have Langenderfer at 4, but he’s 7-3 in conference. So go figure.

Guesstimated Bids: 8 or 9

Our Guy’s Path: with a fully seeded bracket, Nolf gets a first round bye, which is a shame. Quarters vs. Van Brill; Semis vs Murphy. Final vs. Kemerer.

Chance at NCAAs: 100%

165 LBS

B1G Rank 165 LBS Coaches (2/10) RPI (2/10) Overall Conf. Conf.Duals Quality Wins
1 Martinez (ILL) 1 1 23-0 10-0 9-0 3
2 Massa (MICH) 2 6 24-1 11-1 7-1 3
3 Jordan (WIS) 3 2 19-2 7-2 7-1 2
4 Joseph (PSU) 4 13-3 6-2 6-2 2
5 Gunther (IOWA) 16 17-5 7-4 5-3 1
6 Wanzek (MINN) 15 22-11 6-3 6-3 1
7 Hughes (MSU) 25 14 21-5 5-5 3-4 0
8 Martin (IND) 26 30 15-7 4-5 4-5 0
9 Burcher (OSU) 30 16 15-12 4-6 3-6 0
10 Lydy (PUR) 24 16-16 3-8 3-6 0
11 Sebastian (jNW) 16-8 4-4 4-3 0
12 Williams (NEB) 26 13-12 3-7 2-7 0
13 Pafumi (RUT) 9-12 0-3 0-3 0
14 Ugalde (UMD) 5-10 0-6 0-5 0

Welp, this one is pretty easy to seed. Cousin Ike dropped his rematch with Massa, so we get a clear 1-2-3-4. Iowa’s Gunther has been wrestling well. He makes for a dangerous 5. Wanzek, Hughes, and Martin round out our top 8.

Guesstimated Bids: 8

Cenzo’s Path: open vs. 13-Pafumi, Quarters vs. 5-Gunther, Semis vs. 1-IMar.

174 LBS

B1G Rank 174 LBS Coaches (2/10) RPI (2/10) Overall Conf. Conf.Duals Quality Wins
1 Jordan (OSU) 2 11-0 5-0 5-0 1
2 Hall (PSU) 7 3 23-3 7-1 5-1 4
3 Brunson (ILL) 10 10 25-6 12-1 8-1 3
4 Amine (MICH) 9 8 21-4 8-2 7-2 4
5 Meyer (IOWA) 12 19-5 8-3 7-2 1
6 Morrissey (PUR) 29 25 14-7 7-3 7-1 1
7 Pagano (RUT) 24 6 23-7 5-3 3-1 3
8 Skatzka (IND) 18 22 22-9 7-6 4-5 2
9 Barnes (NEB) 22 23 15-12 2-5 2-4 0
10 Pfarr (MINN) 14-11 2-6 2-5 0
11 Christensen (WIS) 25 16 17-14 1-11 1-7 1
12 Vettese (MSU) 0-4 0-0 0-0 0
13 Rowell (UMD) 9-20 0-7 0-7 0
14 Cody (jNW) 0-12 0-9 0-8 0

Ta-da! When you put the previously unbeaten (in conference) guy on full blast, 16-1, then you move up the seeding table. Mark Hall is our new 2-seed. The 1-seed stays with BoJo, who donned a singlet twice this past weekend, because the matches were against 9-Barnes and 10-Pfarr. He won both.

Guesstimated Bids: 8

Wreck Hall’s Path: BYE, Quarters vs 7-Pagano; Semis vs. 3-Brunson; Final vs. 1-Jordan.

Chances at making NCAAs: 100%

184 LBS

B1G Rank 184 LBS Coaches (2/10) RPI (2/10) Overall Conf. Conf.Duals Quality Wins
1 Nickal (PSU) 2 17-0 10-0 9-0 5
2 Jackson (IND) 7 7 27-2 10-2 9-0 3
3 Brooks (IOWA) 4 1 20-2 9-2 7-1 4
4 Martin (OSU) 9 9 23-6 8-2 7-2 2
5 Dudley (NEB) 3 3 22-2 7-2 4-2 2
6 Parker (ILL) 11 18 23-6 6-4 6-3 2
7 Gravina (RUT) 12 25 17-7 5-5 5-4 1
8 Sliga (jNW) 21 17 16-8 4-7 4-5 0
9 Ritter (WIS) 22 16 16-9 4-4 3-3 0
10 Steveson (MINN) 32 10-14 3-5 3-5 0
11 Lynde (PUR) 12-15 2-10 1-6 0
12 Battaglia (MICH) 3-8 2-5 2-5 0
13 Shadaia (MSU) 8-12 1-4 1-4 0
14 White (UMD) 5-17 0-8 0-8 0

Since they’d split their previous two bouts, and because Brooks sat out the dual, we moved Indiana’s Jackson to the 2-spot, ahead of Brooks at the 3-seed.

