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Just the Stats: Penn State at Illinois

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What do the rankings say about this Friday’s matchup with the Illini? Well, it doesn’t look good for the home team.

Penn State v Pittsburgh Photo by Justin K. Aller/Getty Images

#10 Penn St. Nittany Lions (3-0; 0-0 Big Ten East) vs Illinois Illini (2-1; 0-0 Big Ten West)

9:00 p.m. ET, September 21, 2018--FS1

Memorial Stadium (Capacity: 60,670 / Champaign, IL)

Penn State Value (Nat'l Rank) Value (Nat'l Rank) Illinois Advantage
Rushing Offense (ypg) 237.7 (26) 148.3 (70) Rushing Defense (ypg) new PSU logo
Passing Offense (ypg) 251.3 (54) 325.3 (122) Passing Defense (ypg) new PSU logo new PSU logo
Pass Efficiency 146.63 (50) 135.60 (85) Pass Efficiency Defense new PSU logo
Total Offense (ypg) 489.0 (30) 480.0 (115) Total Defense (ypg) new PSU logo new PSU logo new PSU logo
Scoring Offense (ppg) 53.0 (5) 21.0 (T - 47) Scoring Defense (ppg) new PSU logo
Rushing Defense (ypg) 148.3 (67) 243.0 (23) Rushing Offense (ypg) 7233_rutgers_scarlet_knights-alternate-2001_medium
Passing Defense (ypg) 175.7 (T - 32) 165.3 (113) Passing Offense (ypg) new PSU logonew PSU logo new PSU logo
Pass Efficiency Defense 109.45 (39) 122.13 (95) Pass Efficiency new PSU logonew PSU logo
Total Defense (ypg) 324.0 (T - 38) 408.3 (77) Total Offense (ypg) new PSU logo
Scoring Defense (ppg) 18.0 (T - 33) 28.0 (T - 82) Scoring Offense (ppg) new PSU logo
Punt Return Defense (ypr) 1.50 (28) 10.20 (50) Punt Return Yds PUSH
Punt Return Yds 20.00 (16) 6.13 (62) Punt Return Defense (ypr) new PSU logo
Net Punting Yds 39.92 (41) 40.95 (25) Net Punting Yds PUSH
Kickoff Return Yds 35.40 (4) 17.00 (T - 28) Kickoff Return Defense PUSH
Kickoff Return Defense 23.33 (103) 12.00 (123) Kickoff Return Yds PUSH
Turnover Margin +.33 (T - 49) +1.67 (T - 9) Turnover Margin 7233_rutgers_scarlet_knights-alternate-2001_medium
Passes Had Intercepted 1 (T - 15) 6 (T - 7) Passes Intercepted PUSH
Passes Intercepted 2 (T -66) 0 (T -1) Passes Had Intercepted 7233_rutgers_scarlet_knights-alternate-2001_medium 7233_rutgers_scarlet_knights-alternate-2001_medium
Penalty Yds/Game 46.67 (T - 35) 78.33 (112) Penalty Yds/Game new PSU logo new PSU logo new PSU logo
Sacks 4.33 (3) 3.00 (T - 106) Sacks Allowed new PSU logo new PSU logo new PSU logo new PSU logo
Sacks Allowed 1.00 (T - 20) 1.67 (T - 75) Sacks new PSU logo new PSU logo
Tackles for Loss (tpg) 10.7 (T - 4) 7.33 (T - 103) Tackles for Loss Allowed (tpg) new PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logo
Tackles for Loss Allowed (tpg) 5.0 (43) 7.7 (T - 24) Tackles for Loss (tpg) PUSH
Redzone Offense (%) 100.0% (T - 1) 66.67% (T - 21) Redzone Defense (%) PUSH
Redzone Defense (%) 62.5% (T - 16) 70.0% (T - 118) Redzone Offense (%) new PSU logo new PSU logo new PSU logo new PSU logo
Redzone TD % 93.75% 44.44% Redzone TD % Defense new PSU logo
Redzone TD % Defense 50.00% 60.00% Redzone TD % new PSU logo
3rd Down Conv. % 39.5% (74) 28.5% (T - 20) 3rd Down Defense % 7233_rutgers_scarlet_knights-alternate-2001_medium 7233_rutgers_scarlet_knights-alternate-2001_medium
3rd Down Defense % 34.0% (T - 48) 32.6% (T - 106) 3rd Down Conv. % new PSU logo new PSU logo
4th Down Conv. % 60.0% (T - 57) 55.6% (T - 76) 4th Down Defense % PUSH
4th Down Defense % 40.0% (T - 53) 100.0% (T - 1) 4th Down Conv. % 7233_rutgers_scarlet_knights-alternate-2001_medium 7233_rutgers_scarlet_knights-alternate-2001_medium
1st Downs 73 (T - 32) 74 (T - 112) 1st Downs Allowed new PSU logo new PSU logo new PSU logo
1st Downs Allowed 55 (T - 61) 63 (T - 64) 1st Downs PUSH
Time of Possession 27 (108) 31 (47) Time of Possession 7233_rutgers_scarlet_knights-alternate-2001_medium 7233_rutgers_scarlet_knights-alternate-2001_medium
Strength of Schedule 33 64 Strength of Schedule new PSU logo

Difference >25 in National Rank = new PSU logo

Difference >50 in National Rank = new PSU logonew PSU logo

Difference >75 in National Rank = new PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logo

Difference >100 in National Rank =new PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logo

Note:

All of the above rankings are taken directly from the NCAA except for strength of schedule, which is not ranked by the NCAA and instead taken from S&P+.

The Redzone TD% and Redzone TD% Defense are calculated by me and not ranked by the NCAA. Determining who has the advantage in these categories is strictly my arbitrary judgment.

Quick thoughts:

Illinois is...not very good this year.

But on top of that, Penn State special teams is good, and they’re incredibly good in the red zone so far this year.

It’s early, but these numbers suggest some good things could be in store for this season.

What say you all?