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No. 11 Penn St. Nittany Lions (9-2; 6-2 Big Ten East) vs Michigan State Spartans (5-6; 3-5 Big Ten East)
4:00 p.m. ET, November 26, 2022—FS1
Beaver Stadium (Capacity: 106,572 / University Park, PA)
| Penn State | Value (Nat'l Rank) | Value (Nat'l Rank) | MIchigan State | Advantage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing Offense (ypg) | 184.1 (45) | 180.3 (100) | Rushing Defense (ypg) |
 |
| Passing Offense (ypg) | 250.4 (44) | 236.8 (85) | Passing Defense (ypg) |
|
| Pass Efficiency | 139.72 (53) | 150.19 (117) | Pass Efficiency Defense |
|
| Total Offense (ypg) | 434.5 (37) | 417.1 (103) | Total Defense (ypg) |
|
| Scoring Offense (ppg) | 35.9 (19) | 26.73 (71) | Scoring Defense (ppg) |
|
| Rushing Defense (ypg) | 112.4 (21) | 121.0 (105) | Rushing Offense (ypg) |
|
| Passing Defense (ypg) | 211.3 (48) | 241.0 (55) | Passing Offense (ypg) | Push |
| Pass Efficiency Defense | 104.32 (5) | 137.85 (61) | Pass Efficiency |
|
| Total Defense (ypg) | 323.6 (23) | 362.0 (90) | Total Offense (ypg) |
|
| Scoring Defense (ppg) | 18.18 (14) | 25.2 (T - 85) | Scoring Offense (ppg) |
|
| Punt Return Defense (ypr) | 5.4 (38) | 9.0 (T - 47) | Punt Return Yds (ypr) | Push |
| Punt Return Yds (ypr) | 4.81 (109) | 6.36 (55) | Punt Return Defense (ypr) |
 |
| Net Punting Yds (ypp) | 40.65 (25) | 45.0 (1) | Net Punting Yds (ypp) | Push |
| Kickoff Return Yds (ypr) | 22.29 (26) | 20.42 (73) | Kickoff Return Defense (ypr) | |
| Kickoff Return Defense (ypr) | 19.54 (62) | 18.19 (100) | Kickoff Return Yds (ypr) | |
| Turnover Margin | +.55 (T - 23) | -.09 (T - 75) | Turnover Margin |
|
| Passes Had Intercepted (total) | 7 (T - 37) | 2 (T - 130) | Passes Intercepted (total) |
|
| Passes Intercepted (total) | 11 (T - 30) | 11 (T - 93) | Passes Had Intercepted (total) |
|
| Penalty Yds/Game | 49.91 (48) | 56.27 (74) | Penalty Yds/Game | |
| Sacks (spg) | 3.09 (T - 16) | 1.36 (T - 31) | Sacks Allowed (spg) | Push |
| Sacks Allowed (spg) | 1.36 (T - 31) | 2.36 (T - 45) | Sacks (spg) | Push |
| Tackles for Loss (tpg) | 8.0 (T - 5) | 4.55 (T - 31) | Tackles for Loss Allowed (tpg) | |
| Tackles for Loss Allowed (tpg) | 4.0 (T - 13) | 6.2 (T - 48) | Tackles for Loss (tpg) |
|
| Redzone Offense (% season) | 93.9% (9) | 81.0% (47) | Redzone Defense (% season) | |
| Redzone Defense (% season) | 70.3% (T - 7) | 70.3% (T - 127) | Redzone Offense (% season) |
|
| Redzone TD % (season) | 76.74% | 61.9% | Redzone TD % Defense (season) |
|
| Redzone TD % Defense (season) | 35.14% | 62.16% | Redzone TD % (season) |
|
| 3rd Down Conv. % (season) | 35.1% (104) | 42.9% (T - 107) | 3rd Down Defense % (season) | Push |
| 3rd Down Defense % (season) | 30.8% (15) | 39.9% (T - 58) | 3rd Down Conv. % (season) | |
| 4th Down Conv. % (season) | 70.4% (9) | 58.3% (96) | 4th Down Defense % (season) |
|
| 4th Down Defense % (season) | 50.0% (T - 62) | 38.5% (110) | 4th Down Conv. % (season) | |
| 1st Downs (season) | 239 (T - 49) | 248 (T - 103) | 1st Downs Allowed (season) |
|
| 1st Downs Allowed (season) | 193 (23) | 223 (T - 73) | 1st Downs (season) |
|
| Time of Possession (mpg) | 30 (44) | 26 (127) | Time of Possession (mpg) |
|
| Strength of Schedule | 30 | 22 | Strength of Schedule | Push |
Difference >25 in National Rank =
Difference >50 in National Rank =
Difference >75 in National Rank =
Difference >100 in National Rank =
Note:
All of the above rankings are taken directly from the NCAA except for strength of schedule, which is taken from Power Rankings.
The Redzone TD% and Redzone TD% Defense are calculated by me and not ranked by the NCAA. Determining who has the advantage in these categories is strictly my arbitrary judgment.
Quick thoughts:
How do you go from worse than 100th in the nation in kickoff returns to better than 30th, this late in the season? Two words: Nicholas Singleton.
Michigan State’s always going to be dangerous, but I’d be more worried about this matchup if it wasn’t senior day, at Beaver Stadium. This should be a good game for Penn State fans, who’ll better know their NY6 odds before kickoff.
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