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Just the Stats: No. 7 Penn State vs Illinois

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NCAA Football: Illinois at Penn State
If Roberson does start, he knows what he’s facing.
Matthew OHaren-USA TODAY Sports

#7 Penn St. Nittany Lions (5-1; 2-1 Big Ten East) vs Illinois Fighting Illini (2-5; 1-3 Big Ten West)

12 p.m. ET, October 23, 2021--ABC

Beaver Stadium (Capacity: 106,579 / University Park, PA)

Tableizer using codebeautify.org
Penn State Value (Nat'l Rank) Value (Nat'l Rank) Illinois Advantage
Rushing Offense (ypg) 128.3 (95) 163.1 (87) Rushing Defense (ypg) Push
Passing Offense (ypg) 268.3 (35) 264.7 (107) Passing Defense (ypg) new PSU logo new PSU logo
Pass Efficiency 140.31 (59) 143.65 (97) Pass Efficiency Defense new PSU logo
Total Offense (ypg) 396.7 (65) 427.9 (101) Total Defense (ypg) new PSU logo
Scoring Offense (ppg) 28.3 (T - 68) 24.57 (65) Scoring Defense (ppg) Push
Rushing Defense (ypg) 111.3 (26) 164.7 (67) Rushing Offense (ypg) new PSU logo
Passing Defense (ypg) 201.3 (31) 153.7 (122) Passing Offense (ypg) new PSU logo new PSU logo new PSU logo
Pass Efficiency Defense 102.12 (4) 101.17 (127) Pass Efficiency new PSU logo new PSU logo new PSU logo new PSU logo
Total Defense (ypg) 312.7 (23) 318.4 (117) Total Offense (ypg) new PSU logo new PSU logo new PSU logo
Scoring Defense (ppg) 13.83 (4) 17.7 (120) Scoring Offense (ppg) new PSU logo new PSU logo new PSU logo new PSU logo
Punt Return Defense (ypr) 3.67 (26) 5.0 (T - 96) Punt Return Yds new PSU logo new PSU logo
Punt Return Yds 6.64 (76) 2.92 (T - 17) Punt Return Defense (ypr) 7233_rutgers_scarlet_knights-alternate-2001_medium 7233_rutgers_scarlet_knights-alternate-2001_medium
Net Punting Yds 45.97 (3) 44.1 (8) Net Punting Yds Push
Kickoff Return Yds 16.86 (112) 15.0 (T - 7) Kickoff Return Defense 7233_rutgers_scarlet_knights-alternate-2001_medium 7233_rutgers_scarlet_knights-alternate-2001_medium 7233_rutgers_scarlet_knights-alternate-2001_medium 7233_rutgers_scarlet_knights-alternate-2001_medium
Kickoff Return Defense 0.0 (1) 16.33 (116) Kickoff Return Yds new PSU logo new PSU logo new PSU logo new PSU logo
Turnover Margin +.50 (39) +1.14 (9) Turnover Margin 7233_rutgers_scarlet_knights-alternate-2001_medium
Passes Had Intercepted 7 (T - 93) 5 (T - 64) Passes Intercepted 7233_rutgers_scarlet_knights-alternate-2001_medium
Passes Intercepted 8 (T - 13) 2 (T - 9) Passes Had Intercepted Push
Penalty Yds/Game 50.33 (56) 47.14 (T - 41) Penalty Yds/Game Push
Sacks 1.83 (T - 92) 2.14 (T - 66) Sacks Allowed 7233_rutgers_scarlet_knights-alternate-2001_medium
Sacks Allowed 1.5 (T - 28) 2.14 (T - 70) Sacks new PSU logo
Tackles for Loss (tpg) 6.3 (T - 36) 6.14 (T - 93) Tackles for Loss Allowed (tpg) new PSU logo new PSU logo
Tackles for Loss Allowed (tpg) 6.5 (T - 100) 4.6 (101) Tackles for Loss (tpg) Push
Redzone Offense (%) 90.0% (T - 28) 82.1% (67) Redzone Defense (%) new PSU logo
Redzone Defense (%) 57.9% (2) 62.5% (128) Redzone Offense (%) new PSU logo new PSU logo new PSU logo new PSU logo new PSU logo
Redzone TD % 60.0% 50.0% Redzone TD % Defense new PSU logo
Redzone TD % Defense 31.58% 37.5% Redzone TD % new PSU logo new PSU logo new PSU logo
3rd Down Conv. % 35.0% (T - 97) 43.7% (104) 3rd Down Defense % Push
3rd Down Defense % 34.3% (34) 38.9% (T - 76) 3rd Down Conv. % new PSU logo
4th Down Conv. % 36.4% (T - 111) 80.0% (126) 4th Down Defense % Push
4th Down Defense % 60.0% (T - 81) 40.0% (T - 103) 4th Down Conv. % Push
1st Downs 123 (T - 91) 164 (T - 123) 1st Downs Allowed new PSU logo
1st Downs Allowed 118 (42) 129 (T - 79) 1st Downs new PSU logo
Time of Possession 27 (108) 29 (64) Time of Possession 7233_rutgers_scarlet_knights-alternate-2001_medium
Strength of Schedule 9 41 Strength of Schedule new PSU logo

Difference >25 in National Rank = new PSU logo

Difference >50 in National Rank = new PSU logonew PSU logo

Difference >75 in National Rank = new PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logo

Difference >100 in National Rank =new PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logonew PSU logo

Note:

All of the above rankings are taken directly from the NCAA except for strength of schedule, which is taken from Team Rankings.com.

The Redzone TD% and Redzone TD% Defense are calculated by me and not ranked by the NCAA. Determining who has the advantage in these categories is strictly my arbitrary judgment.

Quick thoughts:

I have one overarching thought which is that if there is one game on our schedule where we’re ok having a backup QB start, it’s this one. Woof, Illinois - starting off the season at a high note in beating Nebraska, and at the midpoint your coach is publicly writing off three years’ worth of players as not worthy of playing for your team. The numbers bare that out, especially this one:

I’ve been doing this column for a number of years now, and I don’t think I’ve ever seen five chipmunks! The red zone will be our friend in this game - our offense has been in the redzone 20 times, coming out with 12 TDs and 6 field goals; Illinois’ defense has allowed 28 redzone trips, resulting in 14 TDs and 9 field goals. On the flip (even more amazing, as shown above) side, Illinois’ offense has been in the redzone just 16 times in 7 games (2.3 times per game) and come out with a total of 6 TDs and 4 field goals - less than 1 td per game. Going up against a defense that’s allowed 19 redzone trips but only 6 touchdowns and 5 field goals, that’s a recipe for some fun if you’re a Penn Stater.

This, and the amazing defense that Brent Pry has put together this year, is why it’s going to be ok this week, whether Ta’quan Roberson or Christian Veilleux starts this week.

Once again...