This week was kinder to me, thanks to Vegas devaluing Rutgers and Illinois based on history. Appalachian State beat South Alabama by exactly 27 points, which is half a point shy of what the line was. Whenever you think Vegas doesn’t know what they’re doing, look to this game as your answer.
Illinois -20.5 vs Rutgers - The Fighting Illini have found themselves. And, while Rutgers has actually scored in its past two games (they even won the last one), I don’t see them stopping the Lovie train. Give me the points. $200
Indiana -10.5 vs Northwestern - If you paid attention to Pat Fitzgerald’s latest press conference, you know that’s a defeated man. Breaks my heart.* Meanwhile, if you saw Tom Allen’s speech and emotion when talking to Rick Pizzo on Saturday, you know Indiana’s about to run the train on the Wildcats. $200
SMU/Memphis OVER 71.5 - Neither defense is spectacularly great, and both offenses can be potent. This is a recipe for POINTS! $100
UCLA -6.5 vs Colorado - Something tells me that the Chip Kelly train is about to get off the station at UCLA, and after that blowout of good-but-not-great Arizona State, another home blowout of decent-but-not-good Colorado is in the cards. $100
Last Week: 2-1
*It doesn’t break my heart.