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No. 16 Penn St. Nittany Lions (5-1; 2-1 Big Ten East) vs Minnesota Golden Gophers (4-2; 1-2 Big Ten West)
7:30 p.m. ET, October 22, 2022—ABC
Beaver Stadium (Capacity: 106,572 / University Park, PA)
| Penn State | Value (Nat'l Rank) | Value (Nat'l Rank) | Minnesota | Advantage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing Offense (ypg) | 170 (45) | 104.5 (20) | Rushing Defense (ypg) |  |
| Passing Offense (ypg) | 235.3 (74) | 159.2 (5) | Passing Defense (ypg) |
|
| Pass Efficiency | 137.58 (73) | 109.02 (11) | Pass Efficiency Defense |
|
| Total Offense (ypg) | 414.3 (52) | 263.7 (6) | Total Defense (ypg) |
|
| Scoring Offense (ppg) | 31.5 (55) | 11.67 (4) | Scoring Defense (ppg) |
|
| Rushing Defense (ypg) | 136 (56) | 227.3 (16) | Rushing Offense (ypg) | <
|
| Passing Defense (ypg) | 242.5 (83) | 214.8 (94) | Passing Offense (ypg) | Push |
| Pass Efficiency Defense | 102.29 (6) | 145.09 (51) | Pass Efficiency |  |
| Total Defense (ypg) | 378.5 (69) | 442.2 (38) | Total Offense (ypg) | |
| Scoring Defense (ppg) | 19.18 (T - 22) | 34.5 (T - 37) | Scoring Offense (ppg) | Push |
| Punt Return Defense (ypr) | 4.86 (34) | 6.83 (T - 76) | Punt Return Yds | |
| Punt Return Yds | 7.9 (60) | 5.5 (T - 43) | Punt Return Defense (ypr) | Push |
| Net Punting Yds | 42.25 (10) | 37.17 (T - 101) | Net Punting Yds |
|
| Kickoff Return Yds | 17.85 (105) | 21.4 (T - 84) | Kickoff Return Defense | Push |
| Kickoff Return Defense | 17.12 (22) | 26.44 (T - 9) | Kickoff Return Yds | Push |
| Turnover Margin | +1.17 (10) | +.00 (T - 72) | Turnover Margin |
|
| Passes Had Intercepted | 2 (T - 10) | 6 (T - 44) | Passes Intercepted | |
| Passes Intercepted | 6 (T - 44) | 7 (T - 93) | Passes Had Intercepted |
|
| Penalty Yds/Game | 54.33 (59) | 33.83 (4) | Penalty Yds/Game |
|
| Sacks | 2.33 (T - 47) | 1.00 (T - 18) | Sacks Allowed | |
| Sacks Allowed | 1.5 (T - 41) | 1.5 (T - 106) | Sacks |
|
| Tackles for Loss (tpg) | 5.7 (T - 67) | 4.0 (T - 16) | Tackles for Loss Allowed (tpg) |
|
| Tackles for Loss Allowed (tpg) | 4.5 (T - 41) | 4.3 (120) | Tackles for Loss (tpg) |
|
| Redzone Offense (%) | 95.5% (T - 9) | 90.9% (117) | Redzone Defense (%) |
|
| Redzone Defense (%) | 76.2% (T - 28) | 89.7% (T - 30) | Redzone Offense (%) | Push |
| Redzone TD % | 77.27% | 36.36% | Redzone TD % Defense | Push |
| Redzone TD % Defense | 38.10% | 75.86% | Redzone TD % | Push |
| 3rd Down Conv. % | 33.8% (105) | 21.9% (1) | 3rd Down Defense % |
|
| 3rd Down Defense % | 36.2% (R - 54) | 66.2% (1) | 3rd Down Conv. % |
|
| 4th Down Conv. % | 56.2% (T - 46) | 69.2% (T - 111) | 4th Down Defense % |
|
| 4th Down Defense % | 56.2% (T - 85) | 50.0% (T - 63) | 4th Down Conv. % | Push |
| 1st Downs | 122 (T - 99) | 87 (T - 5) | 1st Downs Allowed |
|
| 1st Downs Allowed | 125 (54) | 152 (T - 44) | 1st Downs | Push |
| Time of Possession | 29 (68) | 34 (5) | Time of Possession |
|
| Strength of Schedule | 23 | 46 | Strength of Schedule | Push |
Difference >25 in National Rank =
Difference >50 in National Rank =
Difference >75 in National Rank =
Difference >100 in National Rank =
Note:
All of the above rankings are taken directly from the NCAA except for strength of schedule, which is taken from Power Rankings.
The Redzone TD% and Redzone TD% Defense are calculated by me and not ranked by the NCAA. Determining who has the advantage in these categories is strictly my arbitrary judgment.
Quick thoughts:
What a difference a lackluster (to be generous) performing against a very good Michigan team. The defensive numbers, especially, took a tumble - more than you should expect after one day’s numbers being added into the YTD stats.
This should be another tough one for the Lions - but the white out is a different animal, where vast discrepancies on paper lessen when the fireworks go off in the Beaver Stadium atmosphere. My expectations are pretty much where they were pre-season, no matter what happened last week.
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