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Just the Stats: Penn State at Michigan

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Both teams are pretty bad this year. It’s almost funny. Like the lead photo.

NCAA Football: Michigan at Penn State Matthew O’Haren-USA TODAY Sports

Penn St. Nittany Lions (0-5 Big Ten East) vs Michigan Wolverines (2-3 Big Ten East)

Noon ET, November 28, 2020--ABC

Michigan Stadium (Capacity: 109,901**** / Ann Arbor, MI)

Tableizer using codebeautify.org
Penn State Value (Nat'l Rank) Value (Nat'l Rank) Michigan Advantage
Rushing Offense (ypg) 139.0 (85) 163.8 (63) Rushing Defense (ypg) Push
Passing Offense (ypg) 279.0 (28) 274.0 (103) Passing Defense (ypg) new PSU logo new PSU logo new PSU logo
Pass Efficiency 126.37 (82) 143.40 (78) Pass Efficiency Defense Push
Total Offense (ypg) 418.0 (50) 437.8 (91) Total Defense (ypg) new PSU logo
Scoring Offense (ppg) 24.6 (90) 36.0 (T - 100) Scoring Defense (ppg) Push
Rushing Defense (ypg) 138.6 (39) 123.0 (102) Rushing Offense (ypg) new PSU logo new PSU logo
Passing Defense (ypg) 221.6 (47) 278.0 (29) Passing Offense (ypg) Push
Pass Efficiency Defense 148.12 (93) 134.30 (65) Pass Efficiency Michigan logo
Total Defense (ypg) 360.2 (36) 401.0 (61) Total Offense (ypg) new PSU logo
Scoring Defense (ppg) 36.0 (T - 100) 30.6 (51) Scoring Offense (ppg) Michigan logo
Punt Return Defense (ypr) 10.2 (93) 9.0 (T - 49) Punt Return Yds Michigan logo
Punt Return Yds 16.0 (7) 2.40 (21) Punt Return Defense (ypr) Push
Net Punting Yds 38.81 (59) 41.29 (22) Net Punting Yds Michigan logo
Kickoff Return Yds 15.33 (113) 20.57 (62) Kickoff Return Defense Michigan logo Michigan logo
Kickoff Return Defense 25.00 (111) 23.64 (23) Kickoff Return Yds Michigan logo Michigan logo Michigan logo
Turnover Margin -1.80 (124) -.20 (T - 75) Turnover Margin Michigan logo
Passes Had Intercepted 8 (T - 101) 2 (T - 90) Passes Intercepted Push
Passes Intercepted 2 (T - 90) 4 (T - 53) Passes Had Intercepted Michigan logo
Penalty Yds/Game 44.20 (T - 30) 67.00 (102) Penalty Yds/Game new PSU logo new PSU logo
Sacks 2.4 (56) 1.6 (32) Sacks Allowed Push
Sacks Allowed 4.0 (122) 1.6 (96) Sacks Michigan logo
Tackles for Loss (tpg) 6.6 (46) 4.8 (30) Tackles for Loss Allowed (tpg) Push
Tackles for Loss Allowed (tpg) 7.8 (112) 4.4 (111) Tackles for Loss (tpg) Push
Redzone Offense (%) 65.0% (125) 95.5% (119) Redzone Defense (%) Push
Redzone Defense (%) 90.0% (104) 78.9% (85) Redzone Offense (%) Push
Redzone TD % 45.00% 81.82% Redzone TD % Defense Push
Redzone TD % Defense 60.00% 73.68% Redzone TD % Michigan logo
3rd Down Conv. % 46.2% (30) 45.5% (97) 3rd Down Defense % new PSU logo new PSU logo
3rd Down Defense % 46.6% (103) 37.1% (88) 3rd Down Conv. % Push
4th Down Conv. % 46.7% (95) 62.5% (T - 82) 4th Down Defense % Push
4th Down Defense % 60.0% (T - 72) 50.0% (T - 76) 4th Down Conv. % Push
1st Downs 126 (66) 119 (T - 58) 1st Downs Allowed Push
1st Downs Allowed 97 (T - 43) 102 (T - 79) 1st Downs new PSU logo
Time of Possession 32:19 (24) 26:04 (90) Time of Possession new PSU logonew PSU logo
strength of Schedule 10 32 Strength of Schedule Push

Difference >25 in National Rank = new PSU logo

Difference >50 in National Rank = new PSU logonew PSU logo

Difference >75 in National Rank = new PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logo

Difference >100 in National Rank =new PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logo

Note:

All of the above rankings are taken directly from the NCAA except for strength of schedule, which is not ranked by the NCAA and instead taken from team rankings.

The Redzone TD% and Redzone TD% Defense are calculated by me and not ranked by the NCAA. Determining who has the advantage in these categories is strictly my arbitrary judgment.

Quick thoughts:

This is going to be a very bad, not fun game.

I did laugh, again, while creating this post - truly the only thing that surprised me was PSU’s plummet in kickoff return defense (headed into last week, the Nittany Lions hadn’t given up a single return; against Iowa, they gave up one, for 25 yards, so they went from tied for first to near the bottom). Michigan, on the other hand have had seven kicks returned; on the other side of the ball, we’ve only been able to return 12 kickoffs, and they’ve returned 22 (4.4 per game). That number will be much less this week.

I’ve come to expect really bad red zone performance from this year’s PSU team - but Michigan is almost as bad in the red zone! And I find that, frankly, amazing. What a difference a year makes.