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No. 16 Penn St. Nittany Lions (6-2; 3-2 Big Ten East) vs Indiana Hoosiers (3-5; 1-4 Big Ten East)
3:30 p.m. ET, November 5, 2022—ABC
Memorial Stadium (Capacity: 52,929 / Bloomington, IN)
| Penn State | Value (Nat'l Rank) | Value (Nat'l Rank) | Indiana | Advantage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing Offense (ypg) | 170.0 (54) | 155.2 (83) | Rushing Defense (ypg) |  |
| Passing Offense (ypg) | 260.9 (49) | 259.2 (102) | Passing Defense (ypg) |
|
| Pass Efficiency | 144.05 (51) | 146.92 (109) | Pass Efficiency Defense |
|
| Total Offense (ypg) | 430.9 (41) | 414.8 (99) | Total Defense (ypg) |
|
| Scoring Offense (ppg) | 33.1 (39) | 30.62 (100) | Scoring Defense (ppg) |
|
| Rushing Defense (ypg) | 134.9 (57) | 80.4 (128) | Rushing Offense (ypg) |
|
| Passing Defense (ypg) | 248 (89) | 265.2 (44) | Passing Offense (ypg) |  |
| Pass Efficiency Defense | 111.03 (10) | 107.59 (120) | Pass Efficiency |
|
| Total Defense (ypg) | 382.9 (74) | 345.6 (106) | Total Offense (ypg) | |
| Scoring Defense (ppg) | 22.0 (39) | 24.5 (T - 93) | Scoring Offense (ppg) |
|
| Punt Return Defense (ypr) | 5.25 (35) | 3.71 (123) | Punt Return Yds (ypr) |
|
| Punt Return Yds (ypr) | 5.62 (99) | 10.39 (101) | Punt Return Defense (ypr) | Push |
| Net Punting Yds (ypp) | 41.79 (15) | 38.72 (63) | Net Punting Yds (ypp) |
|
| Kickoff Return Yds (ypr) | 18.07 (101) | 22.69 (100) | Kickoff Return Defense (ypr) | Push |
| Kickoff Return Defense (ypr) | 17.8 (T - 30) | 25.29 (T - 8) | Kickoff Return Yds (ypr) | Push |
| Turnover Margin | +.38 (T - 42) | -.50 (T - 101) | Turnover Margin |
|
| Passes Had Intercepted (total) | 6 (T - 55) | 5 (T - 86) | Passes Intercepted (total) |
|
| Passes Intercepted (total) | 7 (T - 56) | 9 (T - 98) | Passes Had Intercepted (total) |
|
| Penalty Yds/Game | 51.38 (51) | 50.5 (46) | Penalty Yds/Game | Push |
| Sacks (spg) | 2.12 (T - 63) | 2.75 (T - 99) | Sacks Allowed (spg) | |
| Sacks Allowed (spg) | 1.5 (T - 36) | 1.94 (83) | Sacks (spg) | |
| Tackles for Loss (tpg) | 6.0 (T - 58) | 7.25 (T - 99) | Tackles for Loss Allowed (tpg) |
|
| Tackles for Loss Allowed (tpg) | 4.12 (T - 20) | 5.9 (63) | Tackles for Loss (tpg) | |
| Redzone Offense (% season) | 92.9% (T - 13) | 78.8% (37) | Redzone Defense (% season) | Push |
| Redzone Defense (% season) | 76.7% (22) | 80.0% (T - 89) | Redzone Offense (% season) |
|
| Redzone TD % (season) | 78.57% | 57.58% | Redzone TD % Defense (season) | |
| Redzone TD % Defense (season) | 40.0% | 50.0% | Redzone TD % (season) | |
| 3rd Down Conv. % (season) | 35.6% (98) | 41.7% (95) | 3rd Down Defense % (season) | Push |
| 3rd Down Defense % (season) | 33.6% (34) | 37.2% (89) | 3rd Down Conv. % (season) |
|
| 4th Down Conv. % (season) | 61.9% (T - 31) | 45.5% (44) | 4th Down Defense % (season) | Push |
| 4th Down Defense % (season) | 60.0% (T - 94) | 35.7% (T - 111) | 4th Down Conv. % (season) | Push |
| 1st Downs (season) | 170 (T - 67) | 173 (T - 81) | 1st Downs Allowed (season) | Push |
| 1st Downs Allowed (season) | 162 (T - 59) | 171 (T - 63) | 1st Downs (season) | Push |
| Time of Possession (mpg) | 29 (73) | 24 (131) | Time of Possession (mpg) |
|
| Strength of Schedule | 23 | 25 | Strength of Schedule | Push |
Difference >25 in National Rank =
Difference >50 in National Rank =
Difference >75 in National Rank =
Difference >100 in National Rank =
Note:
All of the above rankings are taken directly from the NCAA except for strength of schedule, which is taken from Power Rankings.
The Redzone TD% and Redzone TD% Defense are calculated by me and not ranked by the NCAA. Determining who has the advantage in these categories is strictly my arbitrary judgment.
Quick thoughts:
I can’t recall a time on paper in recent years where a conference game looked this one sided in this post - especially when the one logo was in a deceptively uneven category, like PSU’s passing defense (most decidedly not a weakness of the NIttany Lions’ game this year).
Most of Penn State’s stats got better after last week’s loss against the number two Buckeyes - except for turnover margin, of course. Because of that, and these numbers, I just can’t get up for the idea that this will be particularly close. I know my optimism and, yes, hubris will likely bite me in the butt come Saturday evening, but even that possibility isn’t putting a damper on my feelings.
What say you all?
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