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#12 Penn St. Nittany Lions (0-2 Big Ten East) vs Maryland Terrapins (1-1 Big Ten East)
3:30 p.m. ET, November 7, 2020--BTN
Beaver Stadium (Capacity: 106,579** / University Park, PA)
| Penn State | Value (Nat'l Rank) | Value (Nat'l Rank) | Maryland | Advantage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing Offense (ypg) | 147.0 (64) | 293.5 (102) | Rushing Defense (ypg) |  |
| Passing Offense (ypg) | 259.5 (34) | 200.5 (27) | Passing Defense (ypg) | Push |
| Pass Efficiency | 152.92 (24) | 162.85 (90) | Pass Efficiency Defense |
|
| Total Offense (ypg) | 406.5 (48) | 494.0 (95) | Total Defense (ypg) |
|
| Scoring Offense (ppg) | 30.0 (T - 49) | 43.5 (99) | Scoring Defense (ppg) |
|
| Rushing Defense (ypg) | 124.5 (28) | 172.5 (45) | Rushing Offense (ypg) | Push |
| Passing Defense (ypg) | 244.0 (56) | 268.5 (28) | Passing Offense (ypg) |  |
| Pass Efficiency Defense | 146.42 (67) | 142.20 (41) | Pass Efficiency |
|
| Total Defense (ypg) | 368.5 (35) | 441.0 (28) | Total Offense (ypg) | Push |
| Scoring Defense (ppg) | 37.0 (T - 84) | 24.0 (77) | Scoring Offense (ppg) | Push |
| Punt Return Defense (ypr) | 21.00 (101) | 5.00 (T - 66) | Punt Return Yds | |
| Punt Return Yds | 0.00 (T - 91) | 1.00 (17) | Punt Return Defense (ypr) |
|
| Net Punting Yds | 39.14 (49) | 38.50 (T - 56) | Net Punting Yds | Push |
| Kickoff Return Yds | 12.25 (98) | 18.00 (31) | Kickoff Return Defense |
|
| Kickoff Return Defense | 0.00 (T - 1) | 15.29 (90) | Kickoff Return Yds |
|
| Turnover Margin | -1.00 (T - 85) | -2.50 (103) | Turnover Margin | Push |
| Passes Had Intercepted | 3 (T - 34) | 0 (T - 95) | Passes Intercepted |
|
| Passes Intercepted | 1 (T - 80) | 4 (T - 51) | Passes Had Intercepted | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 65.5 (76) | 78.5 (94) | Penalty Yds/Game | Push |
| Sacks | 2.50 (41) | 1.50 (25) | Sacks Allowed | Push |
| Sacks Allowed | 3.00 (76) | .50 (101) | Sacks | |
| Tackles for Loss (tpg) | 5.50 (65) | 3.50 (5) | Tackles for Loss Allowed (tpg) |
|
| Tackles for Loss Allowed (tpg) | 6.50 (59) | 4.00 (96) | Tackles for Loss (tpg) | |
| Redzone Offense (%) | 66.7% (92) | 100.0% (T - 94) | Redzone Defense (%) | Push |
| Redzone Defense (%) | 81.8% (T - 47) | 75.0% (79) | Redzone Offense (%) | |
| Redzone TD % | 55.56% | 72.73% | Redzone TD % Defense | |
| Redzone TD % Defense | 63.64% | 50.00% | Redzone TD % | Push |
| 3rd Down Conv. % | 46.2% (29) | 48.1% (81) | 3rd Down Defense % |
|
| 3rd Down Defense % | 46.7% (77) | 31.6% (87) | 3rd Down Conv. % | Push |
| 4th Down Conv. % | 33.3% (T - 85) | 100.0% (T - 96) | 4th Down Defense % | Push |
| 4th Down Defense % | 50.0% (T - 33) | 100.0% (T - 1) | 4th Down Conv. % | |
| 1st Downs | 47 (T - 82) | 55 (T - 27) | 1st Downs Allowed |
|
| 1st Downs Allowed | 40 (T - 11) | 42 (T - 89) | 1st Downs |
|
| Time of Possession | 31:40 (27) | 24:45 (94) | Time of Possession |
|
| Strength of Schedule | 2 | 46 | Strength of Schedule |
|
Difference >25 in National Rank =
Difference >50 in National Rank =
Difference >75 in National Rank =
Difference >100 in National Rank =
Note:
All of the above rankings are taken directly from the NCAA except for strength of schedule, which is not ranked by the NCAA and instead taken from team rankings.
The Redzone TD% and Redzone TD% Defense are calculated by me and not ranked by the NCAA. Determining who has the advantage in these categories is strictly my arbitrary judgment.
Quick thoughts:
Do you guys remember what this chart looked like headed into last year? No? Well, let me refresh your memory: it was a heckuva lot more Ms than this year. And then this happened:
(shout out to bscaff’s still-epic Film Room from after that game).
When I’m saying we’re the best no win team in the nation, that’s not a joke, and that’s not because the Pac 12 hasn’t started playing yet. There’s a reason why we’re still top ten in Bill Connelly’s SP+ rankings.
Special teams, on paper, still seems to be a glaring area of weakness, but I’m not too concerned about much else on here - when you’re giving up almost 300 yards on the ground per game like Maryland’s defense is, of course teams aren’t going to pass on you much.
But, of course, this is still 2020, and anything can happen in this insane year. Is Maryland beating Penn State at home is one of them, even with Tua Tagovailoa’s younger brother? Well, let’s just say the numbers don’t bear that out.