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Just the Stats: Penn State vs Michigan State

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NCAA Football: Penn State at Michigan State Mike Carter-USA TODAY Sports

Penn St. Nittany Lions (2-5 Big Ten East) vs Michigan State Spartans (2-4 Big Ten East)

3:30 p.m. ET, December 12, 2020--ESPN

Beaver Stadium (Capacity: 106,579*** / University Park, PA)

Tableizer using codebeautify.org
Penn State Value (Nat'l Rank) Value (Nat'l Rank) Michigan State Advantage
Rushing Offense (ypg) 171.0 (63) 163.7 (62) Rushing Defense (ypg) Push
Passing Offense (ypg) 241.6 (52) 231.7 (63) Passing Defense (ypg) Push
Pass Efficiency 123.86 (88) 118.69 (23) Pass Efficiency Defense
Total Offense (ypg) 412.6 (53) 395.3 (58) Total Defense (ypg) Push
Scoring Offense (ppg) 24.7 (89) 34.5 (T - 98) Scoring Defense (ppg) Push
Rushing Defense (ypg) 135.7 (T = 37) 95.2 (121) Rushing Offense (ypg) new PSU logo new PSU logo new PSU logo
Passing Defense (ypg) 191.7 (22) 224.5 (T - 68) Passing Offense (ypg) new PSU logo
Pass Efficiency Defense 131.09 (48) 112.09 (113) Pass Efficiency new PSU logo new PSU logo
Total Defense (ypg) 327.4 (17) 319.7 (115) Total Offense (ypg) new PSU logo new PSU logo new PSU logo
Scoring Defense (ppg) 29.1 (66) 17.0 (120) Scoring Offense (ppg) new PSU logo new PSU logo
Punt Return Defense (ypr) 7.12 (70) 7.33 (65) Punt Return Yds Push
Punt Return Yds 13.2 (16) 13.54 (112) Punt Return Defense (ypr) new PSU logo new PSU logo new PSU logo
Net Punting Yds 38.17 (73) 36.23 (101) Net Punting Yds new PSU logo
Kickoff Return Yds 14.46 (122) 25.83 (118) Kickoff Return Defense Push
Kickoff Return Defense 16.33 (11) 19.28 (77) Kickoff Return Yds new PSU logo new PSU logo
Turnover Margin -1.14 (121) -1.5 (125) Turnover Margin Push
Passes Had Intercepted 9 (T - 99) 5 (T - 63) Passes Intercepted
Passes Intercepted 2 (T - 105) 11 (T - 113) Passes Had Intercepted Push
Penalty Yds/Game 38.71 (14) 64.0 (100) Penalty Yds/Game new PSU logo new PSU logo new PSU logo
Sacks 2.14 (64) 2.0 (44) Sacks Allowed Push
Sacks Allowed 3.29 (113) 2.0 (73) Sacks
Tackles for Loss (tpg) 6.1 (65) 6.83 (88) Tackles for Loss Allowed (tpg) Push
Tackles for Loss Allowed (tpg) 6.71 (83) 7.0 (33) Tackles for Loss (tpg)
Redzone Offense (%) 71.4% (T - 112) 75.9% (T - 25) Redzone Defense (%)
Redzone Defense (%) 91.3% (114) 100.0% (T - 1) Redzone Offense (%)
Redzone TD % 42.86% 62.07% Redzone TD % Defense Push
Redzone TD % Defense 65.22% 66.67% Redzone TD % Push
3rd Down Conv. % 44.0% (42) 38.9% (53) 3rd Down Defense % Push
3rd Down Defense % 41.0% (70) 34.7% (105) 3rd Down Conv. % new PSU logo
4th Down Conv. % 44.4% (97) 60.0% (T - 79) 4th Down Defense % Push
4th Down Defense % 41.7% (25) 45.5% (T - 95) 4th Down Conv. % new PSU logo new PSU logo
1st Downs 174 (53) 128 (45) 1st Downs Allowed Push
1st Downs Allowed 123 (42) 92 (105) 1st Downs new PSU logo new PSU logo
Time of Possession 33:34 (15) 27:16 (111) Time of Possession new PSU logo new PSU logo new PSU logo
Strength of Schedule 12 22 Strength of Schedule Push

Difference >25 in National Rank = new PSU logo

Difference >50 in National Rank = new PSU logonew PSU logo

Difference >75 in National Rank = new PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logo

Difference >100 in National Rank =new PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logo

Note:

All of the above rankings are taken directly from the NCAA except for strength of schedule, which is not ranked by the NCAA and instead taken from team rankings.

The Redzone TD% and Redzone TD% Defense are calculated by me and not ranked by the NCAA. Determining who has the advantage in these categories is strictly my arbitrary judgment.

Quick thoughts:

It’s like MSU is the bizarro Penn State in many ways, where they aren’t giving up yards but are giving up scores. That’s another way of saying that their scoring defense seems uncharacteristic compared to their total defense - but I guess that’s what happens when you turn the ball over a lot in your own territory.

Something else that’s unsurprising is the MSU redzone offense numbers - it’s not surprising they’ve scored 100% of the time, that is, when you see that they’ve only been in the redzone nine times all season (that’s less than two times per game). Compare that to the 28 times that Penn State’s been in the redzone, and we’ve scored three more touchdowns in our redzone trips than they’ve scored in redzone attempts all season. Woof.

Lastly, it’s miraculous what two great kickoff return defensive stops can do - last week, we were in the bottom 15 of all NCAA schools in kickoff return defense. After our special teams’ strong showing last week, we’re back in the top 15. And I LOL, because that’s so 2020.