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Just the Stats: No. 12 Penn State at Maryland

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The stats are back for the 2019 season, albeit with some early returns.

NCAA Football: Maryland at Penn State Matthew O’Haren-USA TODAY Sports

#12 Penn St. Nittany Lions (3-0; 0-0 Big Ten East) vs Maryland Terrapins (2-1; 0-0 Big Ten East)

8 p.m. ET, September 27, 2019--FS1

Maryland Stadium (Capacity: 51,802 / College Park, MD)

Tableizer using codebeautify.org
Penn State Value (Nat'l Rank) Value (Nat'l Rank) Maryland Advantage
Rushing Offense (ypg) 192.0 (48) 73.7 (10) Rushing Defense (ypg)
Passing Offense (ypg) 281.0 (36) 224.7 (63) Passing Defense (ypg) new PSU logo
Pass Efficiency 167.32 (24) 132.29 (73) Pass Efficiency Defense new PSU logo
Total Offense (ypg) 473.0 (31) 298.3 (27) Total Defense (ypg) Push
Scoring Offense (ppg) 47.0 (9) 13.3 (T - 14) Scoring Defense (ppg) Push
Rushing Defense (ypg) 70.7 (9) 277.3 (8) Rushing Offense (ypg) Push
Passing Defense (ypg) 252.7 (94) 260.3 (56) Passing Offense (ypg)
Pass Efficiency Defense 122.27 (46) 135.80 (77) Pass Efficiency new PSU logo
Total Defense (ypg) 323.3 (38) 537.7 (10) Total Offense (ypg)
Scoring Defense (ppg) 10.0 (4) 53.0 (4) Scoring Offense (ppg) Push
Punt Return Defense (ypr) 6.33 (63) 17.67 (15)) Punt Return Yds
Punt Return Yds 8.50 (56) 6.50 (T - 65) Punt Return Defense (ypr) Push
Net Punting Yds 37.79 (70) 37.25 (81) Net Punting Yds Push
Kickoff Return Yds 14.33 (123) 17.06 (34) Kickoff Return Defense
Kickoff Return Defense 0.00 (T - 1) 22.25 (T - 47) Kickoff Return Yds new PSU logo
Turnover Margin +0.33 (T - 43) +1.33 (T - 12) Turnover Margin
Passes Had Intercepted 0 (T - 1) 2 (T - 70) Passes Intercepted new PSU logo new PSU logo
Passes Intercepted 2 (T - 70) 2 (T - 32) Passes Had Intercepted
Penalty Yds/Game 31.67 (6) 54.33 (62) Penalty Yds/Game new PSU logo new PSU logo
Sacks 3.67 (13) 1.67 (T - 54) Sacks Allowed new PSU logo
Sacks Allowed 2.00 (T - 72) 4.33 (T - 6) Sacks
Tackles for Loss (tpg) 10.3 (4) 7.67 (111) Tackles for Loss Allowed (tpg) new PSU logo new PSU logo new PSU logo new PSU logo
Tackles for Loss Allowed (tpg) 6.00 (T - 71) 8.3 (12) Tackles for Loss (tpg)
Redzone Offense (%) 100.0% (T - 1) 60.0% (6) Redzone Defense (%) Push
Redzone Defense (%) 85.7% (T - 83) 75.0% (T - 105) Redzone Offense (%) Push
Redzone TD % 75.00% 60.00% Redzone TD % Defense Push
Redzone TD % Defense 42.86% 75.00% Redzone TD % new PSU logo
3rd Down Conv. % 23.3% (127) 23.9% (6) 3rd Down Defense %
3rd Down Defense % 29.6% (25) 44.9% (T - 36) 3rd Down Conv. % Push
4th Down Conv. % 80.0% (T - 21) 00.0% (T - 1) 4th Down Defense % Push
4th Down Defense % 42.9% (T - 55) 25.0% (T - 110) 4th Down Conv. % new PSU logo new PSU logo
1st Downs 66 (T - 102) 43 (9) 1st Downs Allowed
1st Downs Allowed 47 (11) 72 (T - 89) 1st Downs new PSU logo new PSU logo new PSU logo
Time of Possession 25 (127) 31 (37) Time of Possession

Difference >25 in National Rank = new PSU logo

Difference >50 in National Rank = new PSU logonew PSU logo

Difference >75 in National Rank = new PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logo

Difference >100 in National Rank =new PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logo

Note:

All of the above rankings are taken directly from the NCAA except for strength of schedule, which is not as readily available this year and so I’ve removed it for the time being from these statistics.

The Redzone TD% and Redzone TD% Defense are calculated by me and not ranked by the NCAA. Determining who has the advantage in these categories is strictly my arbitrary judgment.

Quick thoughts:

Well, this looks a little familiar, doesn’t it?

The recent history of the matchups between these two squads and the numbers headed into these matchups is seriously wonky, at least according to this here blogger. In addition to the above link from last year, which saw PSU ranked at #12 and under water in a number of statistical categories pregame against a Maryland squad it would eventually wallop 38-3, there’s this gem, from 2017, which showed in advance the beatdown that would occur that night in College Park.

And who can forget that night four years ago in Baltimore, when Mike Locksley would first roam the sidelines as the Terrapins head coach (albeit in an acting capacity then) - and head into the match with the most interesting array of statistics I remember before a nailbiting, high scoring game.

But you can shove those all aside. The one I’m most interested in is the statistics headed into the Homecoming matchup between these two squads three years ago, when PSU had a brand new sophomore quarterback and a heralded running back corps playing against an undefeated Maryland squad who came into Happy Valley expecting to win. All that red, and the ensuing confidence and chips on their shoulder that PSU played with en route to a spectacular rest of their season, cautioned me and made me think the game would be close, and Maryland might win. Oh, me of little faith.

What impact does that have on this year’s match? Probably not much, as the game will likely hinge on how new starter Sean Clifford fares in his first road game as the Nittany Lions’ starter, at night in front of one of the most vitriolic fan bases he’ll face in the blue and white, and on a weird night to top it all off. It’s just interesting, is all.

What say you all?