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Just the Stats: No. 7 Penn State vs No. 16 Michigan

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What do the numbers and rankings say about this week’s white out game?

NCAA Football: Michigan at Penn State Matthew O’Haren-USA TODAY Sports

Penn St. Nittany Lions (6-0; 3-0 Big Ten East) vs Michigan Wolverines (5-1; 2-1 Big Ten East)

7:30 p.m. ET, October 19, 2019--ABC

Beaver Stadium (Capacity: 106,572 / University Park, PA)

Tableizer using codebeautify.org
Penn State Value (Nat'l Rank) Value (Nat'l Rank) Michigan Advantage
Rushing Offense (ypg) 191.20 (43) 122.8 (39) Rushing Defense (ypg) Push
Passing Offense (ypg) 274.2 (36) 160.5 (9) Passing Defense (ypg) Michigan logo
Pass Efficiency 162.85 (18) 113.24 (20) Pass Efficiency Defense Push
Total Offense (ypg) 465.3 (28) 283.3 (14) Total Defense (ypg) Push
Scoring Offense (ppg) 42.0 (9) 17.5 (15) Scoring Defense (ppg) Push
Rushing Defense (ypg) 53.8 (3) 156.2 (78) Rushing Offense (ypg) new PSU logo new PSU logo new PSU logo
Passing Defense (ypg) 205.8 (49) 231.2 (73) Passing Offense (ypg) Push
Pass Efficiency Defense 109.77 (12) 133.98 (73) Pass Efficiency new PSU logo new PSU logo
Total Defense (ypg) 259.7 (4) 387.3 (84) Total Offense (ypg) new PSU logo new PSU logo new PSU logo
Scoring Defense (ppg) 8.2 (2) 30.3 (T - 58) Scoring Offense (ppg) new PSU logo new PSU logo
Punt Return Defense (ypr) 3.00 (20) 8.61 (55) Punt Return Yds new PSU logo
Punt Return Yds 7.00 (T - 74) 10.18 (94) Punt Return Defense (ypr) Push
Net Punting Yds 38.28 (63) 38.54 (T - 57) Net Punting Yds Push
Kickoff Return Yds 14.89 (125) 17.78 (28) Kickoff Return Defense Michigan logo Michigan logo Michigan logo Michigan logo
Kickoff Return Defense 20.17 (52) 22.00 (56) Kickoff Return Yds Push
Turnover Margin +0.50 (T - 27) -.17 (T - 76) Turnover Margin new PSU logo
Passes Had Intercepted 2 (T - 12) 5 (T - 50) Passes Intercepted new PSU logo
Passes Intercepted 5 (T - 50) 4 (T - 39) Passes Had Intercepted Push
Penalty Yds/Game 50.83 (T - 43) 47.00 (31) Penalty Yds/Game Push
Sacks 4.5 (T - 2) 1.83 (T - 52) Sacks Allowed new PSU logo new PSU logo
Sacks Allowed 1.67 (T - 45) 3.17 (T - 18) Sacks Michigan logo
Tackles for Loss (tpg) 9.80 (3) 4.00 (T - 14) Tackles for Loss Allowed (tpg) Push
Tackles for Loss Allowed (tpg) 6.17 (T - 69) 6.80 (T - 39) Tackles for Loss (tpg) Michigan logo
Redzone Offense (%) 96.0% (T - 7) 78.6% (T - 38) Redzone Defense (%) new PSU logo
Redzone Defense (%) 81.8% (T - 63) 72.4% (T - 111) Redzone Offense (%) new PSU logo
Redzone TD % 76.00% 71.43% Redzone TD % Defense new PSU logo
Redzone TD % Defense 36.36% 58.62% Redzone TD % new PSU logo new PSU logo
3rd Down Conv. % 44.2% (29) 31.8% (23) 3rd Down Defense % Push
3rd Down Defense % 28.7% (11) 37.0% (91) 3rd Down Conv. % new PSU logo new PSU logo new PSU logo
4th Down Conv. % 83.3% (T - 9) 57.1% (T - 81) 4th Down Defense % new PSU logo new PSU logo
4th Down Defense % 44.2% (29) 31.8% (23) 4th Down Conv. % Push
1st Downs 140 (41) 101 (T - 21) 1st Downs Allowed Push
1st Downs Allowed 86 (9) 130 (T - 59) 1st Downs new PSU logo new PSU logo
Time of Possession 29:20 (84) 27:50 (110) Time of Possession new PSU logo

Difference >25 in National Rank = new PSU logo

Difference >50 in National Rank = new PSU logonew PSU logo

Difference >75 in National Rank = new PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logo

Difference >100 in National Rank =new PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logo

Note:

All of the above rankings are taken directly from the NCAA.

The Redzone TD% and Redzone TD% Defense are calculated by me and not ranked by the NCAA. Determining who has the advantage in these categories is strictly my arbitrary judgment.

Quick thoughts:

On almost the exact day as the last time Gameday visited Happy Valley, on the same network and time, the Wolverines visit Penn State and the numbers don’t look that different, or that different from last week’s headed into the game in Iowa City.

This week, though, many of PSU’s early-season troubles (3rd down completion percentage, time of possession) have gotten markedly better as the year’s come on.

For some of the more situational numbers comparisons, Michigan has had 11 of their punts returned - and after Blake Gillikin’s Player of the Week honors, PSU has only had 4 punts returned through six games (both teams are close in number of punts returned, 18 and 20 respectively). The Nittany Lions, despite Jordan Stout, have had more kickoffs returned (6) than punts - though Michigan’s had 9, so KJ Hamler may try to get his return game started.

Another huge disparity is red zone - we’ve been to the redzone 25 times, and gotten 18 touchdowns (with a big fat asterisk thanks to John O’Neill); Michigan’s been in the redzone 29 times, and only scored 17 touchdowns (and only 4 field goals!). That’s,...wow.

What say you all?