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Just the Stats: No. 4 Penn State vs Indiana

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Up next for the undefeated Lions: the #chaosteam

NCAA Football: Penn State at Indiana Marc Lebryk-USA TODAY Sports

Penn St. Nittany Lions (4-0; 1-0 Big Ten East) vs Indiana Hoosiers (2-1; 0-1 Big Ten East)

3:30 p.m. ET, September 30, 2017--BTN

Beaver Stadium (Capacity: 106,572 / University Park, PA)

Penn State Value (Nat'l Rank) Value (Nat'l Rank) Indiana Advantage
Rushing Offense (ypg) 214.0 (37) 196.3 (102) Rushing Defense (ypg) new PSU logonew PSU logo
Passing Offense (ypg) 282.5 (34) 232.0 (72) Passing Defense (ypg) new PSU logo
Pass Efficiency 156.78 (25) 123.3 (57) Pass Efficiency Defense new PSU logo
Total Offense (ypg) 496.5 (20) 428.3 (99) Total Defense (ypg) new PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logo
Scoring Offense (ppg) 40.5 (T - 23) 27.7 (82) Scoring Defense (ppg) new PSU logonew PSU logo
Rushing Defense (ypg) 115.0 (32) 136.7 (91) Rushing Offense (ypg) new PSU logonew PSU logo
Passing Defense (ypg) 158.5 (20) 267.3 (45) Passing Offense (ypg) new PSU logo
Pass Efficiency Defense 94.24 (10) 130.39 (75) Pass Efficiency new PSU logonew PSU logo
Total Defense (ypg) 273.5 (17) 404 (74) Total Offense (ypg) new PSU logonew PSU logo
Scoring Defense (ppg) 8.3 (2) 35.7 (42) Scoring Offense (ppg) new PSU logo
Punt Return Defense (ypr) 1.0 (T - 17) 26.14 (2) Punt Return Yds Push
Punt Return Yds 16.85 (12) 9.43 (88) Punt Return Defense (ypr) new PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logo
Net Punting Yds 42.13 (20) 37.61 (73) Net Punting Yds new PSU logonew PSU logo
Kickoff Return Yds 22.5 (49) 16.71 (21) Kickoff Return Defense
Kickoff Return Defense 19.18 (53) 18.64 (95) Kickoff Return Yds new PSU logo
Turnover Margin +1.5 (T - 8) -.33 (T - 84) Turnover Margin new PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logo
Passes Had Intercepted 3 (T - 61) 0 (T -127) Passes Intercepted new PSU logonew PSU logo
Passes Intercepted 6 (T - 10) 3 (T - 61) Passes Had Intercepted new PSU logonew PSU logo
Penalty Yds/Game 48.75 (T - 48) 47.0 (42) Penalty Yds/Game Push
Sacks 3.00 (T - 18) 3.00 (T - 109) Sacks Allowed new PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logo
Sacks Allowed 1.50 (T - 42) 1.67 (T - 79) Sacks new PSU logo
Tackles for Loss (tpg) 10.3 (1) 7.33 (T - 111) Tackles for Loss Allowed (tpg) new PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logo
Tackles for Loss Allowed (tpg) 6.75 (T - 95) 5.3 (T - 92) Tackles for Loss (tpg) Push
Redzone Offense (%) 88.9% (T - 47) 72.7% (109) Redzone Defense (%) new PSU logonew PSU logo
Redzone Defense (%) 50.0% (T - 1) 90.9% (T - 101) Redzone Offense (%) new PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logo
Redzone TD % 72.22% 54.54% Redzone TD % Defense new PSU logo
Redzone TD % Defense 16.67% 63.63% Redzone TD % new PSU logo
3rd Down Conv. % 35.4% (95) 36.2% (61) 3rd Down Defense %
3rd Down Defense % 34.8% (54) 36.0% (91) 3rd Down Conv. % new PSU logo
4th Down Conv. % 66.7% (T - 27) 55.6% (T - 72) 4th Down Defense % new PSU logo
4th Down Defense % 75.0% (108) 50.0% (T - 56) 4th Down Conv. %
1st Downs 86 (40) 63 (T - 36) 1st Downs Allowed Push
1st Downs Allowed 58 (T - 47) 64 (103) 1st Downs new PSU logonew PSU logo
Time of Possession 28:00 (97) 26:22 (112) Time of Possession Push
Strength of Schedule 31 19 Strength of Schedule Push

Difference >25 in National Rank = new PSU logo

Difference >50 in National Rank = new PSU logonew PSU logo

Difference >75 in National Rank = new PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logo

Difference >100 in National Rank =new PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logo

Note: All of the above rankings are taken directly from the NCAA except for strength of schedule, which is not ranked by the NCAA and instead taken from Team Rankings; it will be taken from S&P+ when that site has them up (after week 7).

The Redzone TD% and Redzone TD% Defense are calculated by me and not ranked by the NCAA. Determining who has the advantage in these categories is strictly my arbitrary judgment.

Quick thoughts:

While it’s still relatively early to rely too much on these numbers (there’s a reason why Bill Connelly’s S&P+ still uses preseason projections in their factoring), the numbers will slowly regress to the mean. One thing that is for sure, though? This Penn State team is, on paper, a lot better (subjective, I know) than the Hoosiers team that is coming to Happy Valley this weekend.

But, this is Indiana and they are the team that can do almost anything. If this wasn’t at Penn State, I’d say we could throw out most of the numbers, because crazy things happen in Bloomington (as evidenced by last year’s PSU game, or this year’s kickoff against Ohio State, who didn’t pull away til late). But this Penn State team defends its home turf well, and is flying high off a great win under the lights in Kinnick last week. These numbers should be more or less borne out on the field.

What say you all?