Penn St. Nittany Lions (6-4; 3-4 Big Ten East) vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights (5-5; 2-5 Big Ten East)
12 p.m. ET, November 20, 2021--BTN
Beaver Stadium (Capacity: 106,579 / University Park, PA)
The Redzone TD% and Redzone TD% Defense are calculated by me and not ranked by the NCAA. Determining who has the advantage in these categories is strictly my arbitrary judgment.
The return of Greg Schiano has had an immediate impact on Rutgers football - they’re playing better defense, and special teams, than they were in past years. I’m not so sure it’ll be enough, as that’s PSU’s bread and butter this year (but who knows, maybe they’ll line up 9 OL every down like Illinois).
What I’m focused on, as I have been since this emerged as a trend earlier this year, are redzone opportunities. Penn State has been in the redzone 32 times, coming away with points 28 of those times (16 touchdowns and 12 field goals) - Rutgers, by contrast, has been in the redzone 38 times, with 21 TDs and 10 field goals. That’s not too lopsided, especially if there are no fake field goal attempts in the redzone this week.
On defense, Penn State opponents have been in the redzone a whopping 36 times, but only come away with 11 TDs and 12 field goals - less than a third of their redzone opportunities have come out with a touchdown. And though Rutgers’ opponents have only been in the redzone 27 times, they’ve given up more touchdowns (14) than PSU’s defense, despite facing 9 fewer redzone opportunities. That’s something else.
What say you all?