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Just the Stats Cotton Bowl: No. 10 Penn State vs No. 17 Memphis

What do the numbers say about this New Year’s Six matchup between the Nittany Lions and Power 5 champ Memphis?

Heather Weikel | Black Shoe Diaries

Penn St. Nittany Lions (10-2; 7-2 Big Ten East) vs Memphis Tigers (12-1; 8-1 AAC West)

12 p.m. ET, December 28, 2019--ESPN

AT&A Stadium (Capacity: 80,000 / Arlington, TX)

Tableizer using codebeautify.org
Penn State Value (Nat'l Rank) Value (Nat'l Rank) Memphis Advantage
Rushing Offense (ypg) 173.5 (51) 171.6 (79) Rushing Defense (ypg) new PSU logo
Passing Offense (ypg) 228.7 (69) 200.7 (33) Passing Defense (ypg) Memphis logo
Pass Efficiency 143.18 (47) 115.36 (18) Pass EfficiencyDefense Memphis logo
Total Offense (ypg) 402.2 (68) 372.3 (49) Total Defense (ypg) Push
Scoring Offense (ppg) 34.3T - (22) 24.4 (47) Scoring Defense (ppg) new PSU logo
Rushing Defense (ypg) 97.7 (5) 196.2 (34) Rushing Offense (ypg) new PSU logo
Passing Defense (ypg) 232.5 (77) 284.5 (26) Passing Offense (ypg) Memphis logo Memphis logo
Pass Efficiency Defense 123.46 (38) 167.41 (10) Pass Efficiency Memphis logo
Total Defense (ypg) 330.2 (24) 480.7 (10) Total Offense (ypg) Push
Scoring Defense (ppg) 14.1 (7) 40.5 (8) Scoring Offense (ppg) Push
Punt Return Defense (ypr) 1.84 (7) 7.83 (66) Punt Return Yds new PSU logo new PSU logo
Punt Return Yds 6.36 (T - 82) 6.69 (50) Punt Return Defense (ypr) Memphis logo
Net Punting Yds 39.62 (39) 39.91 (34) Net Punting Yds Push
Kickoff Return Yds 19.92 (79) 18.79 (28) Kickoff Return Defense Memphis logo Memphis logo
Kickoff Return Defense 17.46 (14) 26.53 (6) Kickoff Return Yds Push
Turnover Margin +0.58 (T - 21) +0.00 (T - 64) Turnover Margin new PSU logo
Passes Had Intercepted 8 (T - 39) 10 (T - 5) Passes Intercepted Push
Passes Intercepted 8 (T - 86) 9 (T - 55) Passes Had Intercepted Memphis logo
Penalty Yds/Game 47.83 (35) 61.08 (99) Penalty Yds/Game new PSU logo new PSU logo
Sacks 3.25 (T - 10) 1.62 (T - 35) Sacks Allowed new PSU logo
Sacks Allowed 2.33 (T - 5) 2.46 (44) Sacks new PSU logo
Tackles for Loss (tpg) 7.70 (14) 6.92 (T - 109) Tackles for Loss Allowed (tpg) new PSU logo new PSU logo new PSU logo
Tackles for Loss Allowed (tpg) 6.25 (T - 89) 7.00 (T - 25) Tackles for Loss (tpg) Memphis logo Memphis logo
Redzone Offense (%) 89.4% (T - 28) 91.1% (124) Redzone Defense (%) new PSU logo new PSU logo new PSU logo
Redzone Defense (%) 81.5% (53) 81.8% (T - 77) Redzone Offense (%) Push
Redzone TD % 70.21% 57.78% Redzone TD % Defense new PSU logo
Redzone TD % Defense 48.15% 61.82% Redzone TD % new PSU logo
3rd Down Conv. % 41.5% (46) 38.5% (57) 3rd Down Defense % Push
3rd Down Defense % 35.3% (37) 46.3% (20) 3rd Down Conv. % Push
4th Down Conv. % 68.8% (11) 51.7% (T - 63) 4th Down Defense % new PSU logo new PSU logo
4th Down Defense % 57.7% (T - 94) 58.3% (T - 38) 4th Down Conv. % Memphis logo Memphis logo
1st Downs 250 (T - 77) 257 (T - 68) 1st Downs Allowed Push
1st Downs Allowed 219 (25) 300 (16) 1st Downs Push
Time of Possession 27:56 (109) 30:21 (57) Time of Possession Memphis logo Memphis logo
Strength of Schedule 8 62 Strength of Schedule new PSU logo new PSU logo

Difference >25 in National Rank = new PSU logo

Difference >50 in National Rank = new PSU logonew PSU logo

Difference >75 in National Rank = new PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logo

Difference >100 in National Rank =new PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logo

Note:

All of the above rankings are taken directly from the NCAA except for strength of schedule, which is taken from Team Rankings.com.

The Redzone TD% and Redzone TD% Defense are calculated by me and not ranked by the NCAA. Determining who has the advantage in these categories is strictly my arbitrary judgment.

Quick thoughts:

Despite their competition level, Memphis is a good team! They did have an extra (13th) game they played against Cincinnati, so some of the raw number stats won’t be as beneficial as they might have been for the Nittany Lions.

Memphis has a good special teams unit, having been coached by now-PSU coach Joe Lorig last year, so we’ll see how the Lions match up on that unit, having been their most improved aspect of the game from last year.