Similarly, Nebraska’s Dudley wrestled - and lost - to Ohio State’s Martin, and then sat out the dual against Iowa’s Brooks. So Dudley drops like a rock, down to the 5-seed, while Martin bumps up to the 4-spot.

Guesstimated Bids: 9

Bo’s Path at B1Gs: first round BYE; quarters vs. 8-Sliga; semis vs. 4-Martin; final vs. 2-Jackson.

Chance to make NCAAs: 100%

197 LBS

B1G Rank 197 LBS Coaches (2/10) RPI (2/10) Overall Conf. Conf.Duals Quality Wins
1 Pfarr (MIN) 2 2 23-1 11-0 9-0 5
2 Moore (OSU) 4 3 23-3 8-1 8-1 3
3 Studebaker (NEB) 6 4 24-5 7-2 7-2 3
4 McCutcheon (PSU) 9 14-3 7-3 6-3 3
5 Robertson (WIS) 13 9 21-12 5-6 2-5 1
6 Wilcke (Iowa) 13-8 5-4 5-3 0
7 Striggow (MICH) 32 11-10 5-4 5-4 0
8 Berkowitz (jNW) 21 15 22-7 8-5 6-3 1
9 Brunner (PUR) 23 19-13 4-8 4-5 0
10 Correnti (RUT) 28 13-11 4-5 4-5 0
11 Lee (ILL) 10-13 2-7 2-7 0
12 Whisler (UMD) 25 14-10 4-6 4-5 0
13 Hinz (IND) 12-13 0-6 0-6 0
14 Okaiye (MSU) 5-12 0-6 0-6 0

The top 4 are set in stone. The question mark is what to do with Wisconsin’s Robertson, who carries a losing (5-6) conference record. We kept him at the 5-seed, because he’s (0-5) against the top 4, but (5-1) against everyone else.

Guesstimated Bids: this is a tough one. Maybe 6?

Mouse’s Path at B1Gs: TBD round 1; quarters vs. 5-Robertson; semis vs. 1-Pfarr.

Chances at NCAAs: 100%. Make the semis, and Mouse is going to NCAAs via auto-qualifier (assuming 6 bids). Failing that, he’s getting an at-large because he owns multiple quality wins (at least, what we project to be quality wins).

285 LBS

B1G Rank 285 LBS Coaches (2/10) RPI (2/10) Overall Conf. Conf.Duals Quality Wins
1 Snyder (OSU) 1 9-0 5-0 5-0 2
2 Medbery (WIS) 2 1 20-0 10-0 8-0 6
3 Nevills (PSU) 4 15-2 7-2 7-2 4
4 Kroells (MIN) 8 9 22-7 8-3 7-2 4
5 Black (ILL) 31 11-5 5-1 5-1 0
6 Jensen (NEB) 14 12 24-9 5-6 4-4 2
7 Hemida (UMD) 26 14-9 6-4 6-2 0
8 Jennings (jNW) 26 25 15-11 5-4 5-4 0
9 Gross (RUT) 11-8 6-1 6-1 0
10 Kral (PUR) 20-14 3-8 2-6 0
11 Holloway (IOWA) 2-9 1-7 1-6 0
12 Cooper (MSU) 11-17 1-7 1-7 0
13 Miller (IND) 8-17 1-9 1-9 0
14 Perry (MICH) 2-12 0-8 0-6 0

Why would Rutgers’ Rahzohn Gross be 9th when he’s (6-1) in conference? Because he’s not wrestled anyone. Everything else in this seeding table is self explanatory.

Guesstimated Bids: 6

Nick’s Path at B1Gs: TBD first round; quarters vs. 6-Jensen; semis vs. 2-Medbery.

Chances at NCAAs: 100%

Team Total Projections

WT PSU IOWA OHST NEB ILL MINN MICH WISC RUTG
125 15 19 0 12.5 1 11.5 9 5.5 4.5
133 0 12.5 19 15 11.5 4.5 9 1 1
141 12.5 8 9 15 0 11.5 4.5 1 19
149 19 15 12.5 0 8 0 0 5.5 9
157 19 15 0 12.5 11.5 8 9 5.5 4.5
165 11.5 9 1 0 19 8 15 12.5 0
174 15 9 19 1 12.5 1 11.5 0 5.5
184 19 12.5 11.5 9 8 1 0 1 5.5
197 11.5 8 15 12.5 0 19 5.5 9 1
285 12.5 0 19 8 9 11.5 0 15 1
TOTAL 135.0 108.0 106.0 85.5 80.5 76.0 63.5 56.0 51.0

The totals above are WITHOUT bonus points, and reflect everyone wrestling perfectly to seed, as shown. In other words, it’s totally useless, except that it gives you some perspective on how far out front Penn State is from the rest of the conference contenders.

(Hint: it’s a lot.)