No. 13 Penn St. Nittany Lions (6-1; 3-1 Big Ten East) vs No. 2 Ohio State Buckeyes (7-0; 4-0 Big Ten East)
12:00 p.m. ET, October 29, 2022—Fox
Beaver Stadium (Capacity: 106,572 / University Park, PA)
Tableizer using codebeautify.org
Penn State |
Value (Nat'l Rank) |
Value (Nat'l Rank) |
Ohio State |
Advantage |
Rushing Offense (ypg) |
178.4 (46) |
90.9 (T - 8) |
Rushing Defense (ypg) |
|
Passing Offense (ypg) |
245.1 (63) |
149.0(3) |
Passing Defense (ypg) |
|
Pass Efficiency |
144.34 (49) |
108.76 (10) |
Pass Efficiency Defense |
 |
Total Offense (ypg) |
423.6 (49) |
239.9 )2) |
Total Defense (ypg) |
 |
Scoring Offense (ppg) |
33.4 (39) |
14.86 (5) |
Scoring Defense (ppg) |
|
Rushing Defense (ypg) |
140.1 (62) |
204.9 (21) |
Rushing Offense (ypg) |
 |
Passing Defense (ypg) |
232.9 (79) |
312.6 (15) |
Passing Offense (ypg) |
|
Pass Efficiency Defense |
103.21 (5) |
201.2 (1) |
Pass Efficiency |
Push |
Total Defense (ypg) |
373 (63) |
517.4 (4) |
Total Offense (ypg) |
|
Scoring Defense (ppg) |
18.86 (20) |
49.2 (2) |
Scoring Offense (ppg) |
Push |
Punt Return Defense (ypr) |
4.86 (32) |
7.22 (T - 70) |
Punt Return Yds |
|
Punt Return Yds |
6.25 (86) |
11.0 (104) |
Punt Return Defense (ypr) |
Push |
Net Punting Yds |
42.43 (9) |
40.5 (T - 35) |
Net Punting Yds |
 |
Kickoff Return Yds |
17.85 (105) |
21.77 (87) |
Kickoff Return Defense |
Push |
Kickoff Return Defense |
17.37 (26) |
10.8 (130) |
Kickoff Return Yds |
|
Turnover Margin |
+1.0 (T - 9) |
+.71 (T - 24) |
Turnover Margin |
Push |
Passes Had Intercepted |
3 (T - 12) |
7 (T - 41) |
Passes Intercepted |
|
Passes Intercepted |
7 (T - 41) |
4 (T - 31) |
Passes Had Intercepted |
Push |
Penalty Yds/Game |
51.57 (51) |
46.71 (33) |
Penalty Yds/Game |
Push |
Sacks |
2.14 (T - 58) |
.71 (T - 5) |
Sacks Allowed |
|
Sacks Allowed |
1.29 (T - 28) |
2.71 (29) |
Sacks |
Push |
Tackles for Loss (tpg) |
5.9 (61) |
3.43 (7) |
Tackles for Loss Allowed (tpg) |
|
Tackles for Loss Allowed (tpg) |
4.14 (T - 21) |
7.3 (T - 13) |
Tackles for Loss (tpg) |
Push |
Redzone Offense (%) |
96.0% (6) |
90.9% (T - 119) |
Redzone Defense (%) |
|
Redzone Defense (%) |
76.0% (T - 20) |
100.0% (1) |
Redzone Offense (%) |
Push |
Redzone TD % |
80.0% |
45.45% |
Redzone TD % Defense |
 |
Redzone TD % Defense |
40.0% |
86.11% |
Redzone TD % |
Push |
3rd Down Conv. % |
35.2% (99) |
24.5% (2) |
3rd Down Defense % |
|
3rd Down Defense % |
33.6% (T - 34) |
52.4% (8) |
3rd Down Conv. % |
 |
4th Down Conv. % |
58.8% (T - 39) |
25.0% (T - 6) |
4th Down Defense % |
|
4th Down Defense % |
57.9% (92) |
100.0% (1) |
4th Down Conv. % |
|
1st Downs |
146 (T - 81) |
83 (1) |
1st Downs Allowed |
|
1st Downs Allowed |
141 (49) |
176 (T - 34) |
1st Downs |
Push |
Time of Possession |
29 (76) |
31 (38) |
Time of Possession |
|
Strength of Schedule |
37 |
25 |
Strength of Schedule |
Push |
Note:
All of the above rankings are taken directly from the NCAA except for strength of schedule, which is taken from Power Rankings.
The Redzone TD% and Redzone TD% Defense are calculated by me and not ranked by the NCAA. Determining who has the advantage in these categories is strictly my arbitrary judgment.
Quick thoughts:
I always use as the base of these posts, the stats from both the prior week’s post and last year’s against the same team (for the teams that we play annually). After those comparisons, it’s very clear that Penn State’s dominant performance against Minnesota last week made a very obvious impact on the team’s YTD numbers - but also, that the 2022 PSU team is markedly better than the team the school fielded in 2021.
The kicker to that is, of course - so is Ohio State.
These numbers are about what I’d expect on paper, but honestly not as overwhelming as I’d thought - especially that matchup if Penn State’s offense can get into the red zone (Ohio State’s only allowed their opponents into the red zone 11 times, but allowed scores on 10 of those 11 - the diametrical opposite of Illinois, who also has allowed only 11 red zone trips but is still a top five RZ defense, %-wise).
The Buckeyes also have only returned five kicks, so here’s hoping that trend continues as well.
What say you all?
